CVS

CVS Health

$101.96

+1.47%
Jun 12, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
CVS Health Corporation is a diversified healthcare services giant operating in the Medical - Healthcare Plans industry, integrating retail pharmacy, pharmacy benefit management (PBM), and health insurance (via Aetna) under one roof. The company is a market leader and a vertically integrated healthcare behemoth, distinct for its unique 'one-stop-shop' model that aims to control costs and improve patient outcomes across the care continuum. The current investor narrative is dominated by a powerful turnaround story, driven by a significant earnings beat, a rebound in its insurance unit's profitability due to a lower medical cost ratio, and a favorable $13 billion Medicare payment decision from CMS, which has collectively fueled a substantial stock rally and raised guidance.

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CVS 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $101.96
Average Target $101.96
High Target $117.25399999999999
Low Target $86.666

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on CVS Health's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $132.55 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$132.55

7 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

7

covering this stock

Price Range

$82 - $133

Analyst target range

Buy
2 (29%)
Hold
3 (43%)
Sell
2 (29%)

A limited set of 7 analysts provide coverage for CVS, with data focusing on earnings and revenue estimates rather than explicit price targets. The average estimated EPS for the forward period is $12.14, with a range from $11.79 to $12.68, indicating tight consensus and high conviction in near-term profitability. The average estimated revenue is $496.29 billion. While explicit price targets and a buy/hold/sell distribution are not provided in the data, the recent institutional rating actions show a bullish tilt. The institutional ratings data reveals a series of reaffirmations and one upgrade in early 2026. Notably, Bernstein upgraded the stock from 'Market Perform' to 'Outperform' on March 12, 2026, following a period of stability. Other major firms like B of A Securities, JP Morgan, UBS, and Mizuho maintained their 'Buy' or 'Overweight' ratings throughout late 2025 and early 2026. This pattern of sustained bullish ratings and a recent upgrade, coinciding with the stock's powerful rally, signals strengthening analyst conviction in the company's turnaround narrative and improved fundamentals.

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CVS Technical Analysis

CVS is in a powerful, sustained uptrend, evidenced by a 49.16% gain over the past year. The stock is currently trading at $94.82, which is approximately 96% of its 52-week high of $98.43, positioning it near the top of its annual range and signaling strong momentum, though also suggesting potential overextension in the near term. Recent momentum has been exceptionally strong, with the stock up 17.51% over the past month and 21.69% over the past three months, significantly outpacing the S&P 500's gains of 4.6% and 12.6% over the same periods, respectively, indicating accelerating bullish sentiment and robust relative strength. Key technical support is anchored at the 52-week low of $58.50, while immediate resistance is at the recent high of $98.43. A decisive breakout above $98.43 would confirm the continuation of the bullish trend, whereas a breakdown below the recent consolidation zone around $90 could signal a healthy pullback. With a beta of 0.592, CVS exhibits approximately 40% less volatility than the broader market (SPY), which is notable for a stock in such a strong uptrend and suggests its moves are driven by fundamental catalysts rather than broad market sentiment, potentially offering a smoother ride for risk-averse investors. The stock's price action shows a dramatic recovery from a low of $70.08 in late March 2026 to its current level, a 35% surge in roughly two months, highlighting the intensity of the recent bullish move. The 1-month relative strength of 12.91 percentage points versus the S&P 500 underscores the stock's leadership during this period, though the high positioning within its 52-week range warrants caution for new entries.

Beta

0.62

0.62x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-16.4%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$59-$103

Price range past year

Annual Return

+53.7%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodCVS ReturnS&P 500
1m+3.9%-0.1%
3m+33.9%+12.0%
6m+28.4%+8.8%
1y+53.7%+22.9%
ytd+27.2%+8.8%

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CVS Fundamental Analysis

CVS's revenue trajectory shows solid growth, with Q4 2025 revenue of $105.69 billion representing an 8.17% year-over-year increase. Segment data reveals Pharmacy Revenue ($61.62B) and Premiums ($34.02B) as the primary drivers, indicating the core PBM and insurance businesses are fueling top-line expansion. However, the multi-quarter trend shows some volatility, with a significant net loss in Q3 2025, making the recent Q4 return to strong profitability a critical positive inflection point for the investment thesis. Profitability has been inconsistent but showed a dramatic improvement in the latest quarter. Q4 2025 net income was $2.94 billion, yielding a net margin of 2.78%, a sharp recovery from the Q3 2025 net loss of -$3.98 billion. The gross margin for Q4 was 12.84%, which is low but typical for a high-volume, low-margin healthcare services and retail business. The key positive is the operating margin of 2.58% (from valuation data), suggesting the company is translating its massive revenue base into operating profits, with the recent improvement driven by better cost control in the insurance segment. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.24, which is manageable for a company of its scale and cash-generating ability. Financial health is supported by strong cash flow, with trailing twelve-month free cash flow of $7.81 billion, providing ample internal funding for growth, dividends, and debt service. The current ratio of 0.84 indicates potential liquidity constraints on paper, but this is common for retailers and is offset by the robust FCF. Return on equity is a modest 2.35%, reflecting the capital-intensive nature of the business and recent profit volatility.

Quarterly Revenue

$105.7B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.08%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.12%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$7.8B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Pharmacy Revenue
Premiums
Front Store Revenue

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Valuation Analysis: Is CVS Overvalued?

Given that Net Income for the latest quarter is positive ($2.94B), the primary valuation metric selected is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. The trailing PE is elevated at 56.87x, heavily influenced by the volatile earnings over the past year, while the forward PE is a much more reasonable 11.33x, indicating the market is pricing in a significant normalization and growth of earnings going forward, as reflected in analyst estimates. Compared to sector averages, CVS trades at a discount on a sales basis. Its Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.25 is exceptionally low, and its Enterprise Value-to-Sales of 0.45 is also conservative, typical for low-margin, high-revenue businesses in managed care and retail. The forward PE of 11.3x is likely in line with or at a slight discount to diversified healthcare services peers, justified by its integrated model's potential for margin improvement and the recent positive operational catalysts. Historically, the current trailing PE of 56.87x is near the top of its own range compared to recent quarters, which saw figures as low as -6.0x (during losses) and around 8.5-12.4x during profitable periods. This high multiple reflects the market's anticipation of sustained earnings recovery. The current PS ratio of 0.25 is below its historical average seen in the data (often above 0.8-1.0 in prior years), suggesting the stock may still be undervalued on a sales basis if margins continue to expand as projected.

PE

56.9x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range -9x~227x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

18.8x

Enterprise Value Multiple