SPHR

Sphere Entertainment Co.

$151.51

-7.50%
Jul 6, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Sphere Entertainment Co. is a live entertainment and media company that creates, produces, and tours shows and events, operating through two segments: Sphere, a next-generation entertainment medium, and MSG Networks, which runs regional sports and entertainment networks along with direct-to-consumer streaming. The company distinguishes itself as a pioneer in immersive entertainment with its flagship Sphere venue in Las Vegas, blending cutting-edge technology with live performances. Investor attention is currently focused on the company's rapid revenue growth, driven by the Sphere segment's successful ramp-up, and its path to sustained profitability after a recent quarter turned profitable. The stock has surged over 285% in the past year, reflecting strong market enthusiasm for the Sphere's unique value proposition and expanding content pipeline.

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SPHR 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $151.51
Average Target $151.51
High Target $174.23649999999998
Low Target $128.78349999999998

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Sphere Entertainment Co.'s 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $196.96 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$196.96

2 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

2

covering this stock

Price Range

$121 - $197

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
1 (50%)
Sell
1 (50%)

Only 2 analysts cover SPHR, which is limited coverage for a mid-cap stock. The consensus recommendation is not explicitly provided, but institutional ratings show a mix: Benchmark holds at Hold, while BTIG, Guggenheim, JP Morgan, and Seaport Global rate it Buy or Overweight. The average target price is not available from the data, but the estimated EPS average is $1.20 for the next fiscal year. Given the current price of $163.79 and a forward P/E of -133.7x, the implied upside/downside is unclear without explicit targets. The limited analyst coverage suggests the stock is less followed, which can lead to higher volatility and less efficient price discovery. The wide range of estimated EPS ($1.19 to $1.21) indicates relatively low uncertainty among the covering analysts. Recent upgrades (e.g., Morgan Stanley from Equal Weight to Overweight in Dec 2025, BTIG from Neutral to Buy in Jan 2026) signal growing institutional confidence. However, the lack of a consensus price target makes it difficult to gauge the market's expected return.

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SPHR Technical Analysis

The stock is in a powerful sustained uptrend, with a 1-year price change of +285.5%, massively outperforming the S&P 500's +19.1%. Currently trading at $163.79, it sits at 93.8% of its 52-week range (low $37.89, high $174.60), indicating strong momentum near the top of the range. This positioning suggests bullish sentiment and potential for further upside, though it also raises caution about overextension given the magnitude of the move. Short-term momentum is accelerating: the 1-month change is +15.4% and the 3-month change is +28.7%, both significantly outpacing the S&P 500's -1.25% and +13.6% respectively. The 1-month relative strength of +16.6% confirms strong recent outperformance. This acceleration aligns with the longer-term uptrend, showing no divergence, and suggests the rally is broadening. The stock's beta of 1.6 indicates 60% more volatility than the market, amplifying both upside and downside moves. Key support lies near the 52-week low of $37.89, while resistance is at the 52-week high of $174.60. A breakout above $174.60 would signal a continuation of the uptrend, potentially targeting new highs. Conversely, a breakdown below recent support around $130 (the April low) could signal a deeper correction. The elevated short ratio of 11.77 days suggests significant bearish positioning, which could fuel a short squeeze if positive catalysts emerge.

Beta

1.60

1.60x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-17.7%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$38-$175

Price range past year

Annual Return

+248.9%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodSPHR ReturnS&P 500
1m+8.6%+1.9%
3m+21.9%+14.0%
6m+65.8%+8.9%
1y+248.9%+20.1%
ytd+60.7%+10.2%

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SPHR Fundamental Analysis

Revenue is accelerating strongly: the most recent quarter (Q2 FY2026, ended Dec 2025) reported revenue of $394.3 million, up 27.9% year-over-year, compared to the prior quarter's revenue of $262.5 million (Q1 FY2026). The trailing twelve-month revenue run-rate is approximately $1.22 billion. Growth is driven by the Sphere segment, with ticketing and venue license fee revenues of $560.8 million and media networks revenue of $438.6 million being the largest contributors. The company swung to profitability in Q2 FY2026, reporting net income of $64.7 million versus a net loss of $101.2 million in Q1 FY2026. Gross margin improved to 58.6% from 47.8% in the prior quarter, reflecting operating leverage as the Sphere venue scales. However, operating margin remains thin at 7.3% due to high SG&A expenses ($114.9 million). The company has a healthy balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.43 and a current ratio of 1.07, indicating adequate liquidity. Free cash flow was $165.0 million in Q2 FY2026, a significant improvement from negative free cash flow in prior periods. The company ended the quarter with $521.3 million in cash, providing a solid cushion for growth investments. Return on equity (ROE) was 1.5% on a trailing basis, but the recent profitable quarter suggests improving shareholder returns.

Quarterly Revenue

$394283000.0B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.27%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.58%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$190999000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Food, Beverage And Merchandise Revenues
Media Networks Revenue
Product and Service, Other
Ticketing And Venue License Fee Revenues

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Valuation Analysis: Is SPHR Overvalued?

Since net income is positive (TTM net income of $64.7 million), the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 186.1x, while the forward P/E is negative (-133.7x) due to estimated negative earnings for the next fiscal year. The wide gap between trailing and forward P/E reflects the market's expectation of a temporary earnings dip before future growth, but the negative forward P/E is a red flag. The P/S ratio of 5.1x provides a more reliable gauge given the earnings volatility. Compared to the industry average P/S (not provided, but entertainment sector typically trades around 2-4x), SPHR's 5.1x P/S suggests a premium valuation. The EV/Sales ratio of 4.7x further confirms this. The premium may be justified by the company's unique asset (Sphere venue) and rapid revenue growth, but it leaves little room for error. Historically, the trailing P/E of 186.1x is near the top of its historical range; over the past five years, the stock has traded at P/E multiples ranging from negative to over 200x. The current P/S of 5.1x is also elevated compared to its historical average of around 3-4x, indicating that the market is pricing in optimistic future growth. This suggests the stock is not cheap and carries high expectations.

PE

186.1x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range -19x~123x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

14.4x

Enterprise Value Multiple