CDW

CDW

$130.06

+5.25%
Jun 23, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
CDW Corporation is a leading multi-brand provider of information technology (IT) solutions, offering hardware, software, and integrated services to business, government, education, and healthcare customers primarily in the United States, the UK, and Canada. The company operates as a dominant value-added reseller and solutions integrator, distinguished by its extensive partner ecosystem and ability to deliver hybrid infrastructure, security, and digital experience solutions. The current investor narrative is dominated by concerns over shrinking profit margins and rising costs, as highlighted by a recent stock drop to a 52-week low, which has overshadowed the company's solid revenue growth and its positioning to capitalize on enterprise AI and cloud adoption trends.

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CDW 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $130.06
Average Target $130.06
High Target $149.569
Low Target $110.551

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on CDW's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $169.08 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$169.08

2 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

2

covering this stock

Price Range

$104 - $169

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
1 (50%)
Sell
1 (50%)

Analyst coverage for CDW appears limited in the provided dataset, with only 3 analysts contributing to revenue estimates, and no explicit price targets or consensus recommendation detailed. The lack of comprehensive coverage suggests CDW, despite its $17.9 billion market cap, may have limited institutional interest or is in a coverage gap, which can lead to higher volatility and less efficient price discovery as the stock reacts more to company-specific news than broad analyst sentiment. The available institutional ratings from early 2026 show a mixed but generally cautious stance, with firms like UBS maintaining a 'Buy' while Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan, and Citigroup hold 'Neutral' or 'Equal Weight' ratings; a notable downgrade from Morgan Stanley from 'Overweight' to 'Equal Weight' in January 2026 aligns with the emerging narrative of margin pressure and likely contributed to the stock's weak performance.

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CDW Technical Analysis

The stock is in a pronounced downtrend, evidenced by a 1-year price change of -24.49% and a 6-month decline of -8.73%. With a recent close of $128.37, the stock is trading near the lower end of its 52-week range ($97.12 to $183.91), positioning it at approximately 20% above its 52-week low, which suggests it is in a zone of potential value but remains under significant selling pressure. Recent momentum shows a sharp but volatile rebound, with a 1-month price surge of 23.02% dramatically diverging from the longer-term downtrend; however, this short-term strength is juxtaposed against a 3-month gain of only 6.73%, indicating the rally may be losing steam or is highly erratic. The stock's beta of 0.987 indicates its volatility is roughly in line with the broader market, but the extreme price swings—such as the drop to near $99 in May 2026—highlight stock-specific risk and volatility that beta does not fully capture. Key technical levels are clearly defined, with major resistance at the 52-week high of $183.91 and immediate support at the 52-week low of $97.12; a sustained breakdown below $97.12 would signal a new leg down, while reclaiming the $140-$150 zone would be necessary to suggest a more durable recovery is underway.

Beta

0.99

0.99x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-47.2%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$97-$184

Price range past year

Annual Return

-25.2%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodCDW ReturnS&P 500
1m+17.4%-1.6%
3m+7.2%+11.7%
6m-6.2%+6.3%
1y-25.2%+22.2%
ytd-2.3%+7.6%

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CDW Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth has been positive but is showing signs of deceleration; Q4 2025 revenue was $5.511 billion, representing a year-over-year growth of 6.27%, but this marks a slowdown from the stronger growth rates seen in prior quarters of 2025. Segment data reveals Hardware sales of $3.796 billion remain the dominant revenue driver, while higher-margin Services ($515.6 million) and Software ($1.171 billion) contribute to the mix, indicating the company's evolution beyond pure product distribution. Profitability remains intact but margins are under pressure; Q4 2025 net income was $279.5 million with a net margin of 5.07%, and the gross margin of 22.76% has compressed from 22.78% in the year-ago quarter, reflecting the competitive and cost-challenged environment highlighted in recent news. The company's balance sheet carries significant leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.43, which elevates financial risk, but this is partially offset by robust cash generation, including trailing twelve-month free cash flow of $1.088 billion and a strong return on equity of 40.93%, demonstrating efficient use of capital despite the high debt load.

Quarterly Revenue

$5.5B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.06%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.22%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$1.1B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Other Segments
Services
Software Products
Total Hardware

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Valuation Analysis: Is CDW Overvalued?

Given a positive net income of $279.5 million, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 16.77x, while the forward P/E is notably lower at 11.03x, indicating the market expects significant earnings growth or a recovery in profitability in the coming year. Compared to sector averages, CDW's trailing P/E of 16.77x trades at a discount to the broader technology services industry (which often carries higher multiples for growth), while its Price/Sales ratio of 0.80x and EV/Sales of 0.97x suggest the market is valuing its revenue stream conservatively, likely due to margin concerns and its reseller business model. Historically, the stock's current trailing P/E of 16.77x is near the lower end of its own historical range observed over recent years, where P/E ratios have frequently been above 20x; this positioning suggests the stock is priced for pessimism, potentially offering a value opportunity if margin pressures prove transient, but also reflecting genuine fundamental deterioration.

PE

16.8x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range 16x~39x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

12.1x

Enterprise Value Multiple