DJT

Based on the provided data, here is a comprehensive analysis of DJT.

Technical Analysis DJT shows strong upside momentum in the very short term, with a 35% gain over the past month. However, this rally follows a period of severe decline, leaving the stock down 18% over three months and significantly underperforming the broader market. The extreme volatility, characterized by a very high beta, makes it a highly speculative trading instrument rather than a stable investment.

Fundamental Analysis The company's fundamentals are critically weak. Revenue is minimal and growing very slowly, while operating losses are substantial, indicating the business model is not yet viable. Despite a balance sheet with high liquidity ratios, the extremely low cash flow relative to debt raises serious concerns about its ability to meet long-term obligations without additional financing.

Valuation and Risk Valuation metrics are alarming, with a price-to-sales ratio over 1,000 that is unjustifiable by any standard, signaling extreme overvaluation. The primary risk is the stock's extreme volatility, which exposes investors to the potential for rapid and significant losses.

Recommendation: Strong Sell

DJT is not recommended for purchase. The combination of unsustainable valuation, deeply negative profitability, and extreme price volatility presents an unattractive and high-risk profile. While short-term traders may be attracted to its momentum, the fundamental weaknesses suggest the recent price surge lacks a solid foundation. Investors should consider this stock highly speculative and unsuitable for a long-term portfolio.

RockFlow Model Forecast: Three Scenarios for 2026

Based on the analysis, the 12-month outlook for DJT is decidedly bearish. Key catalysts are limited and largely speculative, potentially including short-term trading momentum or media-driven sentiment shifts rather than fundamental business improvements. The primary risks are extreme, centered on unsustainable valuation, a non-viable business model with substantial losses, and dangerously high volatility that makes the stock prone to severe price declines. Given the lack of traditional analyst targets and the overwhelming fundamental weaknesses, a target price is speculative, but a significant correction from the current price toward a level more reflective of its minimal revenue and negative profitability appears likely. Investors should approach this stock with extreme caution, if at all.

Wall Street Consensus

Most Wall Street analysts are optimistic about DJT's 12-month outlook, with consensus target around $14.31, indicating expected upside potential.

Overall, DJT has investment potential but also faces challenges. Here are key factors to weigh before investing.

DJT has demonstrated extreme volatility with mixed performance, showing recent short-term strength but significant underperformance versus the market over the medium term. The exceptionally high beta of 4.63 underscores the stock's dramatic price swings.

The stock has surged 35% over the past month, indicating strong recent momentum, but remains down 18% over three months and has underperformed the market by 22.5% during that period. This suggests the recent rebound follows a period of substantial weakness.

Currently trading at $14.31, DJT sits near the lower portion of its 52-week range ($10.18-$43.46), approximately 67% below its yearly high, indicating potential oversold conditions despite the recent rally. The severe 76% maximum drawdown confirms the stock remains substantially depressed from its peak.

Revenue & Profitability DJT's fundamentals reveal severe operational challenges, with Q3 revenue of $0.97 million representing only modest sequential growth from Q2's $0.88 million. The company is hemorrhaging money, posting a -56.3% net profit margin and an operating loss of -$57.7 million in Q3, indicating expenses are dramatically outstripping minimal revenue generation. Profitability metrics have deteriorated significantly quarter-over-quarter, with operating losses deepening substantially.

Financial Health The balance sheet shows an extremely high liquidity position with current and quick ratios exceeding 42, though this is primarily due to minimal current liabilities against modest cash holdings. Notably, the cash flow to debt ratio is critically low at 0.01, suggesting minimal operating cash flow generation relative to debt obligations. The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42 indicates moderate leverage, but cash flows appear insufficient to service this debt comfortably.

Operational Efficiency Operational metrics are deeply concerning, with return on equity at -2.4% and return on assets at -1.7%, reflecting inefficient capital deployment. Asset turnover is negligible at 0.0003, indicating extremely poor utilization of the company's asset base to generate revenue. The negative EBITDARatio of -42.3% further confirms fundamental operational inefficiencies across the business model.

Valuation Level: DJT exhibits an extremely elevated PS ratio of 1,089, which indicates severe overvaluation based on sales. The PB ratio of 1.76 suggests the market price is moderately above the company's book value. The negative EV/EBITDA ratio confirms that the company is not currently generating positive operating earnings, further undermining fundamental justification for its current price levels.

Peer Comparison: A detailed peer comparison cannot be performed due to the unavailability of industry average data. As such, the assessment is based solely on absolute metrics, which reveal a company trading at exceptionally high multiples without current earnings to support the valuation. This isolated analysis highlights significant valuation risks in the absence of positive earnings and acceptable sales-based multiples.

Volatility Risk: DJT exhibits extreme volatility risk, with a beta of 4.632 indicating it moves over four times as much as the broader market. This is compounded by a severe one-year maximum drawdown of -76.02%, demonstrating extreme price instability and significant loss potential for investors over short periods.

Other Risks: While the short interest of 2.54% is relatively low, suggesting limited speculative pressure from short sellers, its extremely high volatility inherently poses liquidity risks. The stock's wild price swings could lead to wider bid-ask spreads and difficulty executing large orders without substantial market impact.