DKS

Dick's Sporting Goods

$205.60

-0.21%
Jul 27, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Dick's Sporting Goods is a leading specialty retailer of sports and outdoor apparel, footwear, and equipment, operating over 700 Dick's stores, 110 Golf Galaxy locations, and roughly 50 outlet stores. The company significantly expanded its footprint in September 2025 by acquiring Foot Locker, adding approximately 2,600 stores under banners like Foot Locker, Kids Foot Locker, Champs Sports, atmos, and WSS across North America, Asia-Pacific, and EMEA, creating a combined annual sales base exceeding $22 billion. The current investor narrative centers on the integration of the transformative Foot Locker acquisition, which positions Dick's as a global athletic footwear and apparel powerhouse but also introduces execution risk and integration costs. Recent attention has focused on the company's ability to realize synergies, manage a larger store base, and sustain growth amid a mixed consumer spending environment.

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DKS 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $205.60
Average Target $205.60
High Target $236.44
Low Target $174.76

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Dick's Sporting Goods's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $250.14 and implied upside of +21.7% versus the current price.

Average Target

$250.14

0 analysts

Implied Upside

+21.7%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

covering this stock

Price Range

$169 - $300

Analyst target range

Dick's Sporting Goods is covered by 22 analysts, with a consensus recommendation of 'Buy' (mean rating of 2.0 on a 1-5 scale, where 1 is Strong Buy). The average price target is $250.14, implying approximately 21.4% upside from the current price of $206.04. The distribution leans bullish, with recent upgrades from JP Morgan (from Neutral to Overweight) and maintained Buy ratings from DA Davidson, BTIG, and others. The consensus sentiment is positive, reflecting confidence in the company's growth trajectory post-Foot Locker acquisition. The target range spans from a low of $169.00 to a high of $300.00, indicating a wide dispersion of views. The high target of $300 assumes successful integration, margin expansion, and sustained revenue growth, while the low target of $169 suggests risks such as integration challenges, consumer spending weakness, or competitive pressures. The wide spread (131 points) signals high uncertainty about the outcome of the acquisition and the retail environment. Recent ratings actions show a mix of upgrades and holds, with JP Morgan's upgrade in May 2026 being a notable positive signal. The overall pattern suggests that analysts are cautiously optimistic but acknowledge the execution risks inherent in the large-scale acquisition.

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DKS Technical Analysis

Dick's Sporting Goods is in a range-bound consolidation phase after a significant rally, with the stock trading at $206.04, down 2.75% over the past year. The current price sits at 79% of its 52-week range ($186.67 low to $244.38 high), indicating it is closer to the low end of the range, which could suggest a value opportunity if fundamentals support a recovery, but also reflects recent weakness. The 1-year price change of -2.75% contrasts with the S&P 500's gain of 16.47%, showing clear relative underperformance. Short-term momentum is decisively negative, with the stock falling 13.04% over the past month and 8.80% over the past three months. This sharp decline diverges from the longer-term trend, as the stock was up 2.91% year-to-date as of late January but has since reversed. The 1-month relative strength of -13.82% versus the S&P 500 confirms the stock is in a corrective phase, potentially signaling a temporary pullback or the start of a deeper downtrend. The 52-week high of $244.38 and low of $186.67 define the trading range. A breakout above $244.38 would signal a resumption of the prior uptrend, while a breakdown below $186.67 could trigger further selling. With a beta of 1.223, the stock is 22.3% more volatile than the market, meaning it tends to amplify market moves, which is important for risk management.

Beta

1.22

1.22x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-19.8%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$187-$244

Price range past year

Annual Return

-5.3%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodDKS ReturnS&P 500
1m-14.0%+1.4%
3m-9.2%+3.9%
6m-0.0%+6.3%
1y-5.3%+16.0%
ytd+2.7%+8.4%

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DKS Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth has been robust, driven by the Foot Locker acquisition. In the most recent quarter (Q1 2026, ended May 2, 2026), revenue surged 62.68% year-over-year to $5.1645 billion, reflecting the inclusion of Foot Locker. However, organic growth is harder to discern; prior to the acquisition, revenue was growing at a more moderate pace (e.g., Q2 2025 revenue of $3.6466 billion, up 14.9% from the prior year). The revenue segments show Footwear as the largest category at $2.605 billion, followed by Hardlines at $1.327 billion and Apparel at $1.110 billion, indicating the acquisition's impact on the footwear segment. The trajectory suggests that while top-line growth is impressive, investors will focus on the sustainability of this growth and the integration of the acquired businesses. Profitability has improved significantly, with net income of $319.8 million in Q1 2026 versus $264.3 million in the year-ago quarter, and net margin expanding to 6.19% from 8.32% (note: the prior year margin was higher due to lower revenue base). Gross margin was 32.59%, down from 36.70% a year ago, likely due to mix shifts from the acquisition and promotional activity. Operating margin improved to 10.06% from 11.53% in the prior year quarter, indicating some operating leverage. The company is profitable with a trailing PE of 19.77, and the trend in margins will be key to watch as integration costs and synergies play out. The balance sheet shows a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.40, which is elevated following the acquisition, and a current ratio of 1.53, indicating adequate liquidity. Free cash flow was negative $13.0 million in Q1 2026, but trailing twelve-month free cash flow is $607.1 million, providing some cushion. Return on equity is 15.33%, reflecting solid profitability. The company's ability to generate sufficient cash flow to service debt and fund growth will be critical; the debt-to-equity ratio of 1.40 suggests moderate leverage, but the acquisition has increased financial risk.

Quarterly Revenue

$5.2B

2026-05

Revenue YoY Growth

+62.7%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

32.6%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$607098000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Apparel
Footwear
Hardlines
Other Non Merchandise Category

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Valuation Analysis: Is DKS Overvalued?

Since net income is positive, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 19.77x, while the forward P/E is 12.61x, implying that the market expects significant earnings growth in the coming year. The gap between trailing and forward P/E suggests that analysts anticipate a sharp earnings recovery or growth from the acquisition, which is a positive signal if realized. Compared to the specialty retail industry, Dick's trades at a premium on a P/E basis. The industry average P/E is not explicitly provided, but the stock's P/S ratio of 0.98 is below the industry average of 1.5 (estimated), suggesting a discount on sales. However, the P/E premium may be justified by the company's superior growth profile post-acquisition and its dominant market position. Historically, Dick's trailing P/E has ranged from roughly 4.4x (in Q2 2021) to 62.9x (in Q3 2025). The current 19.77x is near the middle of this range, indicating it is not at extreme levels. The historical P/E band suggests that the stock is fairly valued relative to its own history, but the forward P/E of 12.61x is near the lower end, implying that the market is pricing in a significant earnings rebound. This could represent a value opportunity if the company delivers on growth expectations.

PE

19.8x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range 4x~17x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

13.7x

Enterprise Value Multiple