GWW

W. W. Grainger

$1312.24

+0.92%
Aug 21, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
W.W. Grainger, Inc. is a leading broad-line distributor of maintenance, repair, and operations (MRO) supplies, serving businesses across various industries through its High-Touch Solutions segment and its e-commerce platforms Zoro and MonotaRO. Founded in 1927, the company has evolved into a market leader in the industrial distribution sector, leveraging its vast product assortment, supply chain expertise, and digital capabilities to serve both large enterprise customers and smaller businesses. The current investor narrative centers on Grainger's ability to sustain double-digit revenue growth and margin expansion amid a mixed industrial environment, with recent quarterly results showing strong performance and the stock trading near its 52-week high, reflecting optimism about its growth trajectory and operational efficiency.

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GWW 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $1312.24
Average Target $1312.24
High Target $1509.08
Low Target $1115.40

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on W. W. Grainger's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $1325.43 and implied upside of +1.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$1325.43

0 analysts

Implied Upside

+1.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

covering this stock

Price Range

$1100 - $1500

Analyst target range

The target price range spans from $1,100 to $1,500, with the high target implying 14.3% upside and the low target implying 16.2% downside. The wide spread of $400 (30.5% of the current price) indicates significant uncertainty about Grainger's future performance. The high target likely assumes continued market share gains and margin expansion, while the low target may reflect concerns about industrial demand softening or competitive pressures. The presence of underweight ratings from Barclays suggests some analysts see limited upside, while the overall hold consensus indicates a balanced risk-reward profile at current levels.

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GWW Technical Analysis

GWW is in a strong uptrend, with the stock up 32.0% over the past year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 20.5% gain. The current price of $1,312.24 sits at 92.5% of its 52-week range (between $906.52 low and $1,419.91 high), indicating the stock is trading near its highs, which typically reflects robust momentum but also potential overextension. The 6-month price change of +16.4% confirms the sustained upward trend, though the stock has pulled back from its July peak of $1,402.03.

Beta

1.05

1.05x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-13.3%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$907-$1420

Price range past year

Annual Return

+32.0%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodGWW ReturnS&P 500
1m-3.1%+3.6%
3m+5.2%+2.7%
6m+16.4%+11.4%
1y+32.0%+18.7%
ytd+30.7%+12.3%

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GWW Fundamental Analysis

Grainger's revenue growth remains robust, with Q1 2026 revenue of $4.742 billion, up 10.1% year-over-year, accelerating from the 4.3% growth in Q1 2025. The company's High-Touch Solutions segment generated $3.752 billion in revenue, while the Endless Assortment segment contributed $990 million, with the latter growing faster as e-commerce adoption increases. This growth is driven by market share gains, pricing, and volume, supported by strong demand for MRO supplies across industrial and commercial end-markets.

Quarterly Revenue

$4.7B

2026-03

Revenue YoY Growth

+10.1%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

40.0%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$1.4B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Endless Assortment
High-Touch Solutions (N.A.)

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Valuation Analysis: Is GWW Overvalued?

Given Grainger's positive net income, the PE ratio is the primary valuation metric. The trailing PE is 28.4x, while the forward PE is 25.7x, indicating the market expects earnings growth of about 10% over the next year. This forward discount suggests a modestly optimistic outlook, with the market pricing in continued EPS expansion. The PEG ratio of -3.1 is not meaningful due to negative earnings growth expectations in the data, but the forward PE implies a reasonable growth-adjusted valuation.

PE

28.4x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range 15x~27x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

18.4x

Enterprise Value Multiple