BMY

Bristol-Myers Squibb

$57.78

-1.58%
Apr 27, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. is a global biopharmaceutical company that discovers, develops, and markets innovative medicines for serious diseases, with a primary focus on oncology, cardiovascular, and immunology. The company is a recognized leader in immuno-oncology, anchored by its blockbuster drug Opdivo, and holds a significant market position with a portfolio that includes other major products like Eliquis and Revlimid. The current investor narrative is dominated by the looming patent cliff for key drugs, particularly Eliquis and Opdivo, creating intense pressure on the company to execute on its pipeline to replenish future revenue streams, a challenge underscored by recent news highlighting the dividend's risk and incremental pipeline updates.

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BMY 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $57.78
Average Target $57.78
High Target $66.447
Low Target $49.113

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Bristol-Myers Squibb's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $75.11 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$75.11

11 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

11

covering this stock

Price Range

$46 - $75

Analyst target range

Buy
3 (27%)
Hold
5 (46%)
Sell
3 (27%)

The stock is covered by 11 analysts, with a consensus that leans neutral to cautiously optimistic, as evidenced by recent institutional ratings including 'Hold' from HSBC and 'Neutral' from Citigroup, alongside 'Overweight' and 'Buy' ratings from others. The average analyst target price is derived from estimated EPS of $4.88 and estimated revenue of $36.39 billion, though a specific dollar target is not provided in the data; the implied valuation based on the forward PE of 9.56x suggests the market is currently pricing the stock in line with these earnings expectations. The target range for estimated EPS is tight, from $4.72 to $4.99, indicating strong consensus on near-term earnings power, but the wide dispersion in analyst actions (from Hold to Buy) reflects the ongoing debate about the long-term growth trajectory beyond the patent cliff, with recent news highlighting both pipeline successes and dividend sustainability concerns.

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BMY Technical Analysis

The stock is in a sustained uptrend over the past year, evidenced by a 20.58% gain, but is currently experiencing a short-term pullback from its recent highs. With a current price of $58.71, the stock is trading at approximately 93% of its 52-week high of $62.89 and well above its 52-week low of $42.52, indicating it remains in a strong longer-term uptrend but is extended and may be consolidating gains. Recent momentum has turned negative, with the stock down 0.39% over the past month and showing a stark divergence from the S&P 500's 8.7% gain over the same period, as indicated by a -9.09 relative strength reading, suggesting the stock is significantly underperforming the broader market in the near term despite its strong 6-month gain of 33.95%. Key technical support lies near the 52-week low of $42.52, while immediate resistance is at the 52-week high of $62.89; a decisive breakout above $62.89 would signal a resumption of the primary uptrend, while a breakdown below the recent consolidation range near $57 could indicate a deeper correction. The stock's beta of 0.273 indicates it is approximately 73% less volatile than the market, which is typical for a large-cap pharmaceutical stock and suggests it is viewed as a defensive holding, though its recent underperformance against a rising market is a notable divergence.

Beta

0.27

0.27x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-30.2%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$43-$63

Price range past year

Annual Return

+20.6%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodBMY ReturnS&P 500
1m-1.3%+12.8%
3m+4.0%+2.8%
6m+35.6%+4.0%
1y+20.6%+29.9%
ytd+8.1%+4.9%

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BMY Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth is modest but positive, with Q4 2025 revenue of $12.502 billion representing a 1.3% year-over-year increase; however, this masks significant quarterly volatility, as revenue grew from $11.201 billion in Q1 2025 to the Q4 level, indicating a sequential recovery from a weaker start to the year. The company remains profitable with a Q4 2025 net income of $1.086 billion, translating to a net margin of 8.69%, but profitability has been inconsistent, with the gross margin at 67.23% for the quarter showing stability in its core pricing power despite the net income figure being down significantly from the $2.201 billion reported in Q3 2025. The balance sheet carries significant leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.55, but the company generates robust cash flow, with trailing twelve-month free cash flow of $12.845 billion, providing ample coverage for its dividend and debt obligations, and a return on equity of 38.18% indicates efficient use of shareholder capital, albeit amplified by the high financial leverage.

Quarterly Revenue

$12.5B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.01%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.67%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$12.8B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

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Valuation Analysis: Is BMY Overvalued?

Given the company's positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. The trailing PE ratio is 15.61, while the forward PE is 9.56, based on estimated EPS of $4.88; this significant discount of the forward multiple implies the market expects a substantial earnings recovery in the coming year. Compared to typical industry averages for large pharmaceutical companies, a trailing PE of 15.6x is generally in line or at a slight discount, suggesting the market is not pricing in superior growth, which is consistent with the company's patent cliff concerns. Historically, the stock's own trailing PE has fluctuated widely, from a high of 398.5 in Q4 2024 (due to abnormally low earnings) to a low of -2.25 in Q1 2024 (during a net loss); the current 15.6x is near the middle of this volatile range but below the levels seen in 2023 (often in the teens to twenties), indicating the market is valuing the stock with a degree of caution relative to its own history, likely reflecting the near-term earnings pressure.

PE

15.6x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range -2x~398x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

10.1x

Enterprise Value Multiple

Investment Risk Disclosure