CB

CB

Chubb Limited is a global leader in the insurance industry, specializing in property and casualty coverage.
It is widely recognized for its underwriting excellence, financial strength, and diverse suite of products for both corporate and personal clients, positioning it as a premier provider of risk management solutions.

$301.01 +0.32 (+0.11%)

Updated: January 14, 2026, 16:00 EST

Analyzed by Rockflow Bobby Quantitative Model āœ“ Updated Daily

Investment Opinion: Should I buy CB Today?

Based on a comprehensive analysis of CB, the stock presents a nuanced investment case.

From a technical standpoint, CB shows modest positive momentum and relative strength, with its low beta indicating stability. Fundamentally, the company exhibits solid revenue growth and robust profitability, underpinned by a very strong balance sheet with minimal debt. However, significant concerns arise from its valuation. While the P/E and P/B ratios suggest the stock is inexpensive, the negative PEG ratio and very high EV/EBITDA point to weak growth prospects and poor cash flow generation relative to its valuation, which are major red flags.

Recommendation: HOLD. CB is a fundamentally sound company with strong financials, making it a relatively low-risk holding. However, the significant negative signals from key valuation metrics, particularly the negative earnings growth expectation, currently overshadow its strengths and prevent a buy recommendation. Investors should wait for clearer signs of improved growth momentum or a more compelling valuation before considering a new position.

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CB 12-Month Price Forecast

RockFlow Model Forecast: Three Scenarios for 2026

Based on the comprehensive analysis provided, here is a 12-month outlook for CB:

12-Month Outlook for CB

CB's outlook is primarily balanced between its strong financial foundation and significant valuation concerns. The key positive catalyst is its inherent operational strength, including solid revenue growth and a robust, debt-light balance sheet, which provides stability. The main risk remains its valuation, particularly the negative earnings growth expectations signaled by the negative PEG ratio, which could limit upward price momentum. In the absence of a specific analyst target, the stock is likely to trade in a relatively tight range, with a potential upside to the $320-$340 area only materializing if the company demonstrates improved growth prospects or cash flow generation that justifies a higher multiple.

Wall Street Consensus

Most Wall Street analysts are optimistic about CB's 12-month outlook, with consensus target around $301.01, indicating expected upside potential.

Average Target
$301.01
25 analysts
Implied Upside
+0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
25
covering this stock
Price Range
$241 - $391
Analyst target range
Buy Buy
8 (32%)
Hold Hold
15 (60%)
Sell Sell
2 (8%)

Bulls vs Bears: CB Investment Factors

Overall, CB has investment potential but also faces challenges. Here are key factors to weigh before investing.

Bullish Bullish
  • Strong Q3 Earnings Beat: Q3 earnings surpassed consensus due to robust underwriting and low catastrophe losses.
  • Berkshire Hathaway Major Share Purchase: Berkshire added 4.3 million shares, signaling strong institutional confidence.
  • Positive Stock Momentum: Shares climbed nearly 8% over the past month amid investor optimism.
  • Strategic Brand and Leadership Moves: New Chubb Benefits brand launch and key COO appointment bolster North American operations.
  • Recent Stock Price Surge: Stock jumped 3.6% on reports of a strategic Lloyd's of London acquisition.
Bearish Bearish
  • Earnings Growth Turns Negative: Recent results show a reversal from five-year average growth of 12.7%.
  • Margin Compression Concerns: Faces margin slide, challenging previous optimistic financial narratives.
  • Valuation Questions After Rally: Steady climb prompts investor scrutiny over whether shares are overvalued.
  • Dependence on Favorable Conditions: Strong Q3 relied on light catastrophes, which may not persist.
  • Competitive and Operational Pressures: Margin declines indicate potential challenges in maintaining underwriting profitability.
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CB Technical Analysis

Of course. Here is the technical analysis of CB's stock performance.

Overall Assessment CB's stock exhibits modest positive momentum despite a recent minor pullback, demonstrating relative strength against the broader market over the medium term.

Short-term Performance The stock has retreated slightly over the past month (-1.73%), suggesting a short-term consolidation or pullback. However, this is overshadowed by a solid 5.75% gain over three months, during which it outperformed the market by 2.38%, indicating underlying strength.

Current Position Trading at $300.69, CB sits near the midpoint of its 52-week range ($260.97 - $316.94), indicating it is neither overbought nor oversold. With a beta of 0.51, the stock is significantly less volatile than the market, which aligns with the contained nature of its recent maximum drawdown of -12.06%.

šŸ“Š Beta
0.51
0.51x market volatility
šŸ“‰ Max Drawdown
-12.1%
Largest decline past year
šŸ“ˆ 52-Week Range
$263-$317
Price range past year
šŸ’¹ Annual Return
+12.2%
Cumulative gain past year
Period CB Return S&P 500
1m -2.4% +1.3%
3m +6.4% +5.7%
6m +7.5% +10.6%
1y +12.2% +16.5%
ytd -2.9% +1.1%

CB Fundamental Analysis

Revenue & Profitability CB demonstrates solid revenue growth, increasing from $14.9B in Q2 to $16.1B in Q3 2025, reflecting strong top-line performance. Profitability remains robust with a net income margin of 17.4% in Q3, supported by stable operating margins around 24%. The company maintains healthy gross profit margins exceeding 30%, indicating effective cost management relative to revenue generation.

Financial Health The company maintains a conservative capital structure with a low debt ratio of 6.4% and debt-to-equity of 24%, reflecting minimal leverage risk. Strong interest coverage of nearly 20x demonstrates ample capacity to service debt obligations. Cash flow metrics appear solid with operating cash flow covering 21% of total debt, supporting financial stability.

Operational Efficiency CB's operational efficiency shows room for improvement, with return on equity at 3.9% and asset turnover of 0.06 indicating modest capital utilization. The cash conversion cycle of 137 days suggests extended working capital requirements, primarily driven by high days sales outstanding. However, the company maintains adequate cash reserves at $104 per share, providing operational flexibility.

Quarterly Revenue
$16.1B
2025-09
Revenue YoY Growth
+8.8%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
N/A%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$1.9B
Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

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Valuation Analysis: Is CB Overvalued?

Valuation Level Analysis

CB's valuation metrics present a mixed picture. With a trailing P/E of 11.96 and a forward P/E of approximately 10.16, the stock appears inexpensive on an earning basis, trading at a significant discount relative to the broader market average. The price-to-book (PB) ratio of 1.55 is moderately low, suggesting the stock is not excessively priced relative to its assets. However, major red flags are raised by the negative PEG ratio of -1.94, indicating negative earnings growth expectations, and the extremely high EV/EBITDA of 30.74, which points to weak operational cash flow generation relative to its enterprise value.

Peer Comparison Analysis

Due to the unavailability of industry average data, it is not possible to benchmark CB's valuation metrics against its direct peers. This lack of comparative context makes it challenging to definitively label the stock as overvalued or undervalued relative to its sector. The isolated assessment suggests the stock may be fundamentally cheap based on P/E and P/B, but the poor growth and cash flow signals (PEG, EV/EBITDA) are significant concerns that warrant caution without industry-normalized benchmarks for validation.

Current PE
11.7x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Mid-Range
5-Year PE Range 7Ɨ-24Ɨ
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/AƗ
EV/EBITDA
30.7x
Enterprise Value Multiple

Investment Risk Disclosure

Volatility Risk: With a beta of 0.513, CB exhibits significantly lower volatility than the broader market, suggesting muted sensitivity to market swings. This characteristic is supported by a modest one-year maximum drawdown of -12.06%, indicating a historically stable price trajectory with contained downside risk.

Other Risks: The absence of any short interest points to a lack of significant speculative pressure or negative sentiment from short sellers. While this is a positive indicator, other potential risks, such as lower-than-average trading liquidity or company-specific operational factors, should still be monitored.

FAQs

Is CB a good stock to buy?

Bearish opinion: CB appears attractive for income-oriented and risk-averse investors due to its low volatility and strong financial health but carries significant valuation red flags.

Key reasons: 1) Strong negative analyst consensus (100% sell ratings) and weak growth metrics (negative PEG ratio) dampen prospects 2) High EV/EBITDA and margin compression offset the appealing P/E ratio and Berkshire investment catalyst

Suitable for: Conservative, income-focused investors who prioritize stability over growth; less suitable for growth-oriented investors.

Is CB stock overvalued or undervalued?

Based on the data provided, CB stock appears to be fairly valued to slightly undervalued. The trailing P/E of 11.96 and forward P/E of 10.16 are low, suggesting the stock is inexpensive on an earnings basis. Key valuation metrics like the P/B ratio (1.55) also appear moderate. However, this attractive pricing is tempered by significant negatives, most notably the negative PEG ratio (-1.94), which signals negative earnings growth expectations. Ultimately, the low P/Es are likely justified by the weak growth outlook, resulting in a fair valuation.

What are the main risks of holding CB?

Based on the provided information, here are the key risks of holding CB stock, ordered by importance.

1. Operational Inefficiency Risk: Extremely low operational efficiency, evidenced by a weak Return on Equity of 3.9% and a very low asset turnover of 0.06, indicates poor utilization of shareholder capital and assets to generate profits. 2. Working Capital Risk: A cash conversion cycle of 137 days signifies a long period between spending cash and receiving cash from sales, which could strain liquidity and expose the company to customer default risks. 3. Market Underperformance Risk: The stock's low beta of 0.51 suggests it may deliver lower returns than the market during strong bull periods, posing an opportunity cost risk for investors seeking market-level growth.

What is the price forecast for CB in 2026?

Based on the provided analysis, here is a forecast for CB stock through 2026.

Our base case target for late 2026 is $340-$370, while a bull case could reach $400+. Key growth drivers will be translating strong revenue growth into improved capital efficiency (ROE) and demonstrating that current profitability justifies a higher valuation multiple. The primary assumptions are that revenue growth continues at its current solid pace and that the company's pristine balance sheet provides stability. This forecast carries moderate-to-high uncertainty, as it is highly dependent on management improving operational metrics to convince the market that the stock's current premium valuation is warranted.