HAL

Halliburton

$35.11

-0.17%
Jun 23, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Halliburton Company is a leading global provider of products and services to the energy industry, specializing in oilfield services such as hydraulic fracturing, completions, drilling fluids, and directional drilling. As North America's largest oilfield-services company by market share, it holds a dominant position in the completions and production segment, leveraging over a century of expertise in material science and reservoir-to-wellbore activities. The current investor narrative is dominated by the interplay between geopolitical tensions supporting oil prices and drilling activity, as highlighted by recent news of a major contract in Indonesia and analysis of the Strait of Hormuz situation, and the company's strategic pivot towards more stable international growth markets like Argentina's Vaca Muerta shale to mitigate regional volatility.

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HAL 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $35.11
Average Target $35.11
High Target $40.37649999999999
Low Target $29.8435

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Halliburton's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $45.64 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$45.64

6 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

6

covering this stock

Price Range

$28 - $46

Analyst target range

Buy
1 (17%)
Hold
3 (50%)
Sell
2 (33%)

Analyst coverage for Halliburton is substantial, with recent institutional ratings from firms like Goldman Sachs (Buy), Citigroup (Buy), and JP Morgan (Overweight) indicating a bullish consensus, though some maintain a neutral stance like UBS and BMO Capital. The consensus recommendation leans bullish, supported by the recent flurry of 'Buy' and 'Overweight' ratings in January 2026, which were largely reaffirmations of existing positive views. The average analyst EPS estimate for the coming period is $4.23, with a range from $4.05 to $4.39, implying a relatively tight spread and strong conviction in the earnings trajectory. The estimated revenue average is $28.21 billion, with a low of $27.28 billion and a high of $29.04 billion. The target price range is not explicitly provided in the data, but the high EPS target of $4.39 likely assumes successful execution on international growth initiatives and stable North American activity, while the low end may factor in potential oil price volatility or margin compression. The recent pattern of reiterated ratings, rather than upgrades or downgrades, suggests analysts are in a 'wait-and-see' mode following the stock's recent correction, awaiting clearer signals on the fundamental outlook.

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Bulls vs Bears: HAL Investment Factors

The evidence presents a tense battle between cyclical value and near-term momentum. The bull case, led by expectations of a strong earnings rebound (forward P/E 11.95x), robust cash flow, and a dominant market position, currently holds stronger fundamental evidence for long-term investors. However, the bear case is powerfully supported by the severe technical breakdown (-18.73% in 1 month) and clear signs of plateauing revenue growth. The single most important tension in the investment debate is whether the company's strategic pivot to international markets and expected earnings recovery can materialize quickly enough to overcome the acute sector-specific selling pressure and cyclical headwinds evident in the recent price action. The resolution of this tension will determine if the current price represents a value opportunity or a value trap.

Bullish

  • Strong Forward Earnings Growth: The forward P/E of 11.95x is a 35% discount to the trailing P/E of 18.48x, signaling analyst expectations for significant earnings growth. The average EPS estimate of $4.23 for the coming period implies a substantial recovery from recent quarterly volatility, supported by a bullish analyst consensus.
  • Dominant Market Position & Strategic Pivot: As North America's largest oilfield services company, HAL holds a leading position in the high-margin completions market. Recent news of a major contract in Indonesia and a strategic pivot to international growth markets like Argentina's Vaca Muerta shale provide a pathway to diversify revenue and mitigate regional volatility.
  • Robust Cash Flow & Financial Health: The company generates strong free cash flow (TTM $1.67B) and maintains a solid balance sheet with a current ratio of 2.04 and a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.78. This financial stability provides a buffer against cyclical downturns and funds shareholder returns, evidenced by a 12.26% ROE.
  • Attractive Valuation After Sharp Correction: The stock's 1-month decline of -18.73% has pushed its price to just 80% of its 52-week range, offering a potential entry point. The trailing P/E of 18.48x sits well below its own historical peaks (e.g., 65.02x in Q2 2022), suggesting the market is not pricing in excessive optimism.

Bearish

  • Severe Recent Price & Momentum Breakdown: The stock has suffered a severe -18.73% decline over the past month, underperforming the S&P 500 by -19.47 percentage points. This sharp correction from the 52-week high of $43.59 signals a potential trend reversal and deep sector-specific pressure that may not be over.
  • Plateauing Revenue & Cyclical Volatility: Q4 2025 revenue of $5.66B represents only 0.84% YoY growth, and the multi-quarter trend shows a decline from $5.83B in Q2 2024. Profitability is highly volatile, as seen in the Q3 2025 net margin collapsing to 0.32%, indicating sensitivity to the maturing energy cycle.
  • High Dependence on Commodity Prices: As an oilfield services provider, HAL's fortunes are directly tied to oil prices and producer capex. Recent news also shows the risk of a sudden 'peace trade' crushing oil prices (e.g., -14% plunge), which would immediately pressure drilling budgets and service demand.
  • Valuation Compression Risk in Downturn: Despite the recent drop, the stock's beta of 0.70 suggests it is less volatile than the market, but its cyclical nature means valuation multiples (P/E, EV/Sales) can compress rapidly if growth expectations falter. The gap between trailing and forward P/E leaves little room for earnings disappointment.

HAL Technical Analysis

The stock is in a sustained long-term uptrend but has recently experienced a sharp correction. The 1-year price change of +56.78% confirms the powerful bullish trend, yet the current price of $34.93 sits at just 80% of its 52-week range ($20.09 to $43.59), indicating a significant pullback from recent highs and suggesting a potential value opportunity after a period of overextension. Recent momentum has decisively reversed, with a severe 1-month decline of -18.73% and a 3-month drop of -4.38%, starkly diverging from the positive 1-year trend and signaling a potential trend reversal or deep correction, exacerbated by a massive -19.47 relative strength underperformance versus the S&P 500 over the past month. Key technical support is anchored at the 52-week low of $20.09, while immediate overhead resistance is at the 52-week high of $43.59. A breakdown below the recent low of $34.93 could target deeper support levels, whereas a recovery and breakout above $43.59 would signal a resumption of the primary bull trend. The stock's beta of 0.704 indicates it is approximately 30% less volatile than the broader market, which is notable given its recent sharp decline and suggests the sell-off may be driven more by sector-specific or company factors than broad market risk. The stock's recent price action shows a clear breakdown from a consolidation pattern, with the price falling from above $42 in late May to below $35 by mid-June. The 1-month price change of -18.73% significantly underperformed the S&P 500's +0.74% gain, highlighting acute sector-specific pressure. The 52-week high of $43.59, reached in late April, now represents a formidable resistance level approximately 25% above the current price, defining the near-term recovery ceiling.

Beta

0.70

0.70x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-18.7%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$20-$44

Price range past year

Annual Return

+69.0%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodHAL ReturnS&P 500
1m-15.3%-1.6%
3m-9.1%+11.7%
6m+25.3%+6.3%
1y+69.0%+22.2%
ytd+18.6%+7.6%

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HAL Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth has been modest but positive, with the most recent Q4 2025 revenue of $5.657 billion representing a slight 0.84% year-over-year increase. However, the multi-quarter trend shows revenue has plateaued, declining from $5.833 billion in Q2 2024, indicating a potential slowdown in the growth trajectory as the cycle matures. Segment data reveals the Completion and Production division generated $3.268 billion, significantly outpacing the Drilling and Evaluation segment's $2.389 billion, underscoring Halliburton's core strength in North American completions activity. The company is profitable, with Q4 2025 net income of $589 million and a net margin of 10.41%. Gross margin for the quarter was 16.56%, while the operating margin stood at 14.65%, reflecting solid operational efficiency. Profitability has been volatile quarter-to-quarter, as seen in the sharp drop to a net margin of just 0.32% in Q3 2025, but the full-year trend, supported by a trailing twelve-month net margin of 5.78%, indicates an overall profitable enterprise, albeit with cyclical sensitivity. Balance sheet health is reasonable, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.78 and a current ratio of 2.04, indicating manageable leverage and strong short-term liquidity. The company generates robust cash flow, with free cash flow TTM of $1.672 billion and an ROE of 12.26%, demonstrating an ability to fund operations and shareholder returns internally. The ROA of 7.38% confirms efficient use of assets to generate earnings, supporting the financial stability required for a capital-intensive, cyclical business.

Quarterly Revenue

$5.7B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.00%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.16%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$1.7B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Completion And Production
Drilling And Evaluation

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Valuation Analysis: Is HAL Overvalued?

Given a positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. The trailing PE is 18.48x, while the forward PE is significantly lower at 11.95x, indicating the market expects substantial earnings growth in the coming year. The large gap between trailing and forward multiples suggests analysts are forecasting a meaningful recovery in profitability, likely driven by improved operational execution and supportive commodity prices. Compared to sector averages, Halliburton's valuation presents a mixed picture. Its trailing PE of 18.48x is below the typical premium commanded by high-growth tech but must be assessed against energy services peers; the forward PE of 11.95x appears reasonable for a cyclical business at this stage. The Price-to-Sales ratio of 1.07 and EV-to-Sales of 1.68 suggest the market is valuing the company at a moderate multiple of its revenue base, which could be attractive if margins expand as projected. Historically, the current trailing PE of 18.48x sits well below its own historical peaks seen in recent years, such as the 26.92x in Q1 2025 and the 65.02x during the low-profitability period of Q2 2022. This positioning in the mid-to-lower end of its historical PE band suggests the stock is not pricing in overly optimistic expectations and may offer value if the cyclical earnings recovery materializes as anticipated by the forward multiple.

PE

18.7x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range 6x~290x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

7.2x

Enterprise Value Multiple

Investment Risk Disclosure

Financial & Operational Risks: Halliburton's primary financial risk is earnings volatility inherent to its cyclical business, as starkly demonstrated by the Q3 2025 net margin of 0.32% collapsing from 10.41% in Q4. Revenue growth has plateaued, with Q4 YoY growth at just 0.84% and a sequential decline from recent quarters, indicating sensitivity to fluctuations in producer capital expenditure. While the balance sheet is healthy with a D/E of 0.78 and strong liquidity (current ratio 2.04), the company remains exposed to margin pressure from intense industry competition and fixed-cost leverage during activity downturns.

Market & Competitive Risks: The stock faces significant valuation compression risk if the anticipated earnings recovery fails to materialize, given the large gap between its trailing (18.48x) and forward (11.95x) P/E. It is highly sensitive to oil price volatility, as recent news highlights both supportive geopolitical tensions and the potential for sudden de-escalation to crush crude prices. Furthermore, the strategic pivot to international growth, while a long-term positive, introduces execution risk against established global competitors and in new regulatory environments.

Worst-Case Scenario: The worst-case scenario involves a combination of a sharp, sustained drop in oil prices due to geopolitical de-escalation or demand destruction, triggering a freeze in North American drilling activity. This would be compounded by execution missteps in international expansion, leading to consecutive earnings misses. In this adverse scenario, the stock could re-test its 52-week low of $20.09, representing a potential loss of approximately -42% from the current price of $34.93. Historical volatility, while below the market (beta 0.70), does not preclude such a drawdown given the stock's recent -18.73% monthly decline.