FOX

Fox Corporation

$57.39

-3.11%
May 29, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Fox Corporation is a media and entertainment company operating through two primary segments: Cable Network Programming, which includes Fox News and Fox Business, and Television, which encompasses the Fox broadcast network, owned local stations, and the ad-supported streaming platform Tubi. The company is a dominant player in live news and sports broadcasting, having refocused its strategy after selling most of its entertainment assets to Disney in 2019, and is controlled by the Murdoch family. The current investor narrative centers on the company's resilience and strategic positioning within a rapidly consolidating media landscape, as highlighted by recent news of potential mega-mergers among peers, while simultaneously navigating the secular decline of the traditional pay-TV bundle and betting on the growth of its free, ad-supported streaming service, Tubi, to capture next-generation viewers.

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FOX 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $57.39
Average Target $57.39
High Target $65.99849999999999
Low Target $48.7815

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Fox Corporation's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $74.61 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$74.61

1 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

1

covering this stock

Price Range

$46 - $75

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
0 (0%)
Sell
1 (100%)

Analyst coverage for Fox is extremely limited, with data indicating only one analyst providing estimates, which points to insufficient analyst coverage for a robust consensus view. This limited coverage is atypical for a company of its market cap and suggests it may be under-followed by the sell-side, potentially due to its controlled ownership structure and niche focus within media, which can lead to higher volatility and less efficient price discovery. The single analyst provides an estimated EPS of $5.79 for the coming period, but without a consensus price target or recommendation distribution, it is impossible to gauge the overall sentiment or implied upside/downside. The wide dispersion in historical analyst actions, including a recent downgrade from 'Buy' to 'Underperform' by B of A Securities in February 2026, juxtaposed with an 'Overweight' from JP Morgan in 2023, underscores the high uncertainty and lack of clear directional conviction among the few firms that do cover the stock.

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FOX Technical Analysis

The stock is in a pronounced downtrend from its recent highs, having declined -12.99% year-to-date and -1.49% over the last six months, significantly underperforming the S&P 500, which is up 10.93% and 10.70% over the same periods, respectively. Currently trading at $57.39, the price sits at approximately 29% of its 52-week range ($48.42 to $68.175), indicating it is much closer to its yearly low than its high, which suggests the stock is in a deep correction or bearish phase and may represent a potential value opportunity, though it carries the risk of being a 'falling knife' if the downtrend persists. Recent short-term momentum shows a modest 1.36% gain over the past month, which contrasts sharply with the 10.94% gain over the last three months, indicating a significant deceleration in upward momentum and potential exhaustion after a rally from the February lows; this is further evidenced by a -3.11% drop on the last trading day. The stock's beta of 0.526 indicates it is approximately 47% less volatile than the broader market, which is typical for a mature media company but also suggests it has offered little defensive shelter during its own decline. Key technical levels are clearly defined, with major resistance at the 52-week high of $68.175 and immediate support at the 52-week low of $48.42; a decisive break below the $48.42 support would signal a continuation of the bearish trend and potentially open the door to further losses, while a sustained move above the $65 level would be needed to suggest a more durable recovery is underway.

Beta

0.53

0.53x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-26.8%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$48-$68

Price range past year

Annual Return

+14.4%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodFOX ReturnS&P 500
1m+1.4%+5.0%
3m+10.9%+10.2%
6m-1.5%+11.0%
1y+14.4%+28.4%
ytd-13.0%+10.9%

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FOX Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth is modest and appears cyclical, with the most recent quarterly revenue of $5.182 billion representing a 2.05% year-over-year increase; however, this follows a more robust prior quarter where revenue was $3.738 billion, highlighting the seasonal and event-driven nature of the business (e.g., sports rights). The company remains profitable, posting net income of $229 million in the latest quarter, but this represents a significant sequential decline from the $599 million net income in the prior quarter, reflecting margin volatility. Gross margin for the latest quarter was 22.91%, a sharp contraction from the 41.63% gross margin in the prior quarter, indicating substantial pressure on profitability, likely due to high sports programming costs and a less favorable revenue mix. The balance sheet is solid with a strong current ratio of 2.91 and a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.62, suggesting ample liquidity and a conservative capital structure. The company generated substantial trailing twelve-month free cash flow of $2.536 billion, providing significant financial flexibility for shareholder returns and investments, while its return on equity of 18.92% indicates efficient use of shareholder capital, though this metric is subject to quarterly swings given the earnings volatility.

Quarterly Revenue

$5.2B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.02%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.22%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$2.5B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Cable Network Programming Segment
Television Segment

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Valuation Analysis: Is FOX Overvalued?

Given the company's consistent profitability, the primary valuation metric is the Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio. The trailing P/E stands at 10.52x, while the forward P/E is 10.88x, indicating the market expects essentially flat earnings growth in the near term, which aligns with the company's mature, cyclical profile. Compared to sector averages, Fox trades at a significant discount; its trailing P/E of 10.52x is well below the typical media/entertainment industry average (often in the mid-to-high teens), and its Price-to-Sales ratio of 1.46x also suggests a valuation discount relative to peers. This discount likely reflects investor concerns over cord-cutting pressures on its core cable networks and the capital intensity of sports rights, despite the growth potential of Tubi. Historically, the stock's own trailing P/E has fluctuated widely, from a low near 5.58x to a high over 34.54x in recent quarters; the current multiple of 10.52x sits near the lower end of this historical range, suggesting the market is pricing in pessimistic expectations or a cyclical trough, potentially offering a margin of safety if the core business proves stable.

PE

10.5x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range -82x~35x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

6.7x

Enterprise Value Multiple