CDW

CDW

$125.53

-0.96%
Apr 12, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
CDW Corporation is a leading multi-brand provider of information technology (IT) solutions, offering hardware, software, and integrated IT services to business, government, education, and healthcare customers across the United States, the United Kingdom, and Canada. The company operates as a dominant value-added reseller and solutions integrator, distinguished by its extensive partner ecosystem and its ability to deliver hybrid infrastructure, digital experience, and security solutions. The current investor narrative centers on navigating a challenging demand environment for corporate IT spending, as evidenced by recent quarterly revenue declines, while the market debates the company's resilience and its ability to capitalize on long-term digital transformation and AI infrastructure trends.

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CDW 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $125.53
Average Target $125.53
High Target $144.3595
Low Target $106.7005

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on CDW's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $163.19 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$163.19

3 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

3

covering this stock

Price Range

$100 - $163

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
1 (33%)
Sell
2 (67%)

Analyst coverage for CDW appears limited in the provided dataset, with only 3 analysts contributing to revenue estimates, and no consensus price target or recommendation data is available. This suggests institutional coverage may be more extensive than shown, but based on the visible data, a definitive consensus cannot be established. The lack of clear, aggregated targets implies that investors must rely more heavily on independent fundamental analysis, and the stock may be subject to higher volatility due to less efficient price discovery from limited analyst scrutiny. The institutional ratings data shows a recent shift towards caution, with Morgan Stanley downgrading from Overweight to Equal Weight on January 20, 2026, while firms like UBS maintain a Buy rating and others like JP Morgan and Barclays hold Neutral/Equal Weight stances. This mix of opinions, with a recent downgrade from a major firm, signals heightened uncertainty and a lack of bullish conviction in the near term, aligning with the stock's challenging fundamental and technical backdrop.

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CDW Technical Analysis

The stock is in a pronounced downtrend, with a 1-year price change of -14.43% and a 6-month decline of -13.45%, significantly underperforming the broader market. Currently trading at $125.53, the price sits near the lower end of its 52-week range of $112.98 to $192.3, positioning it at approximately 16% above its 52-week low. This proximity to recent lows suggests the stock is being priced for significant fundamental headwinds, presenting a potential value opportunity but also carrying the risk of further deterioration if negative catalysts persist. Recent momentum shows a short-term divergence, with a 1-month gain of 5.57% against the backdrop of longer-term weakness, indicating a possible technical rebound or oversold bounce. However, the 3-month performance remains negative at -5.96%, and the stock's beta of 1.018 indicates its volatility is essentially in line with the market, suggesting its recent price action is more driven by idiosyncratic factors than systemic risk. Key technical levels are clearly defined, with immediate support at the 52-week low of $112.98 and major resistance at the 52-week high of $192.3. A sustained breakdown below $113 would signal a new phase of bearish momentum, while a recovery above the recent trading range near $140 would be necessary to suggest the downtrend is abating.

Beta

1.02

1.02x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-40.5%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$113-$192

Price range past year

Annual Return

-14.4%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodCDW ReturnS&P 500
1m+5.6%+2.6%
3m-6.0%-2.3%
6m-13.5%+2.6%
1y-14.4%+27.3%
ytd-5.7%-0.4%

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CDW Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth has decelerated and turned negative on a sequential quarterly basis, with Q4 2025 revenue of $5.511 billion representing a 6.27% year-over-year increase but a 3.9% decline from Q3's $5.737 billion. The multi-quarter trend shows revenue peaked in Q2 2025 at $5.977 billion and has softened since, indicating pressure on corporate IT spending. Segment data reveals Hardware sales of $3.796 billion remain the core revenue driver, but the trajectory suggests a cyclical slowdown in this segment is a primary growth headwind. Profitability remains intact but is under pressure, with Q4 2025 net income of $279.5 million and a net margin of 5.07%. Gross margin for the quarter was 22.76%, which has shown some stability but is down from the 22.78% reported in Q4 2024. Operating income of $430.7 million yielded an operating margin of 7.82%, reflecting the company's ability to maintain profitability despite top-line softness through disciplined cost management. The balance sheet is leveraged but supported by strong cash generation, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.43 and a current ratio of 1.18. Trailing twelve-month free cash flow is a robust $1.088 billion, providing ample liquidity to service debt, fund the dividend (payout ratio of 30.8%), and execute share repurchases. The Return on Equity of 40.93% is exceptionally high, largely amplified by the significant financial leverage, which underscores both the efficiency and the risk profile of the capital structure.

Quarterly Revenue

$5.5B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.06%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.22%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$1.1B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

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Valuation Analysis: Is CDW Overvalued?

Given the company's consistent profitability, the primary valuation metric is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. The trailing PE ratio is 16.77x, while the forward PE is 11.10x, indicating the market expects a significant rebound in earnings over the next twelve months. The substantial gap between trailing and forward multiples reflects expectations that current cyclical weakness is temporary and that earnings will recover. Compared to sector averages, CDW's valuation presents a mixed picture; its trailing PE of 16.77x is below the typical premium for high-quality IT distributors, but its Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.80x and EV/Sales of 0.98x suggest the market is applying a discount for the current growth slowdown. The stock's Price/Book ratio of 6.86 is elevated, which is consistent with its high ROE but also indicates limited margin of safety on a asset-based valuation. Historically, the current trailing PE of 16.77x sits well below its own 5-year historical range, which has seen peaks above 39x and has typically averaged in the low-to-mid 20s. This positioning at the lower end of its historical valuation band suggests the market has already priced in significant pessimism, potentially creating a setup for multiple expansion if fundamentals stabilize or improve.

PE

16.8x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range 16x~39x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

12.1x

Enterprise Value Multiple

Investment Risk Disclosure