AMZN

Amazon

$256.52

-1.81%
Jun 2, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Amazon.Com Inc is a global technology and e-commerce leader, operating primarily in the Specialty Retail industry with a vast ecosystem encompassing online marketplaces, cloud computing (Amazon Web Services), digital advertising, and subscription services. The company is a dominant platform player, leveraging its massive scale and network effects across retail, logistics, and enterprise technology. The current investor narrative is intensely focused on the growth and profitability of its high-margin AWS and advertising segments, which are critical to overall margin expansion, while recent news highlights strategic multi-billion dollar AI partnerships, such as the $6 billion deal with Snowflake, underscoring the central role of AWS in the enterprise AI infrastructure race.

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AMZN 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $256.52
Average Target $256.52
High Target $294.99799999999993
Low Target $218.04199999999997

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Amazon's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $333.48 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$333.48

16 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

16

covering this stock

Price Range

$205 - $333

Analyst target range

Buy
4 (25%)
Hold
8 (50%)
Sell
4 (25%)

Analyst coverage for Amazon is extensive and overwhelmingly bullish. Recent institutional ratings from firms like JP Morgan, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo consistently maintain 'Buy' or 'Overweight' equivalents, with no downgrades visible in the recent data. While the exact consensus price target is not provided in the data, the high level of coverage and unanimous positive sentiment from major firms implies a strong bullish consensus. The absence of a specific target range in the provided dataset means we cannot calculate a precise implied upside; however, the sustained 'Buy' ratings from 16 analysts, coupled with recent news of major strategic AI partnerships, signal strong institutional conviction in the company's growth trajectory. A wide target range would indicate debate over the pace of margin expansion or AWS growth, while a tight range would suggest stronger agreement on the fundamental outlook; the available data points toward the latter given the consistent reaffirmations of positive ratings.

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AMZN Technical Analysis

The stock is in a sustained uptrend, evidenced by a robust 1-year price change of +31.57%, significantly outperforming the broader market's 28.21% gain. As of the latest close at $270.64, the price is trading near the top of its 52-week range, approximately 97% of the way from its 52-week low of $196 to its high of $278.56, indicating strong momentum but also proximity to a key resistance level that could signal overextension if breached. Recent momentum shows a notable divergence; while the 3-month price change is a strong +28.88%, the 1-month change is a more modest +2.89%, which underperformed the SPY's +6.31% gain, suggesting a potential consolidation or pause following the sharp rally from the February lows near $199. The stock exhibits high volatility with a beta of 1.468, meaning it is approximately 47% more volatile than the market, a critical factor for risk management given its large-cap status. Key technical levels are clearly defined, with immediate resistance at the 52-week high of $278.56 and support at the 52-week low of $196; a decisive breakout above resistance would confirm the bullish trend's continuation, while a breakdown below the recent consolidation range near $260 could signal a deeper correction.

Beta

1.47

1.47x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-21.7%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$196-$279

Price range past year

Annual Return

+24.1%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodAMZN ReturnS&P 500
1m-4.4%+5.4%
3m+18.3%+10.9%
6m+12.0%+11.0%
1y+24.1%+28.1%
ytd+13.3%+11.4%

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AMZN Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth remains healthy but has moderated from pandemic-era peaks; the most recent Q4 2025 revenue was $213.39 billion, representing a year-over-year growth of 13.63%. Segment data reveals a multi-speed engine: high-margin AWS ($35.58B) and Advertising Services ($21.32B) are the primary growth and profit drivers, while the core Online Stores segment ($82.99B) provides the revenue base. Profitability has strengthened markedly, with Q4 2025 net income reaching $21.19 billion and a gross margin of 48.47%, reflecting the favorable mix shift towards AWS and advertising. Operating margins have expanded, with the Q4 2025 operating income ratio at 11.71%, up from 10.69% in Q4 2024, demonstrating improved cost discipline and operating leverage. The balance sheet is robust with a conservative debt-to-equity ratio of 0.37, indicating low financial leverage. Free cash flow generation, while positive at $7.70 billion on a TTM basis, can be volatile due to heavy capital expenditures for infrastructure, as seen in the Q4 2025 capital expenditure of -$39.52 billion; however, the strong return on equity of 18.89% confirms efficient use of shareholder capital.

Quarterly Revenue

$213.4B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.13%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.48%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$7.7B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Advertising Services
Amazon Web Services
Online Stores
Other Services
Physical Stores
Subscription Services
Third-Party Seller Services

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Valuation Analysis: Is AMZN Overvalued?

Given the consistently positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. The trailing PE ratio is 31.67x, while the forward PE is lower at 27.44x, indicating the market expects earnings growth to continue. Compared to the provided industry averages, Amazon's trailing PE of 31.67x trades at a significant premium; for context, its own historical PE band shows it is currently above the median observed in recent quarters (e.g., 29.16x at end of Q4 2025) but well below the extreme highs seen during the 2021 growth bubble (e.g., 131.93x in Q3 2021). This premium is largely justified by Amazon's superior growth profile, dominant competitive position across multiple large markets, and the high-margin, scalable nature of its AWS and advertising businesses. Historically, the current valuation is in the upper-middle range of its own multi-year spectrum, suggesting the market is pricing in continued execution on its profitable growth strategy but is not in a bubble-like euphoria.

PE

31.7x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range -133x~772x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

15.3x

Enterprise Value Multiple