CMCSA

Comcast

$24.94

+0.16%
May 13, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Comcast Corp is a global media and technology conglomerate operating through three primary segments: a core cable business providing television, internet, and phone services to US homes and businesses; NBCUniversal, which includes the NBC network, streaming platform Peacock, Universal Studios, and theme parks; and Sky, a major television provider in the UK and Italy. The company is a dominant market leader in US broadband and cable, leveraging its extensive physical network infrastructure, while also competing as a major content creator and distributor in the global media landscape. The current investor narrative is dominated by deep skepticism regarding the structural decline of its legacy broadband business, evidenced by significant subscriber losses, which is overshadowing its recent earnings performance and creating intense debate over whether growth in wireless, streaming, and theme parks can offset these core pressures, as highlighted by recent analyst downgrades citing future profit concerns.

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CMCSA 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $24.94
Average Target $24.94
High Target $28.681
Low Target $21.199

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Comcast's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $32.42 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$32.42

13 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

13

covering this stock

Price Range

$20 - $32

Analyst target range

Buy
3 (23%)
Hold
6 (46%)
Sell
4 (31%)

Comcast is covered by 13 analysts, and the consensus sentiment leans neutral-to-bullish, with recent actions including upgrades to 'Buy' from firms like B of A Securities. The average target price is derived from estimated revenue and EPS, with the consensus EPS estimate for the forward period at $5.27; applying the forward PE of 7.13x to this EPS implies a consensus target price of approximately $37.58, which represents a potential upside of roughly 38% from the current price of $27.19, indicating analysts see significant value at current levels. The target range, implied by the estimated EPS low of $5.16 and high of $5.39, suggests a price range of approximately $36.80 to $38.45; the high target assumes successful execution on cost management, stabilization in broadband, and growth in parks and streaming, while the low target prices in continued subscriber erosion and margin compression. The relatively tight spread between the high and low EPS estimates signals moderate conviction in the earnings outlook, but the stock's recent sharp sell-off on a single downgrade highlights that sentiment remains fragile and highly sensitive to near-term news flow.

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CMCSA Technical Analysis

The prevailing price trend for CMCSA is a pronounced downtrend, with the stock down 19.60% over the past year, significantly underperforming the broader market. The current price of $27.19 sits near the bottom of its 52-week range, trading at approximately 27% of the range between its 52-week low of $24.13 and high of $34.36, indicating the stock is deeply oversold and may represent a value opportunity, though it also risks being a 'falling knife' amid persistent negative sentiment. Recent momentum shows continued weakness, with the stock down 3.07% over the past month and 8.61% over the past three months, both periods of significant underperformance relative to the SPY, which gained 9.98% and 4.14% respectively; this divergence from the market's strength underscores the stock's company-specific headwinds and lack of positive catalysts. Key technical support is clearly defined at the 52-week low of $24.13, while resistance lies at the 52-week high of $34.36; a breakdown below support would signal a new leg down in the downtrend, whereas a sustained move above the $30 level would be necessary to suggest a meaningful reversal. The stock's beta of 0.79 indicates it is 21% less volatile than the market, which, combined with its depressed price level, suggests it is being treated as a defensive, low-growth utility rather than a growth or momentum play.

Beta

0.69

0.69x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-31.5%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$24-$34

Price range past year

Annual Return

-28.3%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodCMCSA ReturnS&P 500
1m-11.1%+8.2%
3m-21.6%+9.0%
6m-9.3%+10.5%
1y-28.3%+26.5%
ytd-15.6%+8.9%

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CMCSA Fundamental Analysis

Comcast's revenue trajectory shows modest but decelerating growth, with Q4 2025 revenue of $32.31 billion representing a mere 1.24% year-over-year increase; the multi-quarter trend reveals revenue has been relatively stagnant, fluctuating between $29.9B and $32.3B over the last eight quarters, indicating the company is struggling to achieve meaningful top-line expansion amid competitive and secular pressures. The company remains profitable, posting Q4 2025 net income of $1.97 billion and a gross margin of 60.59%; however, profitability is volatile quarter-to-quarter, with net income margins compressing from 10.68% in Q3 2025 to 6.11% in Q4 2025, reflecting the lumpy nature of its media and parks earnings and pressure from rising costs. The balance sheet and cash flow position is a relative strength, with strong free cash flow generation evidenced by a trailing twelve-month FCF of $21.89 billion; however, the debt-to-equity ratio of 1.14 indicates a leveraged balance sheet, and the current ratio of 0.88 suggests potential liquidity constraints, though the substantial FCF provides ample capacity to service debt, fund dividends, and support share repurchases.

Quarterly Revenue

$32.3B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.01%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.60%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$21.9B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Corporate and Other
Business Services Connectivity Segment
Media Segment
Residential Connectivity And Platforms Segment
Studios Segment
Theme Parks
Intersegment Eliminations

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Valuation Analysis: Is CMCSA Overvalued?

Given Comcast's positive net income, the primary valuation metric selected is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. The stock trades at a deeply discounted trailing PE of 5.14x and a forward PE of 7.13x based on estimated EPS; the gap between trailing and forward multiples suggests the market expects a significant earnings recovery, though the forward multiple remains exceptionally low, indicating persistent skepticism about the quality and sustainability of those future earnings. Compared to industry averages, Comcast's valuation represents a substantial discount; for context, its trailing PE of 5.14x is dramatically lower than typical market multiples for diversified telecommunications and media peers, which often trade in the mid-teens or higher, a discount that reflects severe concerns over its growth profile and competitive pressures in its core broadband business. Historically, Comcast's current trailing PE of 5.14x is near the absolute bottom of its own multi-year range, which has typically fluctuated between 7x and over 18x; trading at such depressed historical levels signals the market is pricing in a scenario of fundamental deterioration or permanent impairment, presenting a potential deep-value opportunity if the company can stabilize its operations.

PE

5.1x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Mid-Range

5-Year PE Range -7x~19x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

4.4x

Enterprise Value Multiple