CLH

Clean Harbors

$299.39

+0.20%
Jun 25, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Clean Harbors, Inc. is a leading North American provider of environmental and industrial services, operating in the Waste Management industry. The company's core business is segmented into Environmental Services, which includes hazardous waste collection, treatment, and disposal, and Safety-Kleen Sustainability Solutions, which focuses on used oil recycling and re-refining. As a market leader in hazardous waste management, Clean Harbors is distinguished by its extensive network of treatment facilities and service capabilities, creating a significant competitive moat through regulatory compliance and logistical complexity. The current investor narrative centers on the company's resilience and growth within a cyclical industrial sector, with recent financial performance demonstrating steady revenue expansion and strong cash flow generation, positioning it as a beneficiary of ongoing environmental regulation and industrial activity.

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CLH 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $299.39
Average Target $299.39
High Target $344.29849999999993
Low Target $254.48149999999998

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Clean Harbors's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $389.21 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$389.21

1 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

1

covering this stock

Price Range

$240 - $389

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
0 (0%)
Sell
1 (100%)

Analyst coverage for Clean Harbors appears limited based on the provided data, with only one analyst providing explicit estimates for EPS and revenue. This suggests the stock may be under-followed by the broader sell-side community, which is common for mid-cap industrial names and can lead to higher volatility and potential mispricing. The consensus revenue estimate for the period is $7.73 billion, with a tight range between $7.66B and $7.84B, indicating high conviction in the top-line forecast. Institutional ratings from major firms show a mixed but generally neutral-to-positive sentiment. Recent actions from firms like Wells Fargo, UBS, Barclays, and Citigroup maintain 'Equal Weight' or 'Neutral' ratings, while Truist Securities, Oppenheimer, BMO Capital, and Needham have 'Buy' or 'Outperform' ratings. The absence of 'Sell' ratings and the prevalence of 'Hold' and 'Buy' equivalents point to a cautiously optimistic view, where analysts acknowledge the company's strengths but may see limited near-term catalysts for significant multiple expansion. The lack of a broad consensus target price in the data implies investors should rely more on fundamental and peer-based valuation frameworks.

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Bulls vs Bears: CLH Investment Factors

The evidence for Clean Harbors presents a nuanced picture where strong fundamental pillars are counterbalanced by a rich valuation and near-term operational pressures. The bull case is anchored in the company's robust free cash flow ($441.8M TTM), solid balance sheet (Current Ratio 2.33), and market-leading position in a defensive niche. However, the bear case highlights significant risks from margin compression (Q4 gross margin down 640 bps YoY) and a valuation at a peak historical trailing PE of 31.9x that prices in perfection. Currently, the bear side has stronger near-term evidence, given the stock's sharp 3-month underperformance (-12.4% vs. SPY) coinciding with margin deterioration. The single most important tension in the investment debate is whether the company's premium valuation, justified by its ROE (14.2%) and cash flow, can be sustained if quarterly margin volatility persists rather than stabilizes.

Bullish

  • Strong Free Cash Flow Generation: Clean Harbors generated $441.8 million in trailing twelve-month free cash flow, providing significant internal funding for growth and shareholder returns. This robust cash generation, evidenced by $133 million in stock repurchases in Q4 2025, underscores a healthy and self-sustaining business model.
  • Solid Balance Sheet and Liquidity: The company maintains a strong current ratio of 2.33, indicating ample short-term liquidity to meet obligations. With a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 1.26 and an interest coverage ratio of 3.45, financial risk is contained despite the asset-intensive nature of the business.
  • Resilient Revenue Growth and Market Leadership: Q4 2025 revenue grew 4.8% year-over-year to $1.50 billion, demonstrating steady demand for its essential environmental services. As a leader in the complex hazardous waste segment, the company benefits from a significant competitive moat built on regulatory compliance and logistical expertise.
  • Efficient Capital Allocation: A Return on Equity (ROE) of 14.2% indicates efficient use of shareholder capital, likely exceeding many traditional waste management peers. This strong profitability metric helps justify the company's premium valuation relative to the industry.

Bearish

  • Elevated Valuation at Peak Historical Multiples: Trading at a trailing PE of 31.9x and a forward PE of 30.7x, the stock is at a premium to its industry and near the higher end of its own historical range. This leaves little room for error and increases vulnerability to multiple compression if growth falters.
  • Recent Margin Compression and Earnings Volatility: Q4 2025 gross margin compressed to 23.5% from 29.9% in the year-ago quarter, indicating significant cost pressure or unfavorable mix shifts. Quarterly net income has shown volatility, dropping from $126.9M in Q2 to $86.6M in Q4, raising concerns about earnings sustainability.
  • Significant Short-Term Underperformance: The stock has declined 5.01% over the past month and underperformed the SPY by 12.4 percentage points over the past three months. This sharp divergence from the market's strong rally suggests company or sector-specific headwinds are pressuring the stock after its strong run.
  • Limited Analyst Coverage and Catalysts: The stock appears under-followed, with only one analyst providing explicit estimates, which can lead to higher volatility and mispricing. The prevailing institutional sentiment is neutral ('Equal Weight'/'Hold'), indicating a lack of near-term catalysts for significant upside.

CLH Technical Analysis

The stock is in a sustained long-term uptrend, evidenced by a robust 1-year price change of +26.50%, significantly outperforming the SPY's +22.86% gain. Currently trading at $287.78, the price sits at approximately 75% of its 52-week range ($201.34 to $316.98), indicating it has retreated meaningfully from its recent highs but remains well above its annual low, suggesting a consolidation phase within a broader bullish trend. The 6-month price change of +19.0% further confirms the strength of the intermediate-term uptrend. Recent momentum, however, has turned negative, with the stock declining -5.01% over the past month and -0.40% over the past three months, starkly underperforming the SPY, which gained 12.0% over the same 3-month period. This short-term weakness, highlighted by a 1-month relative strength of -4.93%, signals a significant divergence from the longer-term bullish trend and suggests the stock is undergoing a corrective pullback or sector-specific headwinds after its strong run. The price action shows volatility, with a sharp drop from a peak near $316 in late April to recent lows near $276. Key technical support is anchored at the 52-week low of $201.34, though more immediate support lies in the $275-$280 zone where the stock has recently found footing. Primary resistance is at the 52-week high of $316.98. A decisive breakout above this level would signal a resumption of the primary uptrend, while a sustained break below the $275 support could indicate a deeper correction. The stock's beta of 0.875 indicates it is 12.5% less volatile than the broader market, which is typical for a defensive industrial services company and suggests its recent underperformance is driven by company or sector-specific factors rather than broad market weakness.

Beta

0.88

0.88x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-19.4%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$201-$317

Price range past year

Annual Return

+31.1%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodCLH ReturnS&P 500
1m+4.4%-2.2%
3m+7.3%+15.8%
6m+24.3%+6.4%
1y+31.1%+20.9%
ytd+23.0%+7.7%

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CLH Fundamental Analysis

Clean Harbors exhibits steady revenue growth, with Q4 2025 revenue of $1.50 billion representing a 4.8% year-over-year increase. Sequentially, revenue has shown resilience, remaining above the $1.43 billion reported in Q4 2024. The quarterly trend over the past year indicates stable, mid-single-digit growth, supported by its diverse service lines including Industrial Services ($643.9M) and Technical Services ($479.3M), which are its largest segments. This consistent growth trajectory underscores the company's essential service nature and stable demand profile. The company is solidly profitable, reporting Q4 2025 net income of $86.6 million and a net margin of 5.8%. Gross margin for the quarter was 23.5%, a decline from the 29.9% reported in Q4 2024, indicating some margin compression likely due to cost pressures or mix shifts. However, the trailing twelve-month operating margin stands at a healthier 11.2%, and the Return on Equity (ROE) of 14.2% demonstrates efficient use of shareholder capital. Profitability metrics, while fluctuating quarterly, show the business model generates consistent earnings. Financial health is robust, characterized by a strong balance sheet and healthy cash generation. The company boasts a current ratio of 2.33, indicating ample short-term liquidity. Free cash flow over the trailing twelve months is a substantial $441.8 million, providing significant internal funding for growth initiatives and shareholder returns, as evidenced by $133 million in stock repurchases in Q4. The debt-to-equity ratio of 1.26 is manageable for an asset-intensive industrial company, and the interest coverage ratio of 3.45 from the latest quarter suggests earnings sufficiently cover interest obligations.

Quarterly Revenue

$1.5B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.04%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.23%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$441807000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Industrial Services And Other
Field and Emergency Response
Safetly-Kleen Environmental Services
Safety-Kleen Oil
Technical Services

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Valuation Analysis: Is CLH Overvalued?

Given the company's consistent profitability with a positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. Clean Harbors trades at a trailing PE of 31.9x and a forward PE of 30.7x, based on estimated EPS of $13.59. The minimal gap between trailing and forward multiples suggests the market anticipates earnings growth to be roughly in line with its current trajectory, with no significant multiple expansion priced in. Compared to industry averages, Clean Harbors' valuation appears elevated. Its trailing PE of 31.9x and Price-to-Sales (PS) ratio of 2.07x are likely at a premium to the broader Waste Management sector, which typically trades at lower multiples due to its slower growth profile. This premium may be justified by Clean Harbors' unique positioning as a leader in the higher-margin, more complex hazardous waste segment, its strong cash flow generation, and its ROE of 14.2%, which likely exceeds many traditional waste handlers. Historically, the stock's current trailing PE of 31.9x sits above its own multi-year range observed in the provided data, which has fluctuated between approximately 19x and 52x over recent quarters. Trading near the higher end of its historical band suggests the market is pricing in relatively optimistic expectations for sustained earnings growth and margin stability. Investors are thus paying a premium for its historical performance, leaving less room for error if fundamentals disappoint.

PE

32.1x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Mid-Range

5-Year PE Range 8x~53x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

13.3x

Enterprise Value Multiple

Investment Risk Disclosure

Financial & Operational Risks: Clean Harbors faces risks from recent margin compression and earnings volatility. The Q4 2025 gross margin of 23.5% represents a significant 640 basis point decline year-over-year, and quarterly net income dropped sequentially from $126.9 million in Q2 to $86.6 million in Q4. This volatility raises questions about the sustainability of profitability needed to support its premium PE multiple of 31.9x. Furthermore, while the debt-to-equity ratio of 1.26 is manageable, the interest coverage ratio of 3.45 indicates earnings are sufficient but not overly abundant to cover interest obligations, introducing leverage risk in a downturn.

Market & Competitive Risks: The primary market risk is valuation compression. The stock's trailing PE of 31.9x and PS ratio of 2.07x are at a premium to the typical waste management sector, trading near the high end of its own historical range. A shift in market sentiment away from growth-oriented industrials or a sector rotation could trigger multiple contraction. The stock's beta of 0.875 suggests it is less volatile than the market, but its recent severe underperformance (-12.4% relative strength over 3 months) indicates it is facing unique headwinds, potentially from concerns over cyclical demand or execution.

Worst-Case Scenario: The worst-case scenario involves a combination of sustained margin pressure, a cyclical downturn in industrial activity reducing waste volumes, and a broader market de-rating of premium-valued stocks. This could trigger analyst downgrades from the current neutral stance and a re-rating towards the sector's lower valuation multiples. The realistic downside could see the stock retreat to its 52-week low of $201.34, representing a potential loss of approximately -30% from the current price of $287.78. The maximum drawdown of -19.45% observed in the recent data provides a reference for the stock's volatility during corrections.