TEM

Tempus AI

$48.82

+0.47%
Jun 9, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Tempus AI is a technology company operating in the healthcare information services industry, focused on building the Tempus Platform to liberate and operationalize clinical and molecular data. The company positions itself as a disruptor in precision medicine, leveraging artificial intelligence, including generative AI, to enhance the accuracy and personalization of laboratory diagnostics. The current investor narrative centers on the company's transition from a high-growth, cash-burning startup to a more mature entity, with recent financial results showing significant revenue growth but ongoing losses, sparking debate about its path to profitability and the scalability of its AI-driven healthcare data platform.

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TEM 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $48.82
Average Target $48.82
High Target $56.142999999999994
Low Target $41.497

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Tempus AI's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $63.47 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$63.47

5 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

5

covering this stock

Price Range

$39 - $63

Analyst target range

Buy
1 (20%)
Hold
2 (40%)
Sell
2 (40%)

Analyst coverage is limited, with only 4 analysts providing estimates, indicating this is a relatively new public company with evolving institutional interest. The consensus appears bullish among those who cover it, with recent institutional ratings from Guggenheim, Needham, HC Wainwright, and Morgan Stanley all maintaining 'Buy' or 'Overweight' equivalents, while JP Morgan maintains a 'Neutral' stance. The average revenue estimate for the next period is approximately $3.12 billion, and the average EPS estimate is $2.80, but specific price targets and an implied upside/downside are not available in the provided data, preventing a calculation of consensus target price. The implications of limited coverage include potentially higher volatility and less efficient price discovery, as the stock's narrative is still being established among the investment community, with recent news highlighting sector-wide rotations out of tech which may be impacting sentiment irrespective of company-specific fundamentals.

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TEM Technical Analysis

The stock is in a pronounced downtrend, with a 1-year price change of -16.76% and a 6-month decline of -31.83%, significantly underperforming the SPY's 27.04% and 10.41% gains over the same periods. Currently trading at $52.26, the price sits approximately 17% above its 52-week low of $41.73 but 50% below its 52-week high of $104.32, indicating it is in the lower quartile of its annual range and suggesting a potential value opportunity, though the persistent downtrend warns of continued weakness. Recent momentum shows a slight divergence, with a 1-month decline of -3.35% compared to a flat 3-month performance (0.0%), yet both periods show severe negative relative strength versus the market (-7.95 and -12.6, respectively), indicating the stock's weakness is persistent and broad-based, not just a short-term pullback. Key technical levels are clearly defined, with immediate support at the 52-week low of $41.73 and resistance at the recent high near $77 from December 2025; a breakdown below $41.73 would signal a new leg down, while a sustained move above $60 is needed to suggest a meaningful reversal, with the stock's high short ratio of 5.44 indicating significant bearish sentiment that could fuel a sharp rally on any positive catalyst.

Beta

Max Drawdown

-59.0%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$42-$104

Price range past year

Annual Return

-27.1%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodTEM ReturnS&P 500
1m-2.1%-0.1%
3m-7.3%+9.0%
6m-33.9%+7.0%
1y-27.1%+22.9%
ytd-21.7%+8.1%

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TEM Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth is exceptionally strong but shows signs of sequential deceleration; Q4 2025 revenue reached $367.2 million, representing a robust 82.98% year-over-year increase, yet this follows even higher growth rates in prior quarters, with Q3 revenue at $334.2 million. The company's gross margin improved dramatically to 89.74% in Q4 from 61.61% in Q3, driven by a favorable revenue mix, but this stellar profitability at the gross level has not translated to the bottom line. The company remains deeply unprofitable, with a Q4 net loss of $54.2 million, contributing to a trailing twelve-month free cash flow of -$404.0 million, and the net margin was -14.75%, though this is an improvement from the -23.93% net margin in Q3, indicating losses are narrowing on a relative basis as revenue scales. The balance sheet shows a strong current ratio of 3.13, providing ample liquidity, but financial health is pressured by a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.66 and deeply negative returns on assets and equity (-9.07% and -49.87%, respectively), signaling the company is heavily reliant on external financing to fund its operations and growth given its substantial cash burn.

Quarterly Revenue

$367211000.0B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.82%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.89%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$-403985000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

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Valuation Analysis: Is TEM Overvalued?

Given the company's negative net income, the primary valuation metric selected is the Price-to-Sales (PS) ratio. The trailing PS ratio is 8.09x, while the Enterprise Value-to-Sales (EV/Sales) is 6.75x, reflecting a market capitalization of $10.29 billion against significant revenue growth. The forward-looking PEG ratio of 0.61, based on estimated earnings growth, suggests the market may be pricing in very high future growth to justify current sales multiples. A direct peer comparison is challenging as industry average multiples are not provided in the data, but the stock's sales multiple must be evaluated against its own growth profile; with revenue growing over 80% YoY, a PS ratio near 8x could be considered reasonable for a high-growth healthcare AI platform, though sustainability is key. Historically, the stock's own PS ratio has compressed dramatically from 28.02x at the end of Q4 2025 to the current 8.09x, indicating it is trading near the bottom of its recent valuation band, which may reflect either a value opportunity after a steep decline or a market reassessment of its growth prospects and path to profitability.

PE

-42.0x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Mid-Range

5-Year PE Range -105x~0x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

-47.2x

Enterprise Value Multiple