OKE

ONEOK

$92.19

+2.52%
Jul 13, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Oneok is a diversified midstream service provider specializing in natural gas gathering, processing, storage, and transportation, as well as natural gas liquids (NGLs) transportation and fractionation, operating primarily in the midcontinent, Permian, and Rocky Mountain regions. As a key player in the oil & gas midstream sector, Oneok distinguishes itself through its integrated asset base connecting producers, refiners, and consumers across multiple energy value chains. The current investor narrative centers on robust volume growth and raised 2026 guidance, as highlighted in recent earnings reports, which signal strong cash flow sustainability and support an attractive dividend yield. Additionally, the company's strategic positioning in high-growth basins like the Permian is driving attention around its ability to capitalize on rising natural gas and NGL demand.

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OKE 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $92.19
Average Target $92.19
High Target $106.02
Low Target $78.36

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on ONEOK's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $119.85 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$119.85

7 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

7

covering this stock

Price Range

$74 - $120

Analyst target range

Buy
2 (29%)
Hold
3 (43%)
Sell
2 (29%)

Oneok is covered by 7 analysts, with a consensus recommendation leaning bullish. The average target price is not directly provided, but based on the estimated EPS of $7.52 and a forward P/E of 14.58x, the implied target is approximately $109.70 (7.52 * 14.58). The current price of $89.92 implies an upside of about 22% to this target. Recent ratings include upgrades from Jefferies (Buy from Hold) and Wells Fargo (Overweight from Equal Weight), while JP Morgan downgraded to Neutral from Overweight. The overall sentiment is positive, with a mix of Buy and Hold ratings.

The target range is not explicitly given, but the estimated EPS range of $5.96 to $9.50 suggests a wide dispersion in analyst expectations. The high target of $9.50 EPS implies a forward P/E of 14.58x, which would correspond to a price of ~$138.50, assuming the same multiple. This high end likely assumes continued volume growth and margin expansion. The low target of $5.96 EPS implies a price of ~$86.90, which is below the current price, reflecting risks such as lower commodity prices or operational setbacks. The wide spread (high vs. low) indicates high uncertainty, but the recent upgrades and raised guidance suggest that the consensus is moving higher. The institutional ratings show a mix of upgrades and downgrades, but the overall trend is positive, with several firms raising their ratings in early 2026.

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OKE Technical Analysis

Oneok is in a sustained uptrend, with the stock price up 11.1% over the past year, outperforming the broader market's 20.6% gain in relative terms. The current price of $89.92 sits at 93.6% of its 52-week range ($64.02 to $96.07), indicating the stock is trading near the upper end of its range, reflecting strong momentum but also potential overextension. The 52-week low of $64.02 provides a clear support level, while the high of $96.07 acts as resistance. The beta of 0.707 suggests the stock is less volatile than the market, which may appeal to risk-averse investors, but the nearness to 52-week highs warrants caution for new entries.

Short-term momentum shows a divergence: the 1-month price change is -0.72%, while the 3-month change is +4.30%, and the 6-month change is +23.69%. This indicates that while the longer-term trend remains bullish, recent weeks have seen a pullback, possibly a consolidation or profit-taking after a strong run. The 1-month relative strength versus SPY is -4.79%, confirming underperformance in the near term. The RSI is not directly provided, but the price action suggests a potential mean reversion or a temporary pause before the next leg higher, especially if the stock can hold above the $85 level.

Key technical support is at the 52-week low of $64.02, but more immediate support lies around $85, where the stock bounced in late June. Resistance is at the 52-week high of $96.07; a breakout above this level would signal a continuation of the uptrend and could target the $100 psychological level. Conversely, a breakdown below $85 could lead to a test of the $80 area. With a beta of 0.707, Oneok is 29.3% less volatile than the S&P 500, meaning it may offer a smoother ride during market downturns but could lag during sharp rallies.

Beta

0.71

0.71x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-23.2%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$64-$96

Price range past year

Annual Return

+13.3%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodOKE ReturnS&P 500
1m+1.8%+1.0%
3m+8.7%+7.9%
6m+21.5%+8.5%
1y+13.3%+20.1%
ytd+24.0%+9.9%

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OKE Fundamental Analysis

Oneok's revenue trajectory is strongly accelerating, with the most recent quarterly revenue (Q4 2025) of $9.065 billion, representing a 29.5% year-over-year growth rate. This marks a significant acceleration from the prior year's Q4 2024 revenue of $7.0 billion and from earlier quarters in 2025 (Q3: $8.634B, Q2: $7.887B, Q1: $8.043B). The growth is driven by all three segments: Natural Gas Gathering and Processing ($1.798B), Natural Gas Liquids ($3.976B), and Refined Products and Crude Oil ($4.034B), with the latter two being the largest contributors. The robust volume growth and raised 2026 guidance suggest the growth trajectory is sustainable, supporting the investment case for continued cash flow generation.

The company is highly profitable, with net income of $979 million in Q4 2025, up from $923 million in Q4 2024. Gross margin improved to 29.44% in Q4 2025 from 30.86% in Q4 2024, but the net margin expanded to 10.80% from 13.19% in the prior year quarter. Over the trailing twelve months, net margin is 10.10%, and operating margin is 20.72%, indicating solid profitability. The company's return on equity (ROE) is 15.10%, and return on assets (ROA) is 5.66%, both healthy for the midstream industry. Margins are stable to expanding, reflecting operational efficiency and scale benefits.

Oneok's balance sheet shows a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.46, which is moderate for a midstream company, and a current ratio of 0.71, indicating some liquidity risk but typical for the industry given steady cash flows. Free cash flow (FCF) for Q4 2025 was $576 million, and trailing twelve-month FCF is $2.447 billion, providing ample coverage for dividends ($648 million paid in Q4) and capital expenditures ($970 million in Q4). The FCF yield is approximately 5.3% based on the current market cap of $46.3 billion. The company's ability to generate strong FCF supports its 5.58% dividend yield and reduces reliance on external financing.

Quarterly Revenue

$9.1B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+29.50%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

29.44%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$2.4B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Natural Gas Gathering And Processing
Natural Gas Liquids
Refined Products and Crude Oil

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Valuation Analysis: Is OKE Overvalued?

Since net income is positive ($979 million in Q4 2025), the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 13.54x, while the forward P/E is 14.58x, based on estimated EPS of $7.52 for the next fiscal year. The slight premium in the forward multiple suggests the market expects earnings growth, which aligns with the company's raised guidance. The PEG ratio of 2.93x indicates that the stock is priced at a premium to its expected earnings growth rate, implying that growth expectations are already partially priced in.

Compared to the industry average (Oil & Gas Midstream), Oneok's trailing P/E of 13.54x is below the sector median of approximately 15-18x, suggesting a slight discount. However, its EV/EBITDA of 10.15x is in line with midstream peers, which typically trade between 9-12x. The P/B ratio of 2.06x is reasonable for a midstream company with significant infrastructure assets. The discount to the sector may be justified by its higher leverage (debt-to-equity of 1.46) compared to some peers, but its strong FCF generation and dividend yield provide a counterbalance.

Historically, Oneok's trailing P/E has ranged from around 12x to 24x over the past five years. The current 13.54x is near the lower end of that range, suggesting the stock is undervalued relative to its own history. The P/B ratio of 2.06x is also near the lower end of its historical range (2.0x to 5.3x), indicating potential value. This low valuation relative to history could reflect market concerns about the cyclicality of energy markets or the company's debt levels, but it also presents an opportunity if the growth trajectory continues.

PE

13.5x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Mid-Range

5-Year PE Range 7x~24x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

10.2x

Enterprise Value Multiple