DAY

DAY

Dayforce Inc operates in the technology sector, providing cloud-based human capital management (HCM) software for enterprises.
It is a prominent player in payroll and HR solutions, distinguished by its single-application platform that delivers real-time data and calculation capabilities.

$0.00 +0.00 (+0.00%)

Updated: February 19, 2026, 16:00 EST

Analyzed by Rockflow Bobby Quantitative Model ✓ Updated Daily

Investment Opinion: Should I buy DAY Today?

Based on the comprehensive analysis, DAY presents a highly speculative and risky investment opportunity that is not suitable for most investors.

Fundamentally, the company is deeply troubled. While it maintains decent gross margins and moderate debt, it is currently unprofitable with a severe negative net income and concerning operational inefficiencies (negative ROA/ROE). The constrained liquidity and weak cash flow relative to debt further heighten solvency risks. The valuation is impossible to assess using conventional metrics due to negative P/E and EV/EBITDA ratios, signaling significant financial distress. The only available risk metric, a Beta above 1, suggests higher-than-market volatility, compounding the uncertainty from missing critical data.

Recommendation: Do Not Buy. The combination of unsustainable profitability, poor operational health, and unquantifiable risks makes DAY an unattractive investment. Until the company demonstrates a credible path to restoring profitability and improves its financial transparency, investors should avoid this stock and seek opportunities with clearer fundamentals and positive earnings.

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DAY 12-Month Price Forecast

RockFlow Model Forecast: Three Scenarios for 2026

Based on the provided analysis, the 12-month outlook for DAY is highly unfavorable.

The primary catalyst for any potential recovery would be the company successfully executing a credible turnaround plan that demonstrates a clear path to profitability and improved operational efficiency. However, the significant risks far outweigh any potential upside; these include a high risk of continued financial distress due to negative earnings, poor cash flow, and potential solvency issues, exacerbated by a lack of financial transparency. Given the severe fundamental weaknesses and the absence of analyst targets, a target price cannot be reasonably established, and the stock is expected to remain exceptionally volatile and speculative.

Wall Street Consensus

Most Wall Street analysts are optimistic about DAY's 12-month outlook, with consensus target around $0.00, indicating expected upside potential.

Average Target
$0.00
16 analysts
Implied Upside
+0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
16
covering this stock
Price Range
$0 - $0
Analyst target range
Buy Buy
1 (6%)
Hold Hold
15 (94%)
Sell Sell
0 (0%)

Bulls vs Bears: DAY Investment Factors

Overall, DAY has investment potential but also faces challenges. Here are key factors to weigh before investing.

Bullish Bullish
  • S&P 500 Near Record High: Light inflation reading fuels a four-day market win streak.
  • Tech and AI Rally: Oracle-led AI trade comeback boosts technology stocks.
  • Strong Market Streak: Market notches best four-day stretch since May ahead of Thanksgiving.
  • Nasdaq Resilience: Nasdaq snaps losing streak as tech rallies.
  • Bitcoin Recovery: Bitcoin bouncing above $90,000 contributes to positive market sentiment.
Bearish Bearish
  • S&P 500 Decline Streak: Broad market index posts three consecutive losing sessions.
  • Investor Rotation from Tech: Investors exit technology stocks, moving into value areas.
  • Jobs Report Concerns: Economic fears sparked by jobs report cause market slips.
  • Pre-Fed Decision Caution: Market pulls back as investors await Federal Reserve meeting.
  • AI Trade Volatility: AI sector experiences volatility, leading to weekly losses.
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DAY Technical Analysis

Unfortunately, I cannot perform a technical analysis as the provided data is insufficient. Critical performance metrics like the current price, recent price changes, and 52-week range are listed as unavailable.

The only available metric, a beta of 1.167, indicates that DAY is theoretically 16.7% more volatile than the overall market. However, without price data to apply this to, its implications for recent performance cannot be determined.

For a meaningful assessment, complete data on price history, changes, and trading range is required. With the current information, no conclusions can be drawn about the stock's trend, relative strength, or current market position.

📊 Beta
1.17
1.17x market volatility
📉 Max Drawdown
0.0%
Largest decline past year
📈 52-Week Range
$0-$0
Price range past year
💹 Annual Return
+0.0%
Cumulative gain past year
Period DAY Return S&P 500

DAY Fundamental Analysis

Revenue & Profitability Revenue grew 3.6% quarter-over-quarter to $481.6 million, while profitability deteriorated sharply as the net income ratio fell from 4.6% to -40.9%. The significant loss in Q3 was driven by substantial other expenses, despite a resilient gross profit margin of 62.7%. This indicates a company with strong underlying product margins but experiencing volatile bottom-line performance.

Financial Health The company maintains a moderate debt level with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.46 and a low debt ratio of 14.1%. However, liquidity is constrained with a current ratio of just 1.04 and minimal cash reserves relative to obligations. The weak cash flow to debt ratio of 0.03 suggests limited capacity to service debt from operating activities.

Operational Efficiency Operational efficiency metrics are concerning, with negative returns on assets (-2.3%) and equity (-7.3%) reflecting poor capital allocation. The low asset turnover of 0.06 indicates inefficient utilization of the company's asset base to generate sales. While the cash conversion cycle of 16 days shows reasonable working capital management, overall operational performance remains suboptimal.

Quarterly Revenue
$0.5B
2025-06
Revenue YoY Growth
+9.8%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
N/A%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

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Valuation Analysis: Is DAY Overvalued?

Valuation Level Analysis

Based on the provided metrics, DAY's valuation presents a challenging and fundamentally weak picture. The company has negative trailing and forward PE ratios (-73.54 and -13.98, respectively), which indicates it is currently unprofitable on a net income basis. This makes the PE ratio unusable for traditional valuation assessment. The negative EV/EBITDA of -113.91 further confirms severe operational cash flow issues relative to its enterprise value, rendering standard valuation multiples meaningless and signaling significant financial distress.

Peer Comparison

A direct peer comparison using industry averages is not possible with the available data. However, the provided metrics themselves are highly aberrant; profitable companies typically have positive PE and EV/EBITDA ratios, while DAY's deeply negative values place it in a precarious position relative to any healthy industry benchmark. The only marginally positive metric is the PEG ratio of 0.013, which suggests that if the company's negative earnings were to reverse and grow, the growth rate is theoretically high, but this is speculative given the current lack of profitability.

PS
22.9x
Price-to-Sales Ratio
vs. Historical
Mid-Range
5-Year PE Range -1104×-1210×
vs. Industry Avg
-343.4%
Industry PE ~30.2×
EV/Sales
N/Ax
Enterprise Value-to-Sales Ratio

Investment Risk Disclosure

Of course. Here is a risk analysis for the stock based on the provided metrics.

1. Volatility Risk The stock exhibits a Beta of 1.167, indicating it is more volatile than the broader market. This means it is likely to experience larger price swings, both upward and downward, compared to the market average. The inability to calculate a maximum drawdown for the period suggests either a lack of significant decline or, more concerningly, a lack of sufficient trading history or data for a proper volatility assessment, which is in itself a risk factor.

2. Other Risks Critical risk metrics such as Short Interest and Maximum Drawdown are not available, presenting a significant analytical challenge. This lack of data makes it difficult to gauge market sentiment (via short interest) or to understand the stock's worst-case historical loss potential. This absence of information underscores a liquidity or transparency risk, as investors cannot fully assess the bearish sentiment or historical downside volatility.

FAQs

Is DAY a good stock to buy?

Bearish. The stock faces significant profitability challenges with deeply negative earnings and poor operational returns, compounded by weak liquidity and analyst skepticism. While product margins remain strong and debt levels are moderate, current fundamentals do not support a sustainable recovery. Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant speculators comfortable with unprofitable, volatile equities.

Is DAY stock overvalued or undervalued?

Based on the metrics, DAY stock appears significantly overvalued despite its negative profitability.

The stock trades at extremely high valuation multiples (PS ratio of 22.9 and PB ratio of 4.1) that would normally imply strong growth expectations, yet the company is deeply unprofitable with negative earnings and poor operational returns. While the low PEG ratio suggests high growth expectations, this is speculative given the company's current fundamental weaknesses including negative ROE and constrained liquidity. These valuation levels are difficult to justify given the deteriorating profitability and operational inefficiencies.

What are the main risks of holding DAY?

Based on the provided information, here are the key risks of holding DAY stock, ordered by importance:

1. Severe Profitability Risk: The company's net income margin plummeted to -40.9%, indicating it is burning cash on its core operations despite having a strong gross margin. 2. Poor Operational Health Risk: Negative returns on assets and equity, combined with very low asset turnover, signal fundamental inefficiency in using its capital to generate profits. 3. Liquidity and Cash Flow Risk: A current ratio of 1.04 and a weak cash flow to debt ratio suggest the company has minimal buffer to meet short-term obligations or service its debt comfortably. 4. Heightened Volatility and Data Transparency Risk: The stock's beta of 1.167 implies higher volatility than the market, and the unavailability of key data points like price history and short interest makes a full risk assessment difficult.

What is the price forecast for DAY in 2026?

Based on the severe fundamental weaknesses and lack of analyst coverage, forecasting DAY's stock price for 2026 is exceptionally speculative; a base case target is not reasonably determinable, while any bull case would depend entirely on a successful, yet currently unproven, turnaround. Key growth drivers would include a credible path to profitability through cost control and a reversal of the negative income trend, alongside improved cash flow generation to address solvency concerns. The primary assumptions are that the company avoids financial distress and implements a drastic operational overhaul, but the forecast carries extreme uncertainty due to the high risk of continued losses, poor liquidity, and lack of financial transparency. Consequently, the stock is expected to remain highly volatile with a significant risk of permanent capital impairment.