QUBT

Quantum Computing Inc. Common

$8.66

-5.36%
Jul 10, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Quantum Computing Inc. develops integrated photonics and non-linear quantum optics-based machines for quantum computing, reservoir computing, remote sensing, imaging, and cybersecurity applications. As a niche player in the quantum computing hardware space, it differentiates itself with room-temperature, low-power, and affordable systems. The stock is currently under intense scrutiny as the quantum sector experiences a boom-and-bust cycle, with recent news highlighting a $2 billion government investment in quantum firms and a major IPO from Quantinuum, which could either lift or cannibalize existing players like QUBT. Investor attention is focused on the company's cash runway and ability to commercialize its technology before funding needs force dilution.

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QUBT 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $8.66
Average Target $8.66
High Target $9.96
Low Target $7.36

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Quantum Computing Inc. Common's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $11.26 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$11.26

1 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

1

covering this stock

Price Range

$7 - $11

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
0 (0%)
Sell
1 (100%)

Only 1 analyst covers QUBT, with a Buy rating. The consensus recommendation is Buy, but the average target price is not provided. The estimated EPS average is $2.15, with a low of $2.00 and high of $2.29, implying a forward PE of 4.2x based on the current price of $9.05. However, these estimates are highly speculative given the company's current losses. The implied upside cannot be calculated without a target price. The limited coverage (1 analyst) indicates that QUBT is a small-cap stock with low institutional interest, leading to higher volatility and less efficient price discovery. The analyst estimates for revenue ($1.56 billion) and EPS ($2.15) seem extremely optimistic and likely based on a best-case scenario of rapid commercialization. The lack of a target price and the wide gap between current fundamentals and estimates suggest high uncertainty. Investors should treat these estimates with caution.

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QUBT Technical Analysis

QUBT is in a sustained downtrend over the past year, with a 1-year price change of -56.17%. The current price of $9.05 sits at 14.6% of its 52-week range (low $6.18, high $25.84), indicating it is near the lows. This positioning suggests the stock is deeply out of favor and potentially oversold, but also reflects a lack of positive momentum and risk of further decline. The 52-week high of $25.84 represents a significant resistance level, while the low of $6.18 provides a support floor. With a beta of 3.78, the stock is nearly 4 times more volatile than the S&P 500, amplifying both upside and downside risks. A breakout above $25.84 would signal a major trend reversal, while a breakdown below $6.18 could trigger further selling. The 1-month price change of -26.12% sharply contrasts with the 3-month change of +31.73%, indicating a recent sharp pullback after a strong rally. This divergence suggests the stock is experiencing a volatile correction within a longer-term downtrend. The 1-month relative strength of -24.87% versus the S&P 500 confirms underperformance, while the 3-month relative strength of +18.17% shows the prior rally was sector-driven. The RSI is not provided, but the rapid decline from May highs to July lows implies oversold conditions, though momentum remains negative. The 52-week low of $6.18 and high of $25.84 define the trading range. The stock is currently 65% below its 52-week high, reflecting deep bearish sentiment. A move above $10.50 (recent June high) could signal short-term stabilization, while a break below $9.00 (current level) risks testing the $6.18 low. With a beta of 3.78, the stock's volatility is extreme, meaning it can move 3.78% for every 1% move in the S&P 500, requiring strict risk management.

Beta

3.78

3.78x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-74.4%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$6-$26

Price range past year

Annual Return

-54.8%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodQUBT ReturnS&P 500
1m-9.1%+4.1%
3m+22.7%+11.1%
6m-26.1%+8.8%
1y-54.8%+20.6%
ytd-21.3%+10.7%

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QUBT Fundamental Analysis

Revenue remains minuscule but showed a YoY increase of 219.35% in the most recent quarter (Q4 2025) to $198,000, though this is from a very low base. The multi-quarter trend is erratic: Q1 2025 revenue was $39,000, Q2 $61,000, Q3 $384,000, and Q4 $198,000. The Q3 spike was driven by a one-time contract, while Q4 normalized. The company is still pre-commercial, with no clear recurring revenue stream. The investment case hinges on future commercialization, but current revenue does not support the valuation. The company is unprofitable, with a net loss of -$1.556 million in Q4 2025, though this is a significant improvement from -$51.237 million in Q4 2024. Gross margin was negative at -49.49% in Q4 2025, meaning the cost of revenue exceeds revenue, though this improved from -826% in Q4 2024. Operating margin was -112.2%, indicating heavy R&D and SG&A spending. The trajectory toward profitability is unclear, as the company is still investing heavily in development. The balance sheet shows a strong cash position of $737.88 million as of Q4 2025, up from $78.945 million a year earlier, due to a massive $718.6 million equity offering. Debt is negligible (debt-to-equity of 0.0011), and the current ratio is 102.38, indicating ample liquidity. However, free cash flow was negative -$12.172 million in Q4 2025 and -$36.984 million TTM, meaning the company is burning cash. The cash runway is long, but dilution risk is high given the reliance on equity financing. ROE is -0.0117%, reflecting the net loss relative to equity.

Quarterly Revenue

$198000.0B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+219.35%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

-49.49%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$-36984000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

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Valuation Analysis: Is QUBT Overvalued?

Since net income is negative, the price-to-sales (PS) ratio is the primary valuation metric. The trailing PS ratio is 2,474.6x, while the forward PS ratio (based on estimated revenue of $1.563 billion) is 1.08x. The enormous gap between trailing and forward PS implies the market expects explosive revenue growth, but the forward estimate appears unrealistic given current revenue of ~$0.2 million. The PS ratio of 2,474.6x is astronomically high compared to the technology sector average of around 5-10x. Even the forward PS of 1.08x is not cheap for a pre-revenue company, as it still implies a market cap of $1.69 billion on hypothetical future revenue. The premium is not justified by current fundamentals and reflects speculative optimism. Historically, QUBT's PS ratio has ranged from near zero (when revenue was negligible) to over 8,000x. The current trailing PS of 2,474.6x is in the middle of its historical range, but the forward PS of 1.08x is near the low end if the revenue estimates materialize. However, given the extreme uncertainty, the current valuation is still pricing in a highly optimistic scenario that may not come to pass.

PE

-93.3x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range -268x~310x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

-69.6x

Enterprise Value Multiple