CAT

Caterpillar Inc.

$717.22

-1.79%
Apr 2, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Caterpillar Inc. is the world's leading manufacturer of construction and mining equipment, diesel and natural gas engines, and locomotives. It is a dominant player in the industrial machinery sector, leveraging a vast global dealer network and captive finance arm to support its market leadership.

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CAT 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $717.22
Average Target $717.22
High Target $824.803
Low Target $609.6370000000001

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Caterpillar Inc.'s 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $932.39 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$932.39

5 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

5

covering this stock

Price Range

$574 - $932

Analyst target range

Buy
1 (20%)
Hold
2 (40%)
Sell
2 (40%)

No sufficient analyst coverage available. The provided analyst data only includes estimates for EPS and revenue from 5 analysts but does not contain consensus target prices or ratings distribution. Recent institutional rating actions from late 2024 show a mix of Buy, Overweight, and a few Sell or Underweight ratings, but these are not current consensus figures as of the analysis date.

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CAT Technical Analysis

The stock has demonstrated a strong overall uptrend over the past six months, with a price increase of 44.42% from around $490 in early October 2025 to $708.46 as of March 31, 2026. This performance significantly outpaces the broader market, as evidenced by a relative strength of 47.24% against the S&P 500 over the same period. In the short term, the stock has shown volatility, declining 4.63% over the past month but gaining 23.67% over the past three months. The one-month decline was less severe than the S&P 500's 5.25% drop, resulting in positive relative strength of 0.62%. The price surged from a low near $490 in October to a peak above $775 in February before pulling back. The current price of $708.46 sits within the upper half of its 52-week range of $267.30 to $789.81, representing approximately 89% of the yearly high. This indicates the stock is trading near recent highs despite the recent pullback from its February peak.

Beta

1.53

1.53x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-21.8%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$267-$790

Price range past year

Annual Return

+114.3%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodCAT ReturnS&P 500
1m-0.7%-3.6%
3m+19.9%-4.0%
6m+44.1%-2.0%
1y+114.3%+16.2%
ytd+19.9%-3.8%

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CAT Fundamental Analysis

Revenue for Q4 2025 was $19.13 billion, representing 18% year-over-year growth from the same quarter in 2024. However, profitability metrics showed some pressure; the net income margin for Q4 2025 was 12.55%, down from 17.21% in Q4 2024, and quarterly net income declined from $2.79 billion to $2.40 billion year-over-year. The company maintains a strong cash position with $9.99 billion in cash at the end of Q4 2025 and generated robust free cash flow of $10.27 billion over the trailing twelve months. However, financial leverage is elevated with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.03, indicating significant use of debt financing. Return on Equity (ROE) is exceptionally high at 41.62%, reflecting efficient use of shareholder capital, partly amplified by the high financial leverage. The current ratio of 1.44 suggests adequate short-term liquidity to cover obligations.

Quarterly Revenue

$19.1B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.18%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.28%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$10.3B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

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Valuation Analysis: Is CAT Overvalued?

Given the company's positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio. The trailing P/E ratio is 30.12, while the forward P/E is 25.51, based on the current price of $708.46. The Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio is 3.95 and the Enterprise Value-to-Sales (EV/Sales) is 5.39. Peer comparison data is not available in the provided inputs. The valuation appears elevated based on traditional P/E metrics, though the forward P/E suggests some earnings growth expectation. The high P/E ratios reflect the market's premium pricing for Caterpillar's industry leadership and recent strong performance.

PE

30.1x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range 11x~28x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

20.2x

Enterprise Value Multiple

Investment Risk Disclosure