AME

Ametek

$249.89

+0.53%
Oct 12, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Ametek, Inc. is a diversified industrial manufacturer operating through two core segments: the Electronic Instruments Group (EIG), which sells analytical, test, and measurement instruments, and the Electromechanical Group (EMG), which produces highly engineered components, interconnects, and specialty metals for research, aerospace, energy, medical, and manufacturing end markets. The company is a serial acquirer that owns more than 40 autonomous industrial businesses, positioning itself as a niche-market leader that emphasizes product differentiation and pricing power rather than scale-driven commodity competition. The current investor narrative centers on Ametek's accelerating organic growth — Q2 2026 revenue rose 14.98% year-over-year to $2.04 billion — alongside a 10% dividend increase announced in February 2026 that management framed as a signal of confidence in sustained cash generation. Debate among investors focuses on whether Ametek's premium valuation multiple is justified by its consistent margin profile and acquisition-driven compounding, or whether the stock has become overextended after a 35.6% one-year gain that has outpaced the broader industrial sector.

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BobbyInvestment Opinion: Should I buy AME Today?

Based on the synthesis of fundamental, valuation, and analyst data, Ametek earns a Hold rating with a bullish bias. The core thesis is that Ametek is a high-quality industrial compounder with accelerating revenue growth (14.98% YoY in Q2 2026), consistent ~20% net margins, and strong free cash flow ($1.82 billion TTM), but its premium valuation (trailing PE of 31.98x, PEG of 4.05) already reflects much of this strength. The analyst consensus is 'buy' with an average target of $281.94, implying 13.4% upside, but the wide target range ($217-$318) and the stock's position near its 52-week high suggest limited near-term margin of safety.

Supporting evidence for the Hold rating includes: 1) Revenue growth of 14.98% YoY, well above the industrial sector's typical mid-single-digit growth; 2) Net margin of 19.9%, significantly higher than the sector average of 10-12%; 3) Free cash flow of $1.82 billion TTM with a 93.4% conversion rate, providing ample capital for dividends and acquisitions; 4) Low debt-to-equity of 0.221, offering financial flexibility; and 5) Analyst target upside of 13.4%, which is moderate but not compelling enough to justify a strong buy at current levels. The forward PE of 26.03x is more reasonable but still above the sector average.

The biggest risks that could invalidate the thesis are: 1) A slowdown in organic growth below 10%, which would likely trigger multiple compression; 2) Margin erosion if input costs rise or acquisition integration falters; and 3) A broader industrial downturn that reduces demand for Ametek's products. The rating would upgrade to Buy if the stock pulls back to the $220-$230 range (forward PE below 20x) or if revenue growth accelerates above 15% with margin expansion. It would downgrade to Sell if revenue growth decelerates below 8% or if operating margins fall below 22%. Relative to its history and peers, Ametek appears overvalued, trading near the high end of its historical PE range and at a premium to the sector.

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AME 12-Month Price Forecast

Ametek presents a balanced risk/reward profile. The company's accelerating revenue growth, consistent margins, and strong cash flow are offset by a premium valuation that leaves little room for error. The neutral stance reflects the stock's fair valuation relative to its growth prospects, with moderate upside to the analyst average target. A breakout above the 52-week high of $261.16 could shift the stance to bullish, while a breakdown below $240 or a deceleration in revenue growth below 10% would warrant a bearish view. Key monitorables include Q3 2026 earnings for signs of sustained growth and margin trends.

Historical Price
Current Price $249.89
Average Target $271.55
High Target $318.00
Low Target $179.24

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Ametek's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $281.94 and implied upside of +12.8% versus the current price.

Average Target

$281.94

0 analysts

Implied Upside

+12.8%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

—

covering this stock

Price Range

$217 - $318

Analyst target range

Ametek is covered by 18 analysts, with a consensus recommendation of "buy" (recommendation mean of 1.75 on a 1-5 scale where 1 is Strong Buy). The average price target is $281.94, which implies 13.4% upside from the current price of $248.58. The consensus leans bullish, supported by recent institutional ratings that show a preponderance of Buy/Outperform/Overweight ratings from firms including BNP Paribas, TD Cowen, Truist Securities, RBC Capital, BMO Capital, DA Davidson, and KeyBanc, with only Citigroup and Baird maintaining Neutral stances. The estimated EPS average of $12.03 and revenue average of $11.18 billion for the forward period underpin the constructive outlook.

The target price range spans from a low of $217.00 to a high of $318.00, a spread of $101.00, or 46.5% of the low target — a relatively wide range that signals meaningful dispersion in analyst expectations. The high target of $318.00 implies 27.9% upside and likely assumes accelerating organic growth, successful M&A integration, and multiple expansion toward the upper end of Ametek's historical PE band. The low target of $217.00 implies 12.7% downside and likely prices in margin compression, slower industrial demand, or a de-rating of the premium multiple. The wide spread, combined with the fact that the consensus target of $281.94 sits 13.4% above the current price, suggests analysts see moderate upside but disagree on the magnitude, with the balance of recent ratings actions (mostly reiterations rather than upgrades) indicating stable rather than improving sentiment.

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Bulls vs Bears: AME Investment Factors

The bull case rests on Ametek's accelerating revenue growth (14.98% YoY in Q2 2026), consistent ~20% net margins, strong free cash flow ($1.82 billion TTM), and a conservative balance sheet (debt-to-equity of 0.221). The bear case centers on a premium valuation (trailing PE of 31.98x, PEG of 4.05) that is near historical highs, decelerating momentum (six-month relative strength of -8.77%), and the stock trading just 5% below its 52-week high. Currently, the bull evidence is stronger due to the reacceleration in revenue and robust cash generation, but the valuation premium is a significant risk. The single most important tension is whether Ametek can sustain its growth acceleration to justify the premium multiple; if growth decelerates, the stock could face a sharp de-rating.

Bullish

  • Revenue growth accelerating to 15%: Q2 2026 revenue rose 14.98% year-over-year to $2.04 billion, a sharp acceleration from the 6.2% YoY growth implied by Q2 2025 revenue of $1.78 billion. This reacceleration suggests Ametek's niche-market strategy and acquisition pipeline are driving durable top-line momentum.
  • Consistent profitability with 20% net margin: Q2 2026 net income was $406.9 million, representing a 19.9% net margin, consistent with the 19.6%-20.7% range over the prior four quarters. Operating margin of 25.84% and EBITDA margin of 30.74% reflect strong pricing power and cost discipline.
  • Strong free cash flow conversion: TTM free cash flow is $1.82 billion, with Q2 2026 generating $451.7 million in FCF on $483.7 million in operating cash flow, a 93.4% conversion rate. This robust cash generation funds dividends, buybacks, and acquisitions without straining the balance sheet.
  • Conservative balance sheet with low leverage: Debt-to-equity is just 0.221 and total debt-to-capitalization is 17.0%, providing ample capacity for future accretive M&A. The current ratio of 1.06 indicates adequate short-term liquidity.

Bearish

  • Premium valuation near historical highs: The trailing PE of 31.98x is near the top of Ametek's historical range (21.8x-34.0x) and represents a 40-50% premium to the industrial sector's low-20s average. The PEG ratio of 4.05 signals the premium is not fully supported by expected growth.
  • Decelerating momentum and relative underperformance: While the stock is up 35.61% over one year, it gained only 5.21% in the past month and 6.24% over three months, trailing the one-year gain. Six-month relative strength versus SPY is negative at -8.77%, indicating a mid-cycle correction.
  • Gross margin compression in Q2: Gross margin declined to 35.95% in Q2 2026 from 37.21% in Q1 2026, though it remains within the trailing 35.8%-37.2% band. This slight compression could signal input cost pressures or mix shift.
  • Stock near 52-week high, limited near-term upside: At $248.58, the stock trades at 84.7% of its 52-week range and just 5.0% below its 52-week high of $261.16. Historically, this level has acted as a ceiling, and a breakout may be needed to sustain momentum.

AME Technical Analysis

Ametek is in a sustained uptrend, with the stock up 35.61% over the past year and 18.86% year-to-date, decisively outperforming the S&P 500's 16.0% and 14.17% respective gains. At a current price of $248.58, the stock is trading at approximately 84.7% of its 52-week range (low of $179.24, high of $261.16), positioning it in the upper quartile of its annual band. This positioning signals strong momentum but also raises the risk of overextension, particularly given that the stock sits just 5.0% below its 52-week high — a level that has historically acted as a ceiling. The 52-week range spans $81.92, or roughly 45.7% of the low, indicating meaningful volatility over the trailing year despite the stock's relatively low beta of 0.962.

Recent momentum is positive but decelerating relative to the longer-term trend. The stock gained 5.21% over the past month and 6.24% over the past three months, both of which trail the 35.61% one-year gain, suggesting the pace of appreciation is moderating. Relative strength versus SPY is positive across all measured windows — 3.09% over one month, 3.11% over three months, and 19.61% over one year — but the six-month relative strength is negative at -8.77%, revealing that Ametek underperformed the market during the spring 2026 period before reasserting leadership. This divergence between the strong one-year trend and the negative six-month relative performance suggests the stock experienced a mid-cycle correction and is now in a recovery phase, with the recent 5.21% monthly gain confirming renewed buying interest.

Key technical levels are well-defined: support rests at the 52-week low of $179.24, while resistance sits at the 52-week high of $261.16. A breakout above $261.16 would signal a continuation of the primary uptrend and likely attract momentum-driven capital, while a breakdown below the $240 area — which has served as a recent pivot — could expose the stock to a deeper retracement toward the $220-$225 zone where it consolidated in May and June 2026. The beta of 0.962 indicates the stock is slightly less volatile than the broader market, which is unusual for an industrial name and suggests defensive characteristics; this matters for position sizing, as a lower beta implies less need to downsize for volatility risk, though the max drawdown of -13.7% over the period shows the stock is not immune to sharp corrections.

Beta

0.96

0.96x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-13.7%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$180-$261

Price range past year

Annual Return

+39.4%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodAME ReturnS&P 500
1m+3.3%+1.8%
3m+6.8%+3.5%
6m+8.6%+11.2%
1y+39.4%+19.1%
ytd+19.5%+14.1%

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AME Fundamental Analysis

Ametek's revenue trajectory is clearly accelerating, with Q2 2026 revenue of $2.04 billion representing 14.98% year-over-year growth — a notable acceleration from the 6.2% YoY growth implied by Q2 2025 revenue of $1.78 billion. The sequential progression tells a consistent story: revenue rose from $1.93 billion in Q1 2026 to $2.04 billion in Q2 2026, and the year-over-year comparison shows growth reaccelerating after a period of mid-single-digit expansion in 2025. Segment data reveals that the Electronic Instruments Group generated $1.32 billion (64.6% of revenue) while the Electromechanical Group contributed $723 million (35.4%), with EIG's larger base and higher-growth profile likely driving the overall acceleration. This reacceleration is the linchpin of the bull case, as it suggests Ametek's niche-market strategy and acquisition pipeline are translating into durable top-line momentum.

Profitability remains robust and stable, with Q2 2026 net income of $406.9 million on a 19.9% net margin, consistent with the 19.6%-20.7% range seen across the prior four quarters. Gross margin came in at 35.95% in Q2 2026, down slightly from 37.21% in Q1 2026 but in line with the 35.8%-37.2% band over the trailing year, indicating no structural margin deterioration. Operating margin was 25.84% in Q2 2026, and EBITDA margin was 30.74%, both reflecting Ametek's ability to maintain pricing power and cost discipline despite input cost pressures. The company's 26.15% operating margin (per valuation data) is healthy for the electrical equipment and industrial instrumentation space, where mid-20s margins are considered strong, and the stability of these margins across quarters reinforces the quality of Ametek's earnings.

Ametek's balance sheet is conservatively managed, with a debt-to-equity ratio of just 0.221 and a current ratio of 1.06, indicating adequate short-term liquidity. Free cash flow remains a standout: TTM free cash flow is $1.82 billion, and Q2 2026 alone generated $451.7 million in FCF on $483.7 million in operating cash flow, a 93.4% FCF conversion rate. The company returned capital aggressively in Q2 2026, paying $77.9 million in dividends and repurchasing $265,000 in stock while also deploying $214.9 million on acquisitions — all funded internally without straining the balance sheet. With ROE of 13.93% and ROA of 8.16%, Ametek demonstrates efficient capital deployment, and the low leverage (total debt-to-capitalization of 17.0%) provides ample capacity for future accretive M&A.

Quarterly Revenue

$2.0B

2026-06

Revenue YoY Growth

+15.0%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

35.9%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$1.8B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Electromechanical Group
Electronic Instruments Group

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Valuation Analysis: Is AME Overvalued?

Because Ametek is solidly profitable — Q2 2026 net income of $406.9 million and trailing EPS of $1.78 — the PE ratio is the appropriate primary valuation metric. The stock trades at a trailing PE of 31.98x and a forward PE of 26.03x, with the 5.95-point gap (an 18.6% compression) implying the market expects meaningful earnings growth over the next twelve months. This expectation is supported by consensus EPS estimates of $12.03 for the forward period, which would represent substantial growth from the current run-rate, and the forward PE of 26.03x is more reasonable than the trailing figure suggests, though still elevated on an absolute basis.

Relative to the broader industrial sector, Ametek trades at a premium: its trailing PE of 31.98x compares to a typical industrial sector average in the low-20s, implying a premium of roughly 40-50%. The PS ratio of 6.39x and EV/EBITDA of 21.37x further confirm the premium positioning, with the EV/EBITDA multiple notably above the 15-18x range typical for diversified industrials. This premium is partially justified by Ametek's superior margins (19.99% net margin vs. sector averages closer to 10-12%), consistent FCF generation, and a proven acquisition model that has compounded shareholder value over decades. However, the PEG ratio of 4.05 signals that the premium is not fully supported by the expected growth rate, suggesting the market is pricing in either multiple expansion or growth acceleration beyond current consensus.

Historically, Ametek's PE ratio has ranged from approximately 21.8x (Q3 2022) to 34.0x (Q2 2026), with the current 31.98x sitting near the top of that band. The PS ratio of 6.39x is also elevated relative to the 2022-2023 range of 16.7x-24.0x (though the historical ratios data appears to use a different share count basis, the directional signal is clear). The current valuation is near the upper end of Ametek's own historical range, which suggests the market is pricing in optimistic expectations for continued growth acceleration and margin expansion. Investors should weigh whether the premium is sustainable given the decelerating six-month relative strength and the fact that the stock is already trading at 84.7% of its 52-week range.

PE

32.0x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range 25x~31x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

21.4x

Enterprise Value Multiple

Investment Risk Disclosure

Ametek's financial risks are relatively contained but not negligible. The company carries a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.221 and a current ratio of 1.06, indicating a conservative balance sheet with adequate liquidity. However, the interest expense of $30.1 million in Q2 2026, up from $16.9 million in Q2 2025, reflects rising borrowing costs that could pressure earnings if debt levels increase for acquisitions. Additionally, gross margin compression to 35.95% in Q2 2026 from 37.21% in Q1 2026, though within the historical range, warrants monitoring as it could signal input cost inflation or unfavorable product mix. The company's reliance on acquisitions for growth introduces integration risk and potential earnings volatility, as evidenced by the $214.9 million spent on acquisitions in Q2 2026 alone.

Market and competitive risks are significant given Ametek's premium valuation. The trailing PE of 31.98x is near the top of its historical range (21.8x-34.0x) and represents a 40-50% premium to the industrial sector's low-20s average. If growth slows or market sentiment shifts, multiple compression could lead to a sharp decline. The beta of 0.962 indicates the stock is slightly less volatile than the market, but it remains exposed to industrial cyclicality and macroeconomic headwinds. Competitive pressures in niche markets could erode Ametek's pricing power, and the wide analyst target range ($217-$318) highlights uncertainty. Recent news of a 10% dividend increase in February 2026 signals confidence, but also raises expectations for sustained cash generation.

The worst-case scenario for Ametek would involve a combination of slowing organic growth, margin erosion, and a de-rating of its premium multiple. If revenue growth decelerates below 10% and operating margins compress toward 20%, the stock could fall to its 52-week low of $179.24, representing a 27.9% decline from the current price of $248.58. The analyst low target of $217.00 implies a 12.7% downside, but a more severe scenario could see the stock test the $180-$190 range, especially if a recession reduces demand for industrial equipment. The max drawdown over the past period was -13.7%, but in a bear market, losses could exceed 30% from current levels.

FAQ

The key risks include: 1) Valuation risk: the premium multiple could compress if growth slows, with downside to the 52-week low of $179.24 (-27.9%). 2) Margin risk: gross margin declined to 35.95% in Q2 2026 from 37.21% in Q1 2026, and further compression could hurt earnings. 3) Cyclical risk: as an industrial company, Ametek is exposed to economic downturns, which could reduce demand for its products. 4) Acquisition risk: the company's growth strategy relies on M&A, and integration failures could lead to earnings misses. These risks are ranked from highest to lowest severity, with valuation risk being the most immediate.

The 12-month forecast for Ametek includes three scenarios: bull case (25% probability) with a target range of $281.94-$318.00, base case (55% probability) with a target range of $261.16-$281.94, and bear case (20% probability) with a target range of $179.24-$217.00. The base case is most likely, assuming revenue growth moderates to 10-12% and margins remain stable, leading the stock to trade around the analyst average target of $281.94. The key assumption is that no major recession occurs and Ametek continues to execute on its acquisition strategy.

Ametek appears overvalued relative to its historical average and the broader industrial sector. The trailing PE of 31.98x is near the high end of its historical range (21.8x-34.0x) and represents a 40-50% premium to the sector's low-20s average. The PEG ratio of 4.05 suggests the premium is not fully supported by expected growth. However, the forward PE of 26.03x is more reasonable and reflects anticipated earnings growth. The market is pricing in continued growth acceleration and margin expansion, leaving little room for disappointment. A fair valuation would likely be in the $220-$240 range, implying a PE of 28-30x.

Ametek is a good buy for long-term investors who prioritize quality and stability over deep value. The stock offers 13.4% upside to the analyst average target of $281.94, supported by accelerating revenue growth (14.98% YoY) and strong free cash flow ($1.82 billion TTM). However, the premium valuation (trailing PE of 31.98x) and the stock's position near its 52-week high limit near-term upside. The biggest downside risk is a de-rating to the analyst low target of $217.00, implying 12.7% downside. Therefore, it is a good buy on pullbacks to the $220-$230 range, but at current levels, it is more of a Hold.

Ametek is more suitable for long-term investment due to its consistent cash generation, low beta (0.962), and reliable dividend (yield of 0.60%). The company's growth is driven by acquisitions and organic expansion, which require time to materialize. Short-term trading is less attractive given the stock's premium valuation and the potential for volatility around earnings. A minimum holding period of 3-5 years is recommended to fully benefit from Ametek's compounding ability and to ride out any cyclical downturns. The stock's low beta makes it a defensive holding in a diversified portfolio.