BLK

BlackRock

$1053.47

-0.85%
Apr 23, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
BlackRock, Inc. is the world's largest asset manager, providing a diverse range of investment management, risk management, and advisory services to institutional and retail clients globally. The company operates as a dominant platform leader, distinguished by its massive scale, with over $14 trillion in assets under management, and its unparalleled iShares ETF franchise, which commands a leading global market share in passive strategies. The current investor narrative is dominated by the company's record quarterly performance, with assets hitting a new high of $13.9 trillion, signaling robust organic growth and fee generation, while simultaneously navigating a complex macroeconomic environment marked by shifting inflation expectations and geopolitical tensions that influence capital flows and market volatility.

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BLK 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $1053.47
Average Target $1053.47
High Target $1211.4904999999999
Low Target $895.4495

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on BlackRock's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $1369.51 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$1369.51

2 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

2

covering this stock

Price Range

$843 - $1370

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
1 (50%)
Sell
1 (50%)

Analyst coverage for BlackRock appears limited in the provided dataset, with only two analysts cited for estimates. The consensus leans bullish based on the available institutional ratings, which show recent actions including an upgrade from UBS to 'Buy' and maintained 'Overweight' or 'Outperform' ratings from firms like Barclays and KBW. The average target price must be inferred from estimated EPS; with an average EPS estimate of $73.73 and a forward P/E of 17.35x, this implies a target price of approximately $1279, suggesting significant upside from the current price of $1052.14. The target range, derived from EPS estimates, is wide, with a low EPS of $66.59 and a high of $78.53, translating to price targets of roughly $1155 to $1362 using the forward P/E. The high target likely assumes successful execution on growth initiatives, sustained market share gains in ETFs, and a supportive market environment boosting assets and fees. The low target may factor in risks like market downturns, fee compression, or regulatory headwinds. The recent upgrade from UBS to 'Buy' indicates a positive shift in sentiment among some analysts, but the limited number of explicit targets in the data suggests investors should seek broader consensus data for a more complete picture.

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BLK Technical Analysis

The stock is in a pronounced downtrend over the observed six-month period, with the price declining from approximately $1160 in October 2025 to a recent close of $1052.14, representing a 6-month price change of -9.39%. The current price of $1052.14 sits roughly 55% above its 52-week low of $845.82 but remains about 14% below its 52-week high of $1219.94, indicating it is trading in the lower-middle portion of its annual range, which suggests the stock has experienced significant pressure but is not at extreme oversold levels. Recent momentum shows a stark divergence, with a strong 1-month gain of 8.66% contrasting sharply with a 3-month loss of -9.55%; this suggests the stock may be attempting a recovery rally from deeply oversold conditions seen in early March, potentially signaling a near-term trend reversal or a relief bounce within a broader corrective phase. Short-term momentum has turned sharply positive, with the 1-month price increase of 8.66% significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 7.36% gain over the same period, as indicated by a relative strength of 1.30. This recent strength conflicts with the longer-term 1-year underperformance, where BLK's 20.14% gain lags the S&P 500's 34.9% surge by nearly 15 percentage points. The sharp rally from the March low near $923 suggests heavy buying interest, potentially driven by the strong Q1 earnings news, but it remains to be seen if this can overcome the overhead supply established during the prior downtrend. Key technical support is anchored at the 52-week low of $845.82, while immediate resistance lies at the 52-week high of $1219.94. A sustained breakout above the recent recovery high near $1163 would signal a potential resumption of the primary uptrend, whereas a breakdown below the March lows would confirm the bearish structure. The stock exhibits high market sensitivity with a beta of 1.49, meaning it is approximately 50% more volatile than the broader market, which amplifies both upside and downside moves and is a critical factor for risk-aware investors sizing their positions.

Beta

1.49

1.49x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-23.3%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$893-$1220

Price range past year

Annual Return

+18.0%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodBLK ReturnS&P 500
1m+7.9%+8.5%
3m-6.8%+2.8%
6m-7.3%+4.6%
1y+18.0%+32.3%
ytd-2.9%+3.9%

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BLK Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth has been robust but volatile on a quarterly basis. The most recent Q4 2025 revenue was $7.01 billion, representing a strong 23.45% year-over-year increase. However, examining the sequential quarterly trend from the income statement reveals volatility: revenue grew from $5.23 billion in Q1 2025 to a peak of $7.01 billion in Q4, but dipped in Q3 to $6.51 billion. The Investment Advice segment, at $5.28 billion, is the primary revenue driver, indicating the core asset management franchise remains the growth engine, though the quarterly fluctuations suggest sensitivity to market performance and fee rates. The company is highly profitable, with Q4 2025 net income of $1.13 billion and a net margin of 16.08%. Gross margin for the quarter was 45.63%, but this metric has shown significant quarterly variation, ranging from 47.88% in Q1 2025 to 59.90% in Q3 2025, likely due to mix shifts in revenue streams and performance fees. The trailing twelve-month net margin from valuation data is a healthier 22.93%, and the operating margin is 29.09%, indicating strong underlying profitability and operational efficiency for the asset management industry. Balance sheet health is exceptionally strong, underscored by a remarkably high current ratio of 70.15 and a conservative debt-to-equity ratio of 0.27. The company generates substantial cash, with free cash flow over the trailing twelve months at $3.59 billion. This robust cash generation, coupled with a return on equity of 9.94%, supports shareholder returns and internal funding for growth, positioning BlackRock with a fortress-like financial profile that provides significant resilience in market downturns.

Quarterly Revenue

$7.0B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.23%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.45%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$3.6B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

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Valuation Analysis: Is BLK Overvalued?

Given the company's consistent profitability with positive net income, the primary valuation metric selected is the Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio. The trailing P/E ratio is 29.90x, while the forward P/E is notably lower at 17.35x. This substantial gap implies the market expects a significant earnings rebound in the coming year, pricing in a recovery from potentially depressed current earnings or anticipating accelerated profit growth. Compared to industry averages, BlackRock's trailing P/E of 29.90x trades at a premium. While a direct industry average P/E is not provided in the data, the stock's Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio of 6.86x and EV-to-Sales of 6.46x offer context; these sales multiples suggest the market values its revenue stream highly, likely justifying the premium with its industry-leading scale, profitability (29.09% operating margin), and dominant competitive position in the fast-growing ETF market. Historically, the current trailing P/E of 29.90x sits below the recent high of 36.83x seen at the end of Q4 2025, as shown in the historical ratios data, but above the lower end of its historical range observed over the past few years. This positioning in the mid-to-upper part of its own historical band suggests the market is pricing in a reasonable but not overly optimistic growth outlook, acknowledging recent challenges but also the company's durable franchise and recovery potential.

PE

29.9x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range 15x~37x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

20.0x

Enterprise Value Multiple

Investment Risk Disclosure