DOCN

DigitalOcean

$75.59

-13.28%
Apr 10, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc. is a cloud computing platform that provides on-demand infrastructure and platform tools primarily for developers, startups, and small to medium-sized businesses, operating within the Software - Infrastructure industry. The company has carved out a distinct identity as a simplified and cost-effective alternative to hyperscale cloud giants, focusing on the specific needs of smaller-scale developers and businesses. The current investor narrative is overwhelmingly driven by explosive, AI-fueled growth, as recent news highlights the stock's surge due to overwhelming AI-driven demand and a significant customer acquisition opportunity created by Salesforce's exit from the Heroku platform, positioning DigitalOcean for potential accelerated revenue growth.

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DOCN 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $75.59
Average Target $75.59
High Target $86.9285
Low Target $64.25150000000001

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on DigitalOcean's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $98.27 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$98.27

6 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

6

covering this stock

Price Range

$60 - $98

Analyst target range

Buy
1 (17%)
Hold
3 (50%)
Sell
2 (33%)

Insufficient analyst coverage data is available in the provided dataset to determine a consensus price target, Buy/Hold/Sell distribution, or target range. The data includes estimated future financials from 6 analysts, with an average revenue estimate of ~$1.784 billion and average EPS of $2.74 for an unspecified future period, but lacks explicit price targets. This limited explicit coverage could imply the stock is a mid-cap name with evolving institutional interest, which can contribute to higher volatility and less efficient price discovery as the investment story develops. The institutional ratings data shows recent reaffirmations of bullish stances from firms like Citizens, Oppenheimer, and B of A Securities in February and March 2026, indicating sustained positive sentiment among the covering analysts following the company's earnings and growth updates.

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DOCN Technical Analysis

The stock is in a powerful, sustained uptrend, evidenced by a staggering 155.78% gain over the past year. With a current price of $90.01, it is trading near the top of its 52-week range ($25.45 to $91.53), at approximately 98% of that range, indicating extreme momentum and potential overextension as it tests all-time highs. Recent momentum is exceptionally strong and accelerating, with the stock up 62.47% over the past month and 83.81% over the past three months, far outpacing the broader market (SPY down -4.28% and -4.0% respectively), which suggests the stock is being driven by powerful company-specific catalysts rather than general market sentiment. Key technical support is anchored at the 52-week low of $25.45, while immediate resistance is at the 52-week high of $91.53; a decisive breakout above $91.53 would signal a continuation of the powerful bull trend, while a failure could lead to a consolidation. The stock exhibits high volatility with a beta of 1.434, meaning it is approximately 43% more volatile than the SPY, which is critical for risk management as it implies larger potential price swings in both directions. The 1-month relative strength of 66.75 versus the SPY's -4.28% further underscores its exceptional recent performance.

Beta

1.43

1.43x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-35.8%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$26-$95

Price range past year

Annual Return

+167.9%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodDOCN ReturnS&P 500
1m+10.0%+0.5%
3m+42.1%-2.1%
6m+102.7%+4.0%
1y+167.9%+29.5%
ytd+54.4%-0.4%

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DOCN Fundamental Analysis

DigitalOcean's revenue trajectory is robust and accelerating, with Q4 2025 revenue reaching $242.39 million, representing a strong 18.28% year-over-year growth. This growth has been consistent, with quarterly revenue climbing sequentially from $210.70 million in Q1 2025 to the Q4 figure, indicating healthy demand momentum, particularly in its AI-driven services as highlighted in recent news. The company is profitable, posting a Q4 2025 net income of $25.66 million, with a solid gross margin of 58.69% and an operating margin of 16.01%; these profitability metrics show a company transitioning from growth-at-all-costs to a more sustainable, profitable growth model, though margins can be volatile quarter-to-quarter as seen in prior periods. The balance sheet and cash flow picture is mixed; the company generated positive operating cash flow of $57.28 million in Q4 2025, but reported negative free cash flow of -$108.10 million for the quarter due to significant capital expenditures of -$165.38 million, likely related to infrastructure expansion for AI demand. The trailing twelve-month free cash flow is positive at $36.996 million, and the company maintains a strong cash position of $254.48 million as of Q4 2025, providing liquidity to fund its growth investments. However, the negative return on equity of -9.04% and a negative debt-to-equity ratio of -25.46 (indicating a net cash position relative to equity) reflect an unusual capital structure but low financial leverage risk.

Quarterly Revenue

$242390000.0B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.18%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.58%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$36996000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

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Valuation Analysis: Is DOCN Overvalued?

Given a positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. DigitalOcean's trailing PE ratio is 16.98x, while its forward PE is significantly higher at 51.59x; this substantial gap implies the market is pricing in very high future earnings growth expectations, aligning with the AI-driven growth narrative. Compared to sector averages, data is not available in the provided dataset for a direct industry PE comparison, limiting a precise peer assessment. Historically, the stock's own valuation has expanded dramatically with its price surge. The current trailing PE of 16.98x is below the historical high seen in recent quarters (e.g., 42.89x at Q4 2025 end) but has risen sharply from lower levels earlier in 2025. This suggests the market is currently valuing the stock based on forward growth expectations rather than trailing results, with the high forward PE indicating optimism that must be validated by continued execution and margin expansion.

PE

17.0x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Mid-Range

5-Year PE Range -1131x~1343x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

13.5x

Enterprise Value Multiple

Investment Risk Disclosure