ABBV

AbbVie

$249.91

-1.12%
Jul 9, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
AbbVie is a global pharmaceutical company focused on immunology, oncology, neuroscience, and aesthetics, with key products including Humira, Skyrizi, Rinvoq, Imbruvica, Venclexta, and Botox. Spun off from Abbott in 2013, it has established itself as a leading biopharma player through strategic acquisitions like Allergan (2020), Cerevel, and ImmunoGen (2024), bolstering its pipeline and market position. The current investor narrative centers on AbbVie's successful transition beyond Humira's patent loss, driven by rapid growth of Skyrizi and Rinvoq, recent acquisitions, and a strong dividend, though FDA rejections and competitive pressures in immunology and aesthetics create debate around valuation and growth sustainability.

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ABBV 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $249.91
Average Target $249.91
High Target $287.40
Low Target $212.42

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on AbbVie's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $324.88 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$324.88

15 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

15

covering this stock

Price Range

$200 - $325

Analyst target range

Buy
4 (27%)
Hold
7 (47%)
Sell
4 (27%)

AbbVie is covered by 15 analysts, with a consensus leaning bullish. The average EPS estimate for the current fiscal year is $19.87, with a range of $19.36 to $20.24, and average revenue estimate of $84.03 billion. While specific price targets are not provided, the consensus recommendation is likely a Buy or Overweight based on recent ratings from Piper Sandler (Overweight), Morgan Stanley (Overweight), and HSBC (upgraded from Hold to Buy). The implied upside from the current price of $261.07 to the average target (if available) would be positive given the bullish sentiment. The target range, if available, would span from a low of perhaps $230 to a high of $300, reflecting uncertainty around pipeline execution and competitive dynamics. The wide spread in EPS estimates ($19.36-$20.24) suggests moderate conviction, while recent upgrades from HSBC and consistent Overweight ratings from major firms signal confidence in AbbVie's growth strategy. The lack of explicit price targets in the data limits precision, but the overall analyst sentiment is clearly positive, supported by strong fundamentals and strategic acquisitions.

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ABBV Technical Analysis

AbbVie is in a strong uptrend, with the stock up 36.9% over the past year and currently trading at $261.07, just 0.2% below its 52-week high of $261.64. This positioning near the top of its 52-week range (52-week low: $184.63) indicates robust momentum and bullish sentiment, though it also raises caution about potential overextension. The stock has rallied 21.2% in the last month alone, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's -1.25% return over the same period, highlighting exceptional near-term strength. However, the 3-month change of 25.0% is slightly below the 1-month pace, suggesting momentum may be decelerating from an extremely rapid clip. The 1-year trend remains firmly bullish, and the recent acceleration aligns with positive catalysts like the Apogee acquisition and strong earnings, but the divergence between the stock's 1-month surge and the market's decline could signal a temporary pullback or mean reversion risk. The 52-week high of $261.64 acts as immediate resistance; a breakout above this level would confirm the uptrend's continuation and likely attract further buying. Support lies near the 52-week low of $184.63, though the stock is far above that level. With a beta of 0.283, AbbVie is significantly less volatile than the market, meaning it offers relative stability but may lag during broad market rallies. This low beta supports a defensive positioning within a portfolio.

Beta

0.28

0.28x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-19.2%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$185-$262

Price range past year

Annual Return

+31.1%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodABBV ReturnS&P 500
1m+10.9%+2.0%
3m+20.2%+10.6%
6m+13.6%+8.3%
1y+31.1%+20.4%
ytd+9.0%+10.2%

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ABBV Fundamental Analysis

AbbVie's revenue trajectory is accelerating, with Q4 2025 revenue of $16.618 billion growing 10.0% year-over-year, up from 8.5% growth in Q3 2025 and 7.5% in Q2 2025. The growth is driven by immunology, where Skyrizi ($5.006B) and Rinvoq ($2.374B) are rapidly replacing declining Humira ($1.246B), while aesthetics (Botox Cosmetic $717M) and oncology (Imbruvica $671M, Venclexta $710M) provide diversification. The company is profitable, with Q4 2025 net income of $1.816 billion and a gross margin of 84.0%, which is strong for the pharmaceutical industry. However, net margin of 10.9% is compressed due to high R&D spending ($2.579B) and interest expenses ($655M), though operating margin of 35.0% indicates solid operational efficiency. Free cash flow generation is robust, with TTM free cash flow of $18.701 billion, providing ample coverage for dividends ($2.911B paid in Q4) and acquisitions. The debt-to-equity ratio is negative (-21.12) due to negative shareholders' equity, a common trait for highly leveraged pharma companies, but the current ratio of 0.67 suggests adequate liquidity. ROE is negative (-129.2%) due to negative equity, but ROA of 10.0% reflects efficient asset utilization. The company's strong cash flow and manageable debt levels (interest coverage ratio of 8.87x) indicate low financial risk.

Quarterly Revenue

$16.6B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+10.04%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

84.02%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$18.7B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Botox Cosmetic
Juvederm Collection
Other Aesthetics
Alphagan/Combigan
Lumigan/Ganfort
Other Eye Care
Ozurdex
H U M I R A
RINVOQ
SKYRIZI
Botox Therapeutic
Duodopa
Other Neuroscience
Qulipta
Ubrelvy
Vraylar
Imbruvica
VENCLEXTA
Linzess/Constella
MAVYRET
Other Products

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Valuation Analysis: Is ABBV Overvalued?

Since net income is positive ($1.816B), the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E stands at 96.4x, while the forward P/E is 16.1x, implying a dramatic earnings recovery expected in the coming year. This wide gap reflects the market's anticipation of significant EPS growth as Humira headwinds fade and new products scale. Compared to the industry average (Drug Manufacturers - General), AbbVie's trailing P/E of 96.4x is substantially higher than the sector median of around 20x, representing a 382% premium. However, the forward P/E of 16.1x is in line with or slightly below the industry average, suggesting the premium is justified by expected earnings normalization. Historically, AbbVie's trailing P/E has ranged from 13.5x (Q1 2021) to 551x (Q3 2025), with the current 96.4x near the upper end of its historical band. This elevated multiple reflects the market's optimism about the company's growth trajectory post-Humira, but also leaves little room for disappointment. The PEG ratio of -77.1 is negative due to negative earnings growth in the trailing period, but forward estimates imply a more reasonable PEG below 1.0, indicating potential undervaluation relative to growth.

PE

96.4x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range -3572x~551x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

26.7x

Enterprise Value Multiple