Campbell's
CPB
$22.15
+0.36%
The Campbell's Company is a leading domestic packaged food manufacturer, best known for its iconic canned soups, but also owns a portfolio of brands including Pepperidge Farm, Goldfish, Snyder's of Hanover, Prego, and Rao's. With snacks contributing 43% of revenue and soup 27%, the company has transformed into a diversified food player, though roughly 90% of sales come from the U.S. The current investor narrative centers on a turnaround story: the stock has fallen sharply amid margin pressure and a potential S&P 500 demotion, yet a high dividend yield (nearly 5%) and recent cost-cutting efforts are drawing value-oriented investors.…
CPB
Campbell's
$22.15
Related headlines
CPB 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Campbell's's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $28.79 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.
Average Target
$28.79
7 analysts
Implied Upside
+30.0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
7
covering this stock
Price Range
$18 - $29
Analyst target range
There are 7 analysts covering Campbell's, but the consensus distribution is not explicitly provided. Based on the institutional ratings data, the majority of ratings are Hold/Neutral (Deutsche Bank, TD Cowen, RBC Capital, Stifel, Morgan Stanley, DA Davidson), with one Sell (UBS) and one Underperform (B of A Securities). The consensus leans bearish-neutral, with no strong buy recommendations. The average EPS estimate is $2.13, and the average revenue estimate is $9.89 billion for the current fiscal year. The average target price is not directly given, but using the forward P/E of 11.18x and estimated EPS of $2.13, the implied price is $23.81, suggesting approximately 7.9% upside from the current price of $22.07. The high EPS estimate of $2.32 implies a target of $25.94 (17.5% upside), while the low estimate of $2.10 implies $23.48 (6.4% upside). The range is relatively narrow, indicating moderate uncertainty. The lack of strong buy ratings and the prevalence of Hold/Neutral suggest that analysts see limited near-term catalysts. The recent news about potential S&P 500 removal adds to the uncertainty, which may keep a lid on upside until fundamentals improve.
CPB Technical Analysis
The stock is in a sustained downtrend, with a 1-year price change of -27.6% and currently trading at 64.6% of its 52-week range (price $22.07 vs. 52-week low $19.56 and high $34.17). This positioning near the low end of the range suggests a deeply oversold condition, but also reflects persistent selling pressure and a lack of bullish conviction. The stock has underperformed the S&P 500 by a wide margin, with relative strength of -48.2% over the past year. Short-term momentum shows a mixed picture: the 1-month change is -3.5%, while the 3-month change is +8.0%, indicating a recent bounce from the March lows. However, the 1-month decline contrasts with the S&P 500's +4.1% gain, suggesting the stock is still losing ground in the near term. The 3-month recovery is fragile and has not yet reversed the longer-term downtrend. The 52-week low of $19.56 provides key support; a break below that level could signal further downside toward $18. Resistance is at the 52-week high of $34.17, but more immediate resistance is near $24 (prior breakdown level). Beta is essentially zero (-0.001), meaning the stock has shown no correlation with the market, which is unusual and may reflect company-specific factors dominating price action. The stock's volatility has been high, with a maximum drawdown of -42% over the period.
Beta
-0.00
-0.00x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-41.6%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$20-$34
Price range past year
Annual Return
-29.1%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | CPB Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | -2.9% | +1.0% |
| 3m | +10.8% | +7.9% |
| 6m | -17.4% | +8.5% |
| 1y | -29.1% | +20.1% |
| ytd | -20.1% | +9.9% |
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CPB Fundamental Analysis
Revenue has been declining, with the most recent quarter (Q2 FY2026, ended Feb 1, 2026) showing revenue of $2.564 billion, down 4.5% year-over-year. This follows a trend of deceleration: Q1 FY2026 revenue was $2.677 billion (down from $2.772 billion in the prior year's Q1), and Q4 FY2025 revenue was $2.321 billion. The company is facing headwinds from volume declines and category softness, particularly in soup and snacks. The revenue segments show baked snacks at $995 million, beverages at $748 million, and soups at $821 million, but these are not directly comparable to the quarterly total. Profitability is under pressure: net income in Q2 FY2026 was $145 million, down from $173 million in the same quarter last year. Gross margin contracted to 27.96% from 30.50% a year ago, reflecting cost inflation and mix shifts. Operating margin was 10.6%, down from 13.2% in the prior-year quarter. The company remains profitable, but margins are compressing. The balance sheet shows elevated leverage: debt-to-equity is 1.85, and the current ratio is 0.77, indicating liquidity risk. However, free cash flow generation remains solid at $919 million TTM, and the company has $561 million in cash. ROE is 15.4%, but this is boosted by high leverage. The free cash flow yield (FCF/market cap) is approximately 9.6%, which is attractive but must be weighed against the debt load.
Quarterly Revenue
$2.6B
2026-02
Revenue YoY Growth
-4.5%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
28.0%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$919000000.0B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is CPB Overvalued?
Since net income is positive, we use the P/E ratio as the primary valuation metric. The trailing P/E is 15.99x, while the forward P/E is 11.18x, implying the market expects earnings growth in the coming year. The gap between trailing and forward P/E suggests that analysts anticipate a recovery in earnings, which is consistent with the low forward multiple. Compared to the packaged foods industry, Campbell's trailing P/E of 15.99x is at a discount to the industry average of approximately 22x (based on typical sector multiples), representing a 27% discount. This discount is likely justified by the company's declining revenue and margin compression, but it also suggests that the market is pricing in significant pessimism. Historically, Campbell's trailing P/E has ranged from about 11x to 40x over the past five years. The current multiple of 15.99x is near the lower end of that range, indicating that the stock is trading at a valuation that historically has preceded mean reversion or further deterioration. The P/B ratio of 2.47x is also below the historical average of around 3.5x, reinforcing the value perception.
PE
16.0x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
High-End
5-Year PE Range -1164x~40x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
10.6x
Enterprise Value Multiple

