DELL

Dell Technologies

$247.89

+1.65%
May 14, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Dell Technologies Inc. is a broad information technology vendor primarily supplying hardware to enterprises, with a focus on premium and commercial personal computers and enterprise on-premises data center hardware. The company is a market leader, holding top-three shares in its core markets of personal computers, peripheral displays, mainstream servers, and external storage, and operates with a robust ecosystem of component and assembly partners. The current investor narrative is dominated by its explosive AI server growth, as evidenced by a massive $43 billion backlog, which is driving a significant re-rating of the stock and intense debate over whether its current valuation is justified by a sustainable AI-driven turnaround or is stretched due to margin pressures from rising component costs.

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DELL 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $247.89
Average Target $247.89
High Target $285.07349999999997
Low Target $210.70649999999998

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Dell Technologies's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $322.26 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$322.26

5 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

5

covering this stock

Price Range

$198 - $322

Analyst target range

Buy
1 (20%)
Hold
2 (40%)
Sell
2 (40%)

Analyst coverage appears limited with only 5 analysts providing estimates, indicating this may be a under-covered name relative to its market cap, which can lead to higher volatility. The consensus sentiment is bullish, with recent institutional ratings from firms like B of A Securities, Citigroup, and Barclays all at 'Buy' or 'Overweight', and an average EPS estimate of $21.03 for the coming period. The target price range implied by revenue estimates is wide, from a low of $179.69 billion to a high of $209.44 billion in estimated revenue, reflecting high uncertainty about the sustainability of the current AI-driven growth surge; the high-end targets likely assume Dell successfully capitalizes on its AI server backlog with strong margins, while the low-end may price in potential margin compression from component costs or a normalization of demand.

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DELL Technical Analysis

The stock is in a powerful, sustained uptrend, evidenced by a staggering 128.57% gain over the past year. With a current price of $210.17, it is trading at approximately 95% of its 52-week high of $221.5, indicating extreme momentum and positioning near its peak, which suggests both strong investor conviction and potential overextension. Recent momentum has accelerated dramatically, with the stock up 24.08% over the past month and 83.65% over the past three months, far outpacing the S&P 500's gains of 9.98% and 4.14% over the same periods, respectively, signaling a powerful short-term breakout that reinforces the long-term bullish trend. Key technical levels are the 52-week high of $221.5 as immediate resistance and the 52-week low of $92.53 as distant support; a decisive breakout above resistance would confirm the continuation of the parabolic uptrend, while the stock's beta of 0.95 indicates its volatility is roughly in line with the broader market, which is notable given its recent explosive price action.

Beta

1.06

1.06x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-32.6%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$106-$264

Price range past year

Annual Return

+123.3%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodDELL ReturnS&P 500
1m+34.4%+7.7%
3m+111.0%+9.7%
6m+85.3%+11.3%
1y+123.3%+27.3%
ytd+94.0%+9.7%

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DELL Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth has accelerated sharply, with the most recent Q4 FY26 revenue of $33.38 billion representing a 40.21% year-over-year increase, a significant acceleration from the prior quarter's $27.01 billion. This explosive growth is primarily driven by surging demand for AI servers, as indicated by news of a massive backlog, transforming the company's growth trajectory. Profitability is robust and expanding, with Q4 net income of $2.26 billion and a net margin of 6.77%, while the gross margin of 20.16% shows stability; sequentially, operating income surged from $2.12 billion in Q3 to $3.15 billion in Q4, demonstrating significant operating leverage as revenue scales. The balance sheet and cash flow are strong, with trailing twelve-month free cash flow of $8.55 billion providing ample internal funding for growth, a current ratio of 0.91 indicating adequate short-term liquidity, and a return on assets of 6.02% reflecting efficient use of its asset base, though the negative debt-to-equity ratio of -12.75 is an accounting artifact related to shareholder equity and requires context from the capital structure.

Quarterly Revenue

$33.4B

2026-01

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.40%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.20%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$8.6B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Other Segments
Corporate, Non-Segment

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Valuation Analysis: Is DELL Overvalued?

Given a positive net income of $2.26 billion in the latest quarter, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 12.78x, while the forward P/E is 14.26x; the higher forward multiple suggests the market is pricing in a moderation of earnings growth from the recent explosive levels. Compared to the broader technology hardware sector, Dell's trailing P/E of 12.78x trades at a significant discount to typical industry averages often in the 20x-25x range, a discount that may reflect the market's historical view of Dell as a lower-margin hardware company rather than its emerging AI-driven growth profile. Historically, the stock's own trailing P/E has ranged dramatically, but the current 12.78x is below the 17.56x seen just two quarters prior in Q3 FY26, suggesting that despite the massive price rally, earnings growth has been even more explosive, keeping the valuation multiple from reaching historical highs and potentially leaving room for further expansion if AI growth proves sustainable.

PE

12.8x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range 3x~5418x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

8.1x

Enterprise Value Multiple