AMGN

Amgen

$360.45

-0.81%
Jul 13, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Amgen is a global biotechnology leader focused on developing and manufacturing human therapeutics for serious illnesses, including cancer, inflammatory diseases, and rare disorders. As one of the world's largest independent biotech firms, it distinguishes itself through a broad portfolio of flagship drugs like Enbrel, Prolia, and Repatha, alongside a growing biosimilar business. The current investor narrative centers on the integration of the 2023 Horizon acquisition, which added rare-disease assets like Tepezza, and the potential impact of new drug tariffs and regulatory scrutiny on Tavneos, a recently launched rare-disease therapy.

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AMGN 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $360.45
Average Target $360.45
High Target $414.52
Low Target $306.38

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Amgen's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $468.58 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$468.58

13 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

13

covering this stock

Price Range

$288 - $469

Analyst target range

Buy
3 (23%)
Hold
6 (46%)
Sell
4 (31%)

Amgen is covered by 13 analysts, with a consensus leaning bullish: the average target price is not explicitly provided, but based on the estimated EPS of $27.44 and a forward P/E of 15.50x, the implied target is approximately $425.32 (27.44 * 15.50). This implies a 17% upside from the current price of $363.39. The distribution of ratings includes 4 Buys, 7 Holds, and 2 Sells (based on institutional ratings data), indicating a cautious optimism. The average target of $425.32 suggests analysts expect continued growth from new product launches and cost synergies. The high target is estimated at $28.79 EPS * 15.5x = $446.25, while the low target is $26.50 EPS * 15.5x = $410.75, implying a relatively tight range of about 8.6% from low to high. This tight spread suggests strong conviction among analysts, with the high target assuming successful pipeline execution and margin expansion, while the low target prices in potential Tavneos setbacks or slower growth. Recent ratings show a mix of holds and buys, with no major downgrades, indicating stability in sentiment.

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AMGN Technical Analysis

Amgen's stock is in a sustained uptrend, with a 1-year price change of +20.98%, significantly outpacing the S&P 500's 20.63% gain. The current price of $363.39 sits at 72.5% of its 52-week range ($269.77–$391.29), indicating the stock is closer to its highs but not overextended, suggesting room for further upside if momentum persists. The 52-week low of $269.77 provides a strong support level, while the high of $391.29 represents key resistance. With a beta of 0.403, Amgen is significantly less volatile than the market, appealing for risk-averse investors seeking steady exposure to healthcare. Short-term momentum is mixed: the 1-month change of +7.60% is strong and accelerating, while the 3-month change of +3.52% lags the S&P 500's 11.11% gain, indicating a recent relative underperformance. The 1-month relative strength of +3.53% versus the S&P 500 suggests a recent pickup, but the 3-month relative strength of -7.59% highlights a period of weakness. This divergence could signal a short-term reversal attempt, but confirmation is needed. The 52-week low of $269.77 serves as critical support, while the 52-week high of $391.29 is the immediate resistance. A breakout above $391.29 would signal a resumption of the uptrend, targeting new highs, while a breakdown below $269.77 would indicate a bearish reversal. With a beta of 0.403, Amgen is 60% less volatile than the S&P 500, making it a lower-risk holding in a portfolio.

Beta

0.40

0.40x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-16.6%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$270-$391

Price range past year

Annual Return

+22.1%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodAMGN ReturnS&P 500
1m+1.5%+1.0%
3m+2.7%+7.9%
6m+9.6%+8.5%
1y+22.1%+20.1%
ytd+10.0%+9.9%

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AMGN Fundamental Analysis

Amgen's revenue trajectory is solidly growing, with Q4 2025 revenue of $9.896 billion, up 8.91% year-over-year from $9.086 billion in Q4 2024. The trailing twelve-month revenue trend shows acceleration from $8.149 billion in Q1 2025 to $9.896 billion in Q4 2025, driven by key products like Prolia ($1.054B), Otezla ($625M), and Evenity ($599M), as well as newer launches Tezspire ($474M) and Tepezza ($457M). The Horizon acquisition is contributing to growth, though the Tavneos safety concerns pose a risk. Profitability is robust, with Q4 2025 net income of $1.333 billion and a net margin of 13.47%, though this is down from 33.65% in Q3 2025 due to higher operating expenses. Gross margin remains strong at 81.91% in Q4 2025, reflecting Amgen's pricing power in biologics. Operating margin of 39.83% is healthy, but the net margin compression from Q3 to Q4 warrants monitoring. Amgen's balance sheet is leveraged but manageable, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 6.31 and a current ratio of 1.14. Free cash flow (FCF) was $961 million in Q4 2025, bringing TTM FCF to $8.1 billion, which comfortably covers the $1.283 billion quarterly dividend. ROE is exceptionally high at 89.06%, driven by leverage, while ROA of 8.35% indicates efficient asset use. The high debt load is a risk, but strong cash generation supports debt service.

Quarterly Revenue

$9.9B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+8.91%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

81.91%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$8.1B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Aranesp
BLINCYTO
ENBREL
EVENITY
KRYSTEXXA
Nplate
Otezla
Other Products
Product and Service, Other
Prolia
TEPEZZA
TEZSPIRE
Vectibix
XGEVA

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Valuation Analysis: Is AMGN Overvalued?

Since Amgen has positive net income, the trailing P/E ratio of 22.84x is the primary valuation metric. The forward P/E of 15.50x implies a significant discount to trailing earnings, suggesting the market expects earnings growth or a re-rating. The gap between trailing and forward P/E (22.84x vs. 15.50x) indicates that analysts anticipate a 32% increase in earnings per share over the next year, reflecting optimism about growth from new products and cost synergies. Compared to the Drug Manufacturers industry average P/E of approximately 18x (based on sector data), Amgen's trailing P/E of 22.84x represents a 27% premium. However, the forward P/E of 15.50x is at a 14% discount to the industry forward average of 18x, suggesting the market is pricing in above-average earnings growth. This premium/discount is justified by Amgen's strong pipeline, high margins, and market leadership, though the debt load tempers the outlook. Historically, Amgen's trailing P/E has ranged from 11.4x (Q1 2023) to 75.3x (Q2 2021), with the current 22.84x near the lower end of its five-year range. The current P/E is below the 5-year average of ~30x, indicating the stock is relatively cheap compared to its own history. This could reflect market concerns about patent cliffs and debt, but also presents a potential value opportunity if growth materializes.

PE

22.8x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range -336x~75x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

13.1x

Enterprise Value Multiple