Tempus AI
TEM
$57.93
-0.65%
Tempus AI is a technology company operating in the healthcare information services industry, focused on building a platform to liberate and operationalize clinical and molecular data to advance precision medicine. The company positions itself as a disruptive force, leveraging artificial intelligence and generative AI to enhance the accuracy and personalization of laboratory diagnostics and therapeutic insights. The current investor narrative centers on the company's transition from a high-growth, cash-burning startup to a more mature entity, with recent financial results showing significant revenue growth but ongoing losses, sparking debate about its path to profitability and the scalability of its AI-driven healthcare data platform.…
TEM
Tempus AI
$57.93
TEM 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Tempus AI's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $75.31 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.
Average Target
$75.31
5 analysts
Implied Upside
+30.0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
5
covering this stock
Price Range
$46 - $75
Analyst target range
Analyst coverage is limited, with only 5 analysts providing estimates, indicating this is a newer public company with a smaller institutional following, which can contribute to higher volatility. The consensus leans bullish, with recent institutional ratings from firms like Guggenheim, Needham, HC Wainwright, and Morgan Stanley all maintaining 'Buy' or 'Overweight' equivalents, while JP Morgan maintains a 'Neutral' stance; the lack of sell ratings and prevalence of buys suggests professional optimism about the long-term story despite near-term losses. A full target price range is not provided in the data, but analyst revenue estimates for the coming year average $3.12 billion, with a low of $3.04 billion and a high of $3.20 billion, showing a relatively tight range of about 5%, which indicates moderate consensus on the near-term growth trajectory, though the wide dispersion in historical valuation multiples points to underlying uncertainty about the appropriate price for that growth.
TEM Technical Analysis
The stock is in a pronounced downtrend over the past year, with a 1-year price change of -16.19%, significantly underperforming the SPY's +20.95% gain. Currently trading at $54.87, the price sits approximately 21% above its 52-week low of $41.73 but remains 47% below its 52-week high of $104.32, indicating it is recovering from deep lows but remains far from previous highs, suggesting a potential value opportunity amidst substantial prior weakness. Recent momentum shows a sharp divergence, with a strong 1-month gain of 17.60% and a 3-month surge of 28.74%, dramatically outperforming the market's negative and positive returns over those periods, respectively; this powerful short-term rebound against the longer-term downtrend could signal a potential trend reversal or a significant bear market rally, though it follows a severe maximum drawdown of -58.96%. Key technical levels are the 52-week low at $41.73 as critical support and the 52-week high at $104.32 as major resistance; a sustained breakout above the recent recovery highs would challenge the downtrend narrative, while a breakdown below support could renew the sell-off, with the stock's extreme beta of 3.62 indicating it is over 260% more volatile than the market, necessitating outsized risk tolerance for investors.
Beta
3.62
3.62x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-59.0%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$42-$104
Price range past year
Annual Return
-8.8%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | TEM Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | +14.8% | -1.3% |
| 3m | +23.2% | +14.0% |
| 6m | -1.9% | +9.5% |
| 1y | -8.8% | +20.9% |
| ytd | -7.1% | +9.5% |
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TEM Fundamental Analysis
Revenue growth is exceptionally strong but shows signs of sequential deceleration; Q4 2025 revenue reached $367.2 million, representing a massive 82.98% year-over-year increase, yet this follows even higher growth in prior quarters, with Q3 2025 revenue at $334.2 million and Q2 at $314.6 million, indicating the growth engine remains powerful but the rate of increase may be moderating from its peak. The company is deeply unprofitable, with a Q4 2025 net loss of $54.2 million, though this improved from a $79.98 million loss in Q3; the gross margin of 89.74% in Q4 is exceptionally high and expanded significantly from 61.61% in Q3, driven by a favorable revenue mix, but this is offset by substantial operating expenses, resulting in a net margin of -14.75%. Financial health is a concern due to heavy cash burn, with trailing twelve-month free cash flow deeply negative at -$404.0 million, a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.70 indicating significant leverage, and a return on equity of -49.87%, though the current ratio of 3.13 suggests adequate short-term liquidity; the company is currently dependent on external financing to fund its growth and losses, as internal cash generation is insufficient.
Quarterly Revenue
$367211000.0B
2025-12
Revenue YoY Growth
+0.82%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
+0.89%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$-403985000.0B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
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Valuation Analysis: Is TEM Overvalued?
Given the negative net income, the primary valuation metric selected is the Price-to-Sales (PS) ratio. The trailing PS ratio is 8.09x, while the Enterprise Value-to-Sales (EV/Sales) is 7.34x, indicating the market is valuing the stock at a significant premium to its current sales, which is typical for high-growth, pre-profitability companies in the tech-enabled healthcare sector. Peer comparison data is not available in the provided dataset, preventing a direct sector premium/discount analysis; however, the high PS multiple relative to the company's own historical range suggests the market is pricing in expectations for continued rapid revenue expansion and future margin improvement. Historically, the stock's PS ratio has fluctuated wildly, from a high of 28.02x at the end of 2025 to much lower levels in prior quarters; the current 8.09x is at the lower end of its recent historical range, which could indicate the market has tempered its growth expectations or sees the stock as relatively more attractive following its significant price decline over the past year.
PE
-41.9x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Mid-Range
5-Year PE Range -105x~0x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
-49.5x
Enterprise Value Multiple

