FWONK

Liberty Media Corporation Series C Liberty Formula One Common Stock

$95.14

+1.78%
Jun 30, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Liberty Media Corporation, through its Series C Liberty Formula One Common Stock (FWONK), is a holding company with a primary focus on the global media, entertainment, and sports industries, specifically owning and operating the prestigious Formula 1 racing series and MotoGP. The company is a dominant force in premium global motorsport, leveraging the powerful Formula 1 brand to generate revenue from media rights, sponsorship, race promotion fees, and licensing. The current investor narrative centers on the company's ability to capitalize on Formula 1's surging popularity, particularly in the key U.S. market, while navigating the inherent cyclicality of its event-driven revenue streams and integrating its recent acquisition of MotoGP to build a broader two-wheel motorsport platform.

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FWONK 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $95.14
Average Target $95.14
High Target $109.41099999999999
Low Target $80.869

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Liberty Media Corporation Series C Liberty Formula One Common Stock's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $123.68 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$123.68

6 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

6

covering this stock

Price Range

$76 - $124

Analyst target range

Buy
1 (17%)
Hold
3 (50%)
Sell
2 (33%)

The stock is covered by 6 analysts, indicating moderate institutional research interest. The consensus sentiment leans bullish, as evidenced by recent upgrades from Bernstein (to Outperform) and Wells Fargo (to Equal Weight from Underweight). The average target price is not explicitly provided in the data, but analyst estimates point to an average EPS forecast of $4.59 for the coming period, which, when combined with the current PE multiple, suggests a forward-looking valuation framework is in place. The target range for estimates is provided for EPS ($4.37 low to $4.80 high) and revenue ($6.14B low to $6.60B high), indicating a relatively tight spread that reflects moderate consensus among analysts. The high end of the EPS range assumes successful execution on growth initiatives and margin stability, while the low end likely factors in potential economic sensitivity impacting sponsorship and event revenue. The pattern of recent institutional ratings shows a notable shift towards more positive sentiment in early 2026, which could be a leading indicator for future price performance if this analyst optimism translates into broader investor conviction.

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FWONK Technical Analysis

The stock is in a pronounced downtrend, having declined 12.86% over the past year, significantly underperforming the S&P 500's 20.95% gain. Currently trading at $90.45, the price sits approximately 35% above its 52-week low of $80.15 but 17% below its 52-week high of $109.36, positioning it in the lower-middle portion of its annual range and suggesting the downtrend has abated but a sustained recovery has not yet taken hold. Recent momentum shows a conflicting signal, with a 10.80% gain over the past three months indicating a potential bottoming process or short-term rebound, yet a 1.05% decline over the past month suggests this recovery attempt has stalled, creating uncertainty about the next directional move. Key technical support is clearly defined at the 52-week low of $80.15, while major overhead resistance resides near the 52-week high of $109.36. A decisive break below the $80 support would signal a resumption of the primary downtrend, whereas a sustained move above the $109 level would be necessary to confirm a major trend reversal. The stock's beta of 0.667 indicates it is approximately 33% less volatile than the broader market, which is notable given its entertainment/event-driven business model and suggests it has acted as a relative safe haven during recent market swings, though its significant underperformance highlights strong company-specific headwinds.

Beta

0.67

0.67x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-24.8%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$80-$109

Price range past year

Annual Return

-9.0%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodFWONK ReturnS&P 500
1m+4.8%-1.3%
3m+11.5%+14.0%
6m-3.4%+9.5%
1y-9.0%+20.9%
ytd-3.0%+9.5%

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FWONK Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth has been robust but highly volatile on a quarterly basis, with the most recent Q4 2025 revenue of $1.616 billion representing a substantial 38.47% year-over-year increase. However, examining the sequential quarterly trend reveals extreme fluctuations, from $447 million in Q1 2025 to $1.341 billion in Q2 2025, driven by the seasonal nature of the Formula 1 calendar; the Formula 1 segment, which contributed $1.203 billion in the latest period, is the unequivocal primary growth driver, while the 'Other' segment, including MotoGP, contributed $138 million. Profitability is positive but inconsistent, with Q4 2025 net income of $102 million translating to a net margin of 6.31%, a significant improvement from a net loss of $248 million in Q4 2024. The gross margin of 24.94% (trailing) and operating margin of 13.48% are healthy for the industry, though the quarterly gross margin has swung wildly from 6.68% in Q4 2025 to 38.40% in Q3 2025, indicating high revenue mix variability and cost structure tied to specific events. The balance sheet is solid with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.66, and the company maintains strong liquidity with a current ratio of 1.46. Most importantly, the company generates substantial cash, with trailing twelve-month free cash flow of $741 million, providing ample internal funding for operations and growth initiatives like the MotoGP acquisition without reliance on excessive external financing, as evidenced by a robust ROE of 7.15%.

Quarterly Revenue

$1.6B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.38%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.06%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$741000000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Formula 1
Other

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Valuation Analysis: Is FWONK Overvalued?

Given the company's positive net income, the primary valuation metric selected is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. The trailing PE stands at 40.26x, while the forward PE is 42.53x, indicating the market expects roughly stable earnings in the near term, with the slight premium possibly reflecting anticipated growth beyond the next twelve months. Compared to sector averages, the stock's valuation presents a mixed picture; its trailing PE of 40.26x is difficult to contextualize without a precise industry peer average from the provided data, but its Price-to-Sales (PS) ratio of 4.99x and EV/EBITDA of 22.89x are key metrics for a media/entertainment company. The absence of explicit industry comps in the data limits a definitive premium/discount calculation, but these multiples suggest the market is pricing in a premium for ownership of the unique, high-margin Formula 1 franchise. Historically, the stock's current trailing PE of 40.26x is significantly above its own recent historical range, as seen in the Q4 2025 historical ratio of 16.78x, indicating the market is currently pricing the stock at a much richer valuation multiple relative to its recent past. This could reflect heightened optimism about the sustainability of recent profitability or growth initiatives, but it also increases vulnerability to multiple compression if earnings growth fails to meet elevated expectations.

PE

40.3x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Mid-Range

5-Year PE Range -103x~231x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

22.9x

Enterprise Value Multiple