DuPont
DD
$124.29
-2.13%
DuPont de Nemours, Inc. is a diversified global specialty chemicals company whose portfolio spans electronics and industrial materials, water and protection solutions, and healthcare-oriented advanced materials, serving end markets including semiconductors, water treatment, construction, automotive, aerospace, and packaging. Spun out of the 2019 DowDuPont merger-and-separation sequence, DuPont has repositioned itself as a higher-margin, innovation-driven specialty player rather than a commodity chemical producer, with healthcare and water expected to generate the majority of profits and electronics and industrial contributing the largest revenue block. The current investor narrative centers on management's ability to flex pricing power and operational discipline, evidenced by strong first-quarter results, raised guidance, and the initiation of an accelerated share buyback announced in May 2026, alongside a large debt paydown that has materially deleveraged the balance sheet. At the same time, debate persists around the sustainability of that momentum, given a sharp year-over-year revenue decline in the most recent quarter, a GAAP net loss driven by portfolio-related charges, and a stock that has lagged the broader market over the past three and six months despite a solid one-year gain.…
DD
DuPont
$124.29
Related headlines
Investment Opinion: Should I buy DD Today?
The synthesized recommendation is Hold, with a bias toward accumulating on further weakness. The core thesis is that DuPont's fortress balance sheet, strong free cash flow, and deeply discounted forward valuation (15.94x forward PE) offer a favorable risk/reward for patient investors, but the unresolved 45% year-over-year revenue decline and negative trailing GAAP profitability prevent a more aggressive Buy rating. The analyst consensus is Buy with a mean recommendation of 1.53 and an average target price of $170.00, implying 33.9% upside, but the stock's persistent underperformance suggests the market is not yet convinced.
Supporting evidence for the Hold rating includes: (1) the forward PE of 15.94x is below the broader market and well below the stock's own Q1 2026 trailing PE of 29.36x; (2) free cash flow of $1.107 billion comfortably covers the $102 million quarterly capex and the 3.56% dividend; (3) debt-to-equity of 0.229 and a current ratio of 2.42 provide substantial financial flexibility; and (4) Q1 2026 gross margin of 35.81% and operating margin of 11.06% show the core business can earn solid margins when charges are absent. However, the PS ratio of 2.45x is near the low end of its historical range, which could signal either deep value or continued deterioration.
The biggest risks that could invalidate the thesis are: (1) revenue failing to stabilize sequentially, which would pressure the forward EPS estimate of $9.75; (2) further portfolio charges or write-downs that keep GAAP earnings negative and undermine the dividend; and (3) a broader market rotation away from specialty chemicals. This Hold would upgrade to Buy if Q2 2026 revenue stabilizes above $1.7 billion and adjusted EPS tracks toward $2.00+ quarterly, or if the stock pulls back to the $110-$115 range offering a more attractive entry. It would downgrade to Sell if revenue falls below $1.5 billion or if the company cuts its dividend. Relative to its history and peers, DD appears undervalued on a forward earnings basis but fairly valued on a price-to-sales basis, reflecting the market's uncertainty about the sustainability of the remaining business.
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DD 12-Month Price Forecast
DuPont presents a classic value-versus-momentum dilemma: the forward valuation of 15.94x earnings is undemanding and the balance sheet is fortress-like, but the 45% revenue decline and negative trailing GAAP profitability create significant uncertainty. The analyst consensus is bullish with a $170 average target, yet the stock has underperformed SPY by over 21 percentage points in six months, suggesting the market is pricing in risks that analysts may be underestimating. The base case (55% probability) assumes revenue stabilizes and the stock trades in the $140-$160 range, while the bear case (20%) sees a retest of the $92.49 low if earnings disappoint. I would upgrade to bullish if Q2 2026 revenue shows sequential growth and adjusted EPS exceeds $2.00, and downgrade to bearish if revenue falls below $1.5 billion or the dividend is cut.
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on DuPont's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $170.00 and implied upside of +36.8% versus the current price.
Average Target
$170.00
0 analysts
Implied Upside
+36.8%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
—
covering this stock
Price Range
$156 - $186
Analyst target range
Coverage is solid, with 16 analysts following DuPont and a consensus recommendation of Buy, reflected in a recommendation mean of 1.53 (where 1.0 is a Strong Buy and 2.0 is a Buy). The average target price is $170.00, which implies roughly 33.9% upside from the current price of $126.99, and the consensus is clearly bullish rather than neutral. Estimated EPS averages $9.75, with a tight range of $9.61 to $9.86, and estimated revenue averages $8.069 billion, with a narrow range of $7.978 billion to $8.141 billion, indicating high confidence in the near-term earnings and revenue outlook. The bullish consensus stands in sharp contrast to the stock's recent price action, which has fallen 12.04% over the past month and underperformed SPY by nearly 11 percentage points, creating a notable gap between analyst expectations and market behavior. The target range is wide, from a low of $156.00 to a high of $186.00, a spread of $30.00, or about 19% of the average target, which signals meaningful disagreement about the pace of recovery. The low target of $156.00 still implies roughly 22.8% upside from the current price, meaning even the most cautious analyst sees the stock as undervalued, while the high target of $186.00 implies about 46.5% upside and likely assumes successful execution on pricing power, margin expansion, and the accelerated buyback. Institutional ratings show a stable-to-constructive pattern: Citigroup reiterated Buy on July 2, 2026, RBC Capital reiterated Outperform on May 11 and April 24, UBS reiterated Buy on May 6, and Deutsche Bank and BMO Capital reiterated Buy and Outperform in February, while Morgan Stanley and B of A Securities stayed at Equal Weight and Neutral, respectively. The absence of recent downgrades and the presence of multiple reiterated Buy/Outperform ratings suggest the sell-side views the recent selloff as a buying opportunity rather than a fundamental breakdown, though the wide target spread and the stock's persistent underperformance mean investors should weigh the risk that estimates are stale relative to the deteriorating price trend.
Bulls vs Bears: DD Investment Factors
The bear case currently has stronger near-term evidence: revenue is down 45% year over year, trailing GAAP profitability is negative, and the stock has underperformed SPY by over 21 percentage points in six months. However, the bull case rests on a fortress balance sheet (debt-to-equity of 0.229), strong free cash flow ($1.107 billion), and a forward PE of 15.94x that already discounts a sharp earnings recovery. The single most important tension is whether the remaining businesses can grow organically fast enough to offset the lost revenue base; if Q2 2026 revenue stabilizes sequentially and adjusted EPS tracks toward the $9.75 consensus, the stock is deeply undervalued, but if the revenue decline continues, the 34% analyst upside will prove illusory.
Bullish
- Analyst consensus sees 34% upside: 16 analysts rate DD a Buy with a mean recommendation of 1.53 and an average target price of $170.00, implying 33.9% upside from the current $126.99. Even the lowest target of $156.00 implies 22.8% upside, suggesting the sell-side views the recent selloff as overdone.
- Forward PE of 15.94x is undemanding: With consensus forward EPS of $9.75, DD trades at just 15.94x forward earnings, below the broader market multiple and far below its own Q1 2026 trailing PE of 29.36x. The PS ratio of 2.45x is also near the low end of its recent historical band (versus 11.17x in Q1 2026 and 3.69x in Q2 2025).
- Fortress balance sheet with low leverage: Debt-to-equity is only 0.229 and the current ratio is 2.42, with $752 million in cash against a $16.8 billion market cap. The company paid down $4.074 billion of debt in Q4 2025 and still repurchased $500 million of stock, demonstrating strong liquidity and capital return capacity.
- Strong free cash flow and 3.56% dividend yield: Trailing free cash flow is $1.107 billion, and Q1 2026 generated $130 million of FCF on $232 million operating cash flow against just $102 million of capex. The 3.56% dividend yield is attractive and well covered on adjusted earnings, with a consistent quarterly dividend policy.
Bearish
- Revenue collapsed 45% year over year: Q1 2026 revenue of $1.681 billion was down 45.17% from $3.066 billion in Q1 2025, and the sequential trend shows a step-down from $3.257 billion in Q2 2025 to $1.693 billion in Q4 2025. Even if divestiture-driven, the shrinking revenue base raises serious questions about organic growth and earnings power.
- Trailing GAAP profitability is negative: Trailing EPS is -$0.046, net margin is -11.37%, and ROE is -5.60%, reflecting prior losses including a $589 million net loss in Q1 2025 and a $126 million loss in Q4 2025. The trailing PE of -21.50x is meaningless, and the payout ratio of -76.64% shows the dividend is not covered on a GAAP basis.
- Severe recent underperformance versus market: DD has fallen 12.04% over the past month and 12.29% over three months, underperforming SPY by 10.98 and 15.33 percentage points respectively. The 6-month relative strength is -21.12 points, indicating persistent de-risking even as the broader market has been roughly flat.
- Technical downtrend with limited support: The stock is 19.6% below its 52-week high of $157.98 and sits only 53% up its 52-week range, with the next major support at the 52-week low of $92.49, roughly 27% below the current price. The steady 1-month and 3-month declines suggest genuine selling pressure rather than a temporary dip.
DD Technical Analysis
DuPont is in a medium-term downtrend that is masking a still-positive longer-term trend. The stock is up 29.72% over the past year but has fallen 12.04% in the last month and 12.29% over three months, and at $126.99 it sits only about 53% of the way up its 52-week range of $92.49 to $157.98. That positioning is neither a momentum breakout nor a deep-value washout: the shares have surrendered a large share of their annual gains and are trading roughly 19.6% below the 52-week high, which suggests the market is repricing the growth outlook rather than simply consolidating. The 1-year gain of 29.72% versus the S&P 500's 16.22% shows DuPont was a clear relative winner over twelve months, but the recent slide has put that leadership at risk. Recent momentum is decisively negative and diverging from the longer-term uptrend. The 1-month change of -12.04% and 3-month change of -12.29% are nearly identical, indicating a steady, persistent decline rather than a single sharp shock, while the 6-month change of -5.72% and YTD gain of just 3.57% confirm that most of the past year's advance was earned in the first half of the period. Relative strength tells the same story: DuPont has underperformed SPY by 10.98 percentage points over one month, 15.33 points over three months, and 21.12 points over six months, even though it still leads by 13.50 points over twelve months. With a short ratio of 2.92 and volume of roughly 862,000 shares, there is no evidence of a squeeze dynamic; the selling looks like genuine de-risking, and the stock's failure to stabilize near $127 despite the broader market being down only 1.06% in the past month is a notable warning sign. Key levels are well defined. Support sits at the 52-week low of $92.49, roughly 27% below the current price, while resistance is the 52-week high of $157.98, about 24% above; a decisive break below the recent $127 area would open the door to a retest of the low-$120s and potentially the $92.49 floor, whereas reclaiming $140-$145 would be the first evidence of a trend reversal. The beta of 1.085 means DuPont is only about 8.5% more volatile than the market, so the recent 12% monthly decline is not explained by high beta alone, and the maximum drawdown of -17.85% shows the stock has already experienced a meaningful peak-to-trough correction. For risk management, the combination of a 1.085 beta and a 24% gap to resistance argues for smaller position sizing until price action confirms a bottom.
Beta
1.08
1.08x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-19.6%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$92-$158
Price range past year
Annual Return
+28.1%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | DD Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | -15.0% | -2.0% |
| 3m | -13.8% | +1.4% |
| 6m | -5.8% | +15.0% |
| 1y | +28.1% | +15.7% |
| ytd | +1.4% | +11.6% |
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DD Fundamental Analysis
DuPont's revenue trajectory is contracting sharply on a reported basis, which is the single most important fundamental issue in the current data set. The most recent quarter (Q1 2026, ended March 31, 2026) generated revenue of $1.681 billion, down 45.17% year over year from $3.066 billion in Q1 2025, and the sequential trend is equally stark: revenue fell from $3.257 billion in Q2 2025 to $3.072 billion in Q3 2025, then to $1.693 billion in Q4 2025, and $1.681 billion in Q1 2026. This step-down is consistent with major portfolio divestitures rather than pure demand collapse, since segment data shows Electronics and Industrial at $1.506 billion and Water and Protection at $1.359 billion, with a Corporate segment of $227 million, and the company's own description emphasizes healthcare and water as the profit engines. The critical question for the investment case is whether the remaining businesses can grow organically fast enough to offset the lost revenue base; the raised guidance and pricing-power narrative from the May 2026 earnings release suggest management believes they can, but the reported numbers have not yet demonstrated it. Profitability is positive on an adjusted basis but negative on a trailing GAAP basis, creating a confusing picture. Q1 2026 net income was $161 million with EPS of $1.17, a gross margin of 35.81%, and an operating margin of 11.06%, which is a healthy sequential improvement from Q4 2025's net loss of $126 million and 31.13% gross margin. However, the trailing figures are weighed down by prior losses, including a Q1 2025 net loss of $589 million and a Q4 2025 net loss of $126 million, leaving trailing EPS at -$0.046, net margin at -11.37%, and ROE at -5.60%. The gross margin of 30.25% in the valuation data versus 35.81% in the most recent quarter shows the drag from weaker periods, and the operating margin of 12.56% is respectable for specialty chemicals but not exceptional; the key positive is that Q1 2026's 35.81% gross margin and $602 million gross profit indicate the core business can earn solid margins when charges are absent. The balance sheet is the strongest part of the fundamental story. Debt-to-equity is just 0.229, the current ratio is 2.42, and the company holds $752 million in cash against a market cap of roughly $16.8 billion, giving it substantial liquidity and low leverage. Free cash flow on a trailing basis is $1.107 billion, and Q1 2026 free cash flow was $130 million on operating cash flow of $232 million against $102 million of capex, while the company paid down $4.074 billion of debt in Q4 2025 and repurchased $500 million of stock in that quarter. The dividend yield of 3.56% is attractive, but the payout ratio of -76.64% reflects the trailing GAAP loss and is not sustainable on a GAAP basis; on adjusted earnings, the dividend looks far better covered. Overall, DuPont generates enough cash to fund capex and dividends internally, and the low debt-to-equity of 0.229 means financial risk is modest, but the negative ROE of -5.60% and ROA of 2.07% show that capital returns are currently depressed by charges and the shrinking revenue base.
Quarterly Revenue
$1.7B
2026-03
Revenue YoY Growth
-45.2%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
35.8%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$1.1B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is DD Overvalued?
Because trailing net income is negative (EPS of -$0.046 and a net margin of -11.37%), the trailing PE ratio of -21.50 is not meaningful, so the appropriate primary metric is the forward PE ratio, supported by the price-to-sales ratio. DuPont trades at a forward PE of 15.94x against a trailing PE of -21.50x, and the gap between the negative trailing multiple and the positive forward multiple implies the market expects a sharp earnings recovery, with consensus estimated EPS of $9.75 for the forward period. The PS ratio of 2.45x and EV/Sales of 2.68x provide a sanity check: at roughly 2.5x sales, the market is not pricing DuPont as a high-growth specialty chemicals compounder, but the forward PE of 15.94x is also not a distressed multiple, suggesting investors see a normalized earnings base rather than a broken business. Peer comparison is difficult because the provided valuation data does not include an explicit industry average multiple, but the internal spread is informative. DuPont's forward PE of 15.94x versus its own trailing PE of -21.50x and its PS of 2.45x versus a price-to-book of 1.21x shows the stock is valued more on earnings recovery than on assets or sales. The PEG ratio of 0.102 is extremely low, which would normally signal deep undervaluation, but it is distorted by the negative trailing earnings base and should not be relied upon. Relative to the broad specialty chemicals sector, a 15.94x forward PE is roughly in line with or slightly below the market multiple, and the 1.21x price-to-book is modest, implying the market is not paying a premium for DuPont's asset base; the 3.56% dividend yield and 2.68x EV/Sales suggest a value-oriented rather than growth-oriented valuation. Historical context shows the stock has traded at a wide range of multiples. In Q1 2026, the historical PE was 29.36x with a PS of 11.17x, while in Q3 2025 the PE was -28.09x and PS was 4.45x, and in Q2 2025 the PE was 51.25x with a PS of 3.69x. The current PS of 2.45x is well below the Q1 2026 reading of 11.17x and the Q2 2025 reading of 3.69x, placing it near the low end of its recent historical band, while the forward PE of 15.94x is far below the 29.36x trailing PE reported for Q1 2026. That combination, low PS relative to history and a forward PE below the recent trailing multiple, suggests the market is pricing in either a value opportunity or continued fundamental deterioration; the resolution likely depends on whether the revenue base stabilizes and adjusted earnings materialize as consensus expects.
PE
-21.5x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Low-End
5-Year PE Range 1x~29x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
16.6x
Enterprise Value Multiple
Investment Risk Disclosure
DuPont's financial and operational risks are dominated by the sharp contraction in its revenue base. Q1 2026 revenue fell 45.17% year over year to $1.681 billion, and the sequential trend shows a step-down from over $3 billion per quarter in mid-2025 to roughly $1.68 billion in Q1 2026, reflecting major portfolio divestitures. While the balance sheet is strong with debt-to-equity of 0.229 and a current ratio of 2.42, the trailing GAAP net margin of -11.37% and ROE of -5.60% show that the remaining businesses have not yet demonstrated they can generate consistent profits at the new scale. The dividend payout ratio of -76.64% on trailing GAAP earnings is unsustainable, and the company's ability to cover its 3.56% yield depends entirely on adjusted earnings materializing as consensus expects. Additionally, the concentration of profits in healthcare and water means any weakness in those end markets could disproportionately impact earnings.
Market and competitive risks are elevated by the stock's recent underperformance and premium valuation relative to its own history. DD has fallen 12.04% in the past month and 12.29% over three months, underperforming SPY by 10.98 and 15.33 percentage points respectively, and its 6-month relative strength is -21.12 points. With a beta of 1.085, the stock is only slightly more volatile than the market, so the recent decline is not explained by high beta alone but rather by company-specific de-risking. The forward PE of 15.94x is not distressed, but the PS ratio of 2.45x is near the low end of its recent historical band, suggesting the market is pricing in continued fundamental deterioration. Competitive pressures in specialty chemicals, particularly in electronics and industrial materials, could further erode pricing power, and any regulatory or trade headwinds affecting the semiconductor or water treatment end markets would be a direct threat.
The worst-case scenario would involve a continued revenue decline that fails to stabilize, causing adjusted earnings to miss the $9.75 consensus and forcing analysts to revise targets downward. In that scenario, the stock could retest its 52-week low of $92.49, representing a 27% decline from the current price of $126.99. If the company also faces margin compression from competitive pricing or input cost inflation, the downside could extend toward the analyst low target of $156.00, though that is above the current price and would only be relevant if the stock first rallies. More realistically, a break below the recent $127 support area could open the door to the low-$120s and potentially the $92.49 floor, implying a loss of 27% from current levels. The maximum drawdown of -17.85% shows the stock has already experienced a meaningful correction, but a fundamental breakdown could produce a deeper drawdown.
FAQ
The most severe risk is the 45.17% year-over-year revenue decline in Q1 2026, which raises questions about the sustainability of the remaining business and the achievability of the $9.75 consensus EPS. Second, trailing GAAP profitability is negative with an EPS of -$0.046 and a net margin of -11.37%, and the payout ratio of -76.64% means the dividend is not covered on a GAAP basis, creating a risk of a dividend cut. Third, the stock has underperformed SPY by 21.12 percentage points over six months, and with a beta of 1.085, it remains exposed to broader market volatility. Fourth, competitive pressures in specialty chemicals could compress the 35.81% gross margin, and any weakness in the healthcare or water end markets would disproportionately impact profits.
The 12-month forecast is based on three scenarios: a bull case (25% probability) targeting $170-$186 if revenue stabilizes and adjusted EPS meets consensus; a base case (55% probability) targeting $140-$160 if revenue stabilizes around $1.7 billion per quarter and adjusted EPS comes in slightly below consensus at $9.00-$9.50; and a bear case (20% probability) targeting $92.49-$120 if revenue continues to decline and earnings miss. The most likely scenario is the base case, which assumes no further major divestitures and a modest expansion of the forward PE to 16-18x. The key assumption behind the base case is that Q2 2026 revenue stabilizes sequentially and the company maintains its dividend, allowing the market to gain confidence in the earnings recovery.
DD appears undervalued on a forward earnings basis but fairly valued on sales. The forward PE of 15.94x is below the broader market and well below the stock's own Q1 2026 trailing PE of 29.36x, while the PS ratio of 2.45x is near the low end of its recent historical band (versus 11.17x in Q1 2026 and 3.69x in Q2 2025). The price-to-book of 1.21x is modest, suggesting the market is not paying a premium for assets. However, the trailing PE of -21.50x and negative net margin of -11.37% mean the valuation is entirely dependent on the earnings recovery implied by the $9.75 consensus EPS. The market is pricing in a normalized earnings base rather than a broken business, but the 34% upside to the average target suggests significant value if that recovery materializes.
From a risk/reward perspective, DD offers a favorable setup for patient investors: the stock trades at $126.99 with a forward PE of 15.94x and an average analyst target of $170.00, implying 33.9% upside. The balance sheet is strong with debt-to-equity of 0.229 and free cash flow of $1.107 billion, supporting a 3.56% dividend yield. However, the biggest downside risk is the 45.17% year-over-year revenue decline, which could push the stock toward its 52-week low of $92.49, a 27% drop. It is a good buy for investors with a 2-3 year horizon who believe management can stabilize revenue and deliver on the $9.75 consensus EPS, but it is not suitable for those seeking near-term momentum or income certainty.
DD is better suited for long-term investment with a minimum holding period of 2-3 years, given the ongoing portfolio transformation and the need for revenue to stabilize before the earnings recovery can be validated. The stock's beta of 1.085 indicates moderate volatility, and the 3.56% dividend yield provides some income while waiting for the turnaround. Short-term trading is risky because the stock is in a medium-term downtrend, down 12.04% in the past month, and the wide analyst target range of $156-$186 signals uncertainty. Earnings visibility is low due to the recent divestitures, so investors should be prepared for quarterly volatility. A long-term horizon allows time for the accelerated buyback and debt paydown to boost per-share metrics and for the market to re-rate the stock toward its historical multiples.

