COP

ConocoPhillips

$130.52

+1.67%
Apr 2, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
ConocoPhillips is a US-based independent oil and gas exploration and production company. It is a major player with a global footprint and substantial integrated LNG activities, positioning it as a large-scale, diversified energy producer.

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COP 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $130.52
Average Target $130.52
High Target $150.098
Low Target $110.94200000000001

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on ConocoPhillips's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $169.68 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$169.68

3 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

3

covering this stock

Price Range

$104 - $170

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
1 (33%)
Sell
2 (67%)

No sufficient analyst coverage available. The provided data includes recent institutional rating actions from firms like Morgan Stanley (Overweight) and Mizuho (Outperform), but does not contain a consensus target price or a detailed distribution of ratings (e.g., Buy/Hold/Sell percentages). Therefore, a quantitative Wall Street consensus summary cannot be constructed.

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COP Technical Analysis

Overall Assessment: The stock has demonstrated a strong bullish trend over the past six months, with the price rising from approximately $93 in early October 2025 to $132 by March 31, 2026, representing a 41.4% gain. This performance significantly outpaces the broader market, as indicated by a 44.2% six-month relative strength versus the S&P 500.

Short-term Performance: The stock has shown exceptional momentum recently, with a 16.3% gain over the past month and a 41.0% gain over the past three months. This contrasts sharply with the S&P 500, which declined 5.25% and 4.63% over the same periods, respectively, highlighting COP's significant outperformance.

Current Position: The current price of $132 is near the top of its 52-week range of $79.88 to $135.87, sitting at approximately the 97th percentile. The stock closed slightly down (-0.67%) on the analysis date, but remains just $3.87 below its 52-week high, indicating strong bullish sentiment and proximity to a potential resistance level.

Beta

0.28

0.28x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-22.1%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$80-$136

Price range past year

Annual Return

+23.0%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodCOP ReturnS&P 500
1m+10.1%-3.6%
3m+35.0%-4.0%
6m+38.6%-2.0%
1y+23.0%+16.2%
ytd+35.0%-3.8%

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COP Fundamental Analysis

Revenue & Profitability: Revenue for Q4 2025 was $13.31 billion, representing a year-over-year decline of 6.5% compared to Q4 2024. Quarterly net income has trended downward from $2.84 billion in Q1 2025 to $1.44 billion in Q4 2025, reflecting lower profitability amidst the revenue decline. The trailing twelve-month net margin is 13.3%.

Financial Health: The company maintains a solid balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.36, indicating moderate leverage. Cash flow generation is robust, with free cash flow over the trailing twelve months reported at $16.77 billion, providing ample liquidity for shareholder returns and capital expenditures.

Operational Efficiency: Return on Equity (ROE) stands at 12.3%, and Return on Assets (ROA) is 6.4%, indicating reasonable efficiency in generating profits from its equity base and assets. The current ratio of 1.30 suggests adequate short-term liquidity to cover obligations.

Quarterly Revenue

$13.3B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

-0.06%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.19%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$16.8B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

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Valuation Analysis: Is COP Overvalued?

Valuation Level: With positive net income, the trailing Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio is the primary valuation metric, currently at 14.1. This suggests the stock is trading at a moderate earnings multiple. The forward P/E is higher at 18.3, based on analyst EPS estimates, indicating expectations for lower future earnings relative to the current price.

Peer Comparison: Data for direct industry average valuation multiples is not available in the provided inputs. However, the stock's Price-to-Sales (P/S) ratio is 1.88 and its Enterprise Value-to-Sales (EV/Sales) is 2.97, which can be used for cross-sector comparisons where industry data is available.

PE

14.1x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Mid-Range

5-Year PE Range 6x~19x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

5.2x

Enterprise Value Multiple

Investment Risk Disclosure