CleanSpark
CLSK
$8.15
-6.86%
CleanSpark Inc. is a U.S.-based data center developer and bitcoin miner that owns and operates scalable, energy-efficient digital infrastructure, historically monetizing it exclusively through bitcoin mining but now repositioning capacity toward high-performance computing and AI data center hosting. The company sits in the capital-intensive, power-constrained corner of the digital infrastructure space, competing with other listed miners-turned-AI-hosts on access to megawatts, interconnection queues, and cheap energy rather than on brand or software differentiation. The investor narrative has pivoted sharply around that transition: a reported 20-year, roughly $6.6 billion lease with a major technology counterparty validated the AI hosting thesis and briefly drove a sharp rally, but the story has since been overwhelmed by a swing to large quarterly losses, a revenue miss, a 30.5% year-over-year revenue decline, and a stock that has been repeatedly flagged among the most heavily shorted names in the market. The debate now is binary — whether contracted AI/HPC revenue can stabilize cash flows before dilution, negative free cash flow, and bitcoin-price sensitivity erode the equity story.…
CLSK
CleanSpark
$8.15
Related headlines
CLSK 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on CleanSpark's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $23.39 and implied upside of +187.0% versus the current price.
Average Target
$23.39
0 analysts
Implied Upside
+187.0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
—
covering this stock
Price Range
$19 - $27
Analyst target range
Coverage is robust for a company of this size, with 14 analysts and a consensus recommendation of "strong buy" (mean rating 1.29 on a 1-to-5 scale where 1 is a strong buy). The average target price is $23.39, which implies roughly +178% upside from the current $8.40 — an extraordinary gap that signals the sell-side is valuing the AI/HPC contract pipeline rather than the current mining P&L. Consensus estimates call for average EPS of $17.52 (range $10.84–$30.97) and average revenue of $1.031 billion (range $728 million–$1.639 billion), implying a dramatic earnings and revenue inflection from the current $138 million quarterly run-rate; the consensus is therefore unambiguously bullish, but the disconnect from price suggests the market is discounting those forecasts heavily.
The target range of $19.00 to $27.00 is wide in absolute terms (a $8.00 spread, or roughly 34% of the midpoint), signaling meaningful uncertainty even among bulls. The high target of $27.00 likely assumes full execution on the 20-year, $6.6 billion AI lease, multiple expansion toward infrastructure-hosting comparables, and a recovery in bitcoin mining economics; the low target of $19.00 still embeds substantial contract conversion and margin recovery, meaning even the bear case on the sell side is far above the current price. Institutional ratings show a consistent pattern of reiterations rather than fresh upgrades — Chardan Capital, Cantor Fitzgerald, B. Riley, Keefe Bruyette & Woods, Needham, and BTIG have all maintained Buy/Outperform/Overweight ratings through July and August 2026 — which suggests analysts are anchoring to the contract narrative while the stock trades on near-term cash burn and dilution risk. Investors should treat the wide spread and unanimous bullishness as a contrarian caution flag until reported results begin to reflect the contracted revenue.
Bulls vs Bears: CLSK Investment Factors
The bear case currently has stronger evidence: revenue is contracting 30.5%, gross margin is -62.55%, free cash flow is -$1.145 billion, and the stock is pinned 2.7% above its 52-week low after a -10.16% single-session drop. The bull case rests almost entirely on the reported 20-year, $6.6 billion AI lease and a sell-side consensus ($23.39 average target, strong buy) that is valuing contracts not yet in the P&L. The single most important tension is whether contracted AI/HPC revenue begins converting into reported results before dilution and cash burn erode the equity story — if it does, the 178% implied upside is real; if it slips, there is no visible support below $8.00.
Bullish
- Analyst consensus implies 178% upside: All 14 covering analysts rate CLSK a strong buy (mean 1.29), with an average target of $23.39 versus the $8.40 price — roughly +178% upside. Even the lowest target of $19.00 sits 126% above the current quote, meaning the entire sell-side is valuing the AI/HPC contract pipeline rather than the current mining P&L.
- $6.6B AI lease validates the pivot: The reported 20-year, roughly $6.6 billion lease with a major technology counterparty is the single largest validation of CleanSpark's conversion from bitcoin miner to AI data center host. If even a portion of that contracted revenue begins flowing through reported results, it would transform a business currently generating $138 million per quarter into a multi-hundred-million-dollar annual revenue base.
- Balance sheet can absorb near-term losses: Current ratio of 4.18, debt-to-equity of just 0.379, and $206.3 million of cash at Q3 2026 give CleanSpark meaningful runway despite a -$112.3 million operating cash flow quarter. Unlike highly levered peers, the company has room to fund the AI buildout and service obligations without immediate solvency pressure.
- Valuation near low end of own history: At 5.34x sales and 1.88x book, CLSK sits near the bottom of its own PS range (which ran from ~5.3x in Q2 2023 to 39.4x in Q3 2024) and mid-range on book. The market has already de-rated the mining business heavily, so re-rating upside requires only visible contracted revenue rather than a return to peak multiples.
Bearish
- Revenue collapsing 30.5% year over year: Fiscal Q3 2026 revenue of $138.0 million fell 30.5% from $198.6 million a year earlier and is down sharply from the $223.7 million peak in Q4 2025. The AI/HPC lease revenue underpinning the bull case has not yet appeared in reported results, so the growth story is entirely forward-looking while current revenue shrinks.
- Gross margin deeply negative at -62.55%: Q3 2026 gross profit was -$86.3 million on a -62.55% gross margin, a stark reversal from +46.4% a year earlier, with gross margins of -62.55%, -63.11%, and +34.10% across the last three quarters. The negative gross margin indicates core mining economics are currently underwater at prevailing bitcoin prices and power costs.
- Free cash flow of -$1.145 billion: Trailing free cash flow is -$1.145 billion, with Q3 operating cash flow of -$112.3 million against capital expenditures of -$113.0 million. The company is funding operations and growth externally — Q1 2026 alone showed $496.4 million of net financing inflows — making dilution and capital-markets access a persistent risk.
- Falling knife at 52-week low: The stock is down 57.98% over the trailing year, sitting at $8.40 — just 2.7% above the $8.00 52-week low and 63% below the $22.69 high, with a 64.74% max drawdown. The most recent session dropped -10.16% on 20.5 million shares, confirming distribution rather than capitulation.
CLSK Technical Analysis
CleanSpark is in a pronounced, sustained downtrend, with the shares down 57.98% over the trailing year and sitting at $8.40, just 2.7% above the 52-week low of $8.00 and roughly 63% below the 52-week high of $22.69 — effectively trading at the very bottom of its 52-week range (about 2.7% of the range from the low). That positioning is characteristic of a falling knife rather than a value opportunity: the stock has failed to hold every intermediate bounce, and the 64.74% max drawdown underscores how deeply the prior AI-lease enthusiasm has unwound. With price now pressing against the 52-week floor, the burden of proof sits squarely on buyers to defend $8.00.
Short-term momentum is deteriorating faster than the longer-term trend, which is a bearish acceleration signal rather than a mean-reversion setup. The stock is down 34.32% over the past month versus a 1.22% gain for the S&P 500 (relative strength of -35.54 points), down 35.53% over three months against +2.69% for the index, and -27.27% year-to-date versus +11.93% for SPY. The most recent session alone saw a -10.16% drop from $9.35 to $8.40 on 20.5 million shares, confirming distribution rather than capitulation volume, and the 1-month decline being nearly as steep as the 3-month decline indicates selling pressure is intensifying, not stabilizing.
Key technical levels are unusually clean: $8.00 is the 52-week low and the line in the sand, while $22.69 marks the 52-week high and the top of a massive overhead supply zone, with intermediate resistance likely clustered around the $12–$15 area where the stock repeatedly failed in July through September. A decisive break below $8.00 would signal a fresh leg lower with no visible support reference, while reclaiming $12 would be the first evidence of a trend change. Risk management is paramount here: beta of 3.844 means the stock is roughly 3.8x as volatile as the market, so position sizing should be a fraction of a typical equity allocation, and the 4.59 short ratio plus heavy short interest flagged in news flow raises the probability of violent squeezes in either direction.
Beta
3.84
3.84x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-64.9%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$8-$21
Price range past year
Annual Return
-51.7%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | CLSK Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | -46.2% | -1.2% |
| 3m | -43.9% | +3.4% |
| 6m | -36.1% | +7.0% |
| 1y | -51.7% | +14.4% |
| ytd | -29.4% | +12.0% |
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CLSK Fundamental Analysis
The revenue trajectory has turned decisively negative and is deteriorating. Fiscal Q3 2026 (quarter ended June 30, 2026) revenue was $138.0 million, down 30.5% year over year from $198.6 million, and sequentially flat to down versus $136.4 million in Q2 2026 and $181.2 million in Q1 2026 — a clear deceleration from the $223.7 million peak in Q4 2025. The company reports a single bitcoin mining segment, so there is no diversified business line offsetting the decline; the AI/HPC lease revenue that underpins the bull case has not yet appeared in reported results. For the investment case, this means the growth story is entirely forward-looking and contract-dependent, with current revenue shrinking while capital spending remains elevated.
Profitability has swung violently from positive to deeply negative, driven by non-cash items and margin compression. Q3 2026 net income was -$239.8 million (EPS -$0.89) versus +$257.4 million in the year-ago quarter, with gross profit of -$86.3 million and a gross margin of -62.55% — a stark reversal from the +46.4% gross margin reported in Q3 2025. The trailing figures in the key metrics (net margin 47.56%, gross margin 41.61%, operating margin 41.62%) are stale relative to the latest quarter and should be treated with caution; the more recent quarterly history shows gross margins of -62.55%, -63.11%, and +34.10% across the last three quarters, alongside a Q3 operating loss of $111.7 million and negative EBITDA of $0.687 million. Depreciation and amortization of $111.0 million and a $131.1 million net other-expense line are doing much of the damage, but the negative gross margin indicates the core mining economics are currently underwater at prevailing bitcoin prices and power costs.
Balance sheet liquidity is the strongest part of the story, but cash generation is severely negative. The current ratio is 4.18 and debt-to-equity is a manageable 0.379, with $206.3 million of cash at the end of Q3 2026, yet trailing free cash flow is -$1.145 billion and Q3 operating cash flow was -$112.3 million against capital expenditures of -$113.0 million. ROE of 16.76% is distorted by a deeply negative equity base and loss-driven book value, while ROA of -27.72% better reflects the underlying economics. The company is funding growth and operations externally — Q1 2026 alone showed $496.4 million of net financing inflows and $460 million of buybacks — which makes dilution and capital-markets access a persistent risk; the -8.87 price-to-cash-flow ratio confirms cash flow is negative and unusable as a valuation anchor.
Quarterly Revenue
$138006000.0B
2026-06
Revenue YoY Growth
-30.5%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
-62.5%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$-1.1B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
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Valuation Analysis: Is CLSK Overvalued?
Because trailing net income is positive on a reported basis (EPS $0.089, PE trailing 11.6x) but the most recent quarter produced a -$239.8 million loss and forward EPS is negative (PE forward -4.63x), the trailing PE is not a reliable anchor; I therefore lead with price-to-sales (PS 5.34x) and EV/Sales (5.87x) as the primary metrics, supplemented by price-to-book (1.88x). The gap between the 11.6x trailing PE and the -4.63x forward PE implies the market expects earnings to swing to losses, i.e., the trailing multiple is an artifact of prior profitable quarters rather than a signal of cheapness. EV/EBITDA of 6.38x looks optically reasonable but is distorted by a near-zero EBITDA base.
Against the sector, the stock screens as expensive on sales for a business with negative growth: PS of 5.34x and EV/Sales of 5.87x compare unfavorably with the roughly 2–4x sales multiples typical of capital-markets and digital-infrastructure peers, implying a premium of roughly 30–150% depending on the comparator, while the 1.88x price-to-book is closer to parity. That premium is not supported by current fundamentals — revenue is contracting 30.5% year over year, gross margin is -62.55%, and free cash flow is deeply negative — so it can only be justified by the contracted AI/HPC lease pipeline and the option value of converting power assets into hosting revenue. On a PEG basis the -0.041 ratio is meaningless given negative growth, reinforcing that this is a story stock priced on future contracts, not current earnings.
Historically, CleanSpark's own valuation band has been extremely wide: PS ranged from roughly 5.3x in Q2 2023 to 39.4x in Q3 2024, and price-to-book from about 0.32x in Q1 2023 to 5.13x in Q3 2026. At 5.34x sales and 1.88x book, the stock is now near the low end of its own PS range but mid-to-high on book — a mixed signal that reflects the collapse in the share price against a shrinking revenue base. The read-through is that the market has already de-rated the mining business substantially; further downside would come from execution failure on the AI pivot, while re-rating upside requires visible contracted revenue and a return to positive gross margins.
PE
11.6x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
High-End
5-Year PE Range 3x~8x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
6.4x
Enterprise Value Multiple
Investment Risk Disclosure
Financial and operational risks are acute. Q3 2026 produced a -$239.8 million net loss (EPS -$0.89) on revenue of $138.0 million, down 30.5% year over year, with gross margin of -62.55% and negative EBITDA of $0.687 million. Trailing free cash flow is -$1.145 billion and Q3 operating cash flow was -$112.3 million against $113.0 million of capex, meaning the company is funding itself externally — Q1 2026 saw $496.4 million of net financing inflows — so dilution is a live, recurring threat. The 4.18 current ratio and 0.379 debt-to-equity provide a buffer, but ROA of -27.72% shows the underlying asset base is destroying value at current bitcoin and power economics.
Market and competitive risks are severe given the stock's positioning. At 5.34x sales and 5.87x EV/Sales, CLSK trades at a roughly 30–150% premium to the 2–4x sales multiples typical of digital-infrastructure peers — a premium that is unsupported by negative 30.5% growth and can only be justified by the AI contract pipeline. Beta of 3.844 means the stock is roughly 3.8x as volatile as the market, and relative strength of -35.54 points over one month versus the S&P 500's +1.22% shows it is being sold regardless of tape direction. News flow highlights the sector-wide risk: Cipher Digital plunged 26% in a week on an $850 million convertible offering and dilution, a template that could repeat at CleanSpark, while heavy short interest (4.59 short ratio) amplifies moves in both directions.
In a worst-case scenario, the AI lease conversion slips by several quarters, bitcoin stays weak, and CleanSpark must raise equity at depressed prices to fund capex — a combination that would break the $8.00 floor with no visible support reference below it. From the current $8.40, a move to the 52-week low of $8.00 is only -4.8%, but a break below opens a fresh leg lower; the -64.74% max drawdown illustrates how far the equity can fall once momentum and narrative both fail. Even the sell-side bear target of $19.00 assumes contract conversion, so there is no analyst-anchored downside floor — investors should size positions assuming a realistic -30% to -50% loss scenario from here.

