KEEL

Keel Infrastructure Corp. Common Stock

$0.00

-14.68%
Jul 2, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Keel Infrastructure Corp is a North American digital infrastructure and energy company that develops and owns data centers and energy infrastructure for high-performance computing workloads, including AI. The company differentiates itself with a 2.2-gigawatt pipeline and established grid interconnections in high-demand power markets across Pennsylvania, Washington, and Quebec. The current investor narrative centers on its pivot to AI data centers, fueled by recent convertible financing, but the stock's future hinges on converting that capital into signed customer leases and demonstrating revenue growth.

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KEEL 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $4.59
Average Target $4.59
High Target $5.278499999999999
Low Target $3.9015

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Keel Infrastructure Corp. Common Stock's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $0.00 and implied upside of — versus the current price.

Average Target

$0.00

1 analysts

Implied Upside

vs. current price

Analyst Count

1

covering this stock

Price Range

$0 - $0

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
0 (0%)
Sell
1 (100%)

Only one analyst covers KEEL, with an average EPS estimate of -$0.39 for the current year. The consensus recommendation is not available, but the single analyst implies limited coverage. The average revenue estimate is $312.7 million, with a low of $208.3 million and a high of $493.5 million, indicating wide dispersion and high uncertainty. The implied upside or downside cannot be calculated without a price target. The lack of analyst coverage suggests KEEL is a small-cap stock with limited institutional interest, leading to higher volatility and less efficient price discovery. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and be aware that the stock may be more susceptible to sharp moves based on news flow.

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KEEL Technical Analysis

KEEL is in a strong uptrend over the past year, with the stock surging from a 52-week low of $0.943 to a high of $7.37, a 681% gain. The current price of $4.59 sits at 56.5% of the 52-week range, suggesting the stock is in the middle of its range after a significant rally. This positioning indicates a potential consolidation phase, as the stock has pulled back from its highs but remains well above its lows. The 1-year price change is not directly provided, but the 52-week range implies substantial upward momentum. Short-term momentum has turned negative, with a 1-month price change of -25.24% and a 3-month change of +112.5% (calculated from $2.16 on April 6 to $4.59 on July 2). The sharp 1-month decline contrasts with the strong 3-month gain, suggesting a corrective pullback within a longer-term uptrend. The relative strength versus the S&P 500 is -23.99% over 1 month, indicating significant underperformance. The stock's beta of 4.123 implies it is 312% more volatile than the market, amplifying both gains and losses. Key support is at the 52-week low of $0.943, while resistance is at the 52-week high of $7.37. A break above $7.37 would signal a resumption of the uptrend, while a break below $0.943 would indicate a bearish reversal. Given the high beta, investors should expect sharp swings and position size accordingly.

Beta

4.12

4.12x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-31.1%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$1-$7

Price range past year

Annual Return

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodKEEL ReturnS&P 500
1m-25.2%+1.0%
3m+13.0%
6m+7.7%
1y+19.1%
ytd+9.2%

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KEEL Fundamental Analysis

Revenue data is not available in the provided financials, but analyst estimates suggest 2026 revenue of $312.7 million. The company is pre-revenue or early-stage, as indicated by negative gross margins of -8.25% and a net margin of -124.1%. The lack of historical revenue segments makes it difficult to assess growth trajectory, but the focus on AI data centers suggests potential for future growth if leases are signed. The company is unprofitable, with a trailing EPS of -$0.22 and net income negative. Gross margin is -8.25%, indicating cost of goods sold exceeds revenue, which is typical for infrastructure companies in early development. Operating margin is -65.25%, reflecting high operating expenses relative to revenue. The company has a current ratio of 5.58, indicating strong short-term liquidity, but a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.22, suggesting moderate leverage. Return on equity is -50.78%, and return on assets is -9.02%, reflecting poor profitability. Free cash flow is negative, as indicated by a PCF ratio of -5.72. The company is likely dependent on external financing, as evidenced by the recent convertible debt offering.

Quarterly Revenue

N/A

N/A

Revenue YoY Growth

N/A

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

N/A

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

N/A

Last 12 Months

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Valuation Analysis: Is KEEL Overvalued?

Since net income is negative, the price-to-sales (PS) ratio is the primary valuation metric. The trailing PS ratio is 5.65x, based on estimated revenue of $312.7 million and a market cap of $1.30 billion. A forward PS ratio is not available, but the EV/Sales ratio of 13.75x is significantly higher due to debt. The negative PEG ratio of -0.015 indicates that earnings are expected to decline or remain negative. Industry average PS ratios for software-services companies are typically higher, but Keel's negative margins and early stage justify a discount. Compared to the industry average PS of 5.0x (hypothetical), Keel trades at a 13% premium, which may be warranted by its AI infrastructure pipeline. Historical PS ratios are not provided, but the current PS of 5.65x is likely elevated relative to its own history given the recent stock rally. The stock is pricing in optimistic expectations for future revenue growth and profitability, which carries execution risk.

PE

-4.5x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

N/A

5-Year PE Range 17x~59x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

-52.2x

Enterprise Value Multiple