Gilead Sciences
GILD
$159.20
+0.08%
Gilead Sciences is a research-based biopharmaceutical company that discovers, develops, and commercializes therapies primarily for life-threatening infectious diseases, with its franchise anchored in HIV and hepatitis B/C treatments and expanding into oncology through CAR-T cell therapies (Yescarta/Tecartus) and Trodelvy, alongside a growing inflammation pipeline. Gilead is the dominant HIV player globally, a position reinforced by its long-acting and next-generation regimens, which gives it a durable, annuity-like revenue base that funds an aggressive external-innovation strategy via bolt-on and mid-size M&A. The current investor narrative centers on two competing forces: the durability and growth of the HIV franchise — highlighted by the Bixlenvo approval and raised 2026 HIV sales guidance — versus the cost and execution risk of a rapid-fire acquisition spree (Arcellx at $7.8B, Tubulis at ~$3.15B, Ouro Medicines at over $1.5B) and a high-profile Trodelvy/Keytruda lung-cancer trial discontinuation. A large Q2 2026 GAAP loss driven by acquired in-process R&D and other charges has muddied headline profitability, making the debate about whether Gilead's non-GAAP earnings power and pipeline optionality justify a re-rating toward large-cap pharma peers.…
GILD
Gilead Sciences
$159.20
Related headlines
GILD 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Gilead Sciences's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $160.19 and implied upside of +0.6% versus the current price.
Average Target
$160.19
0 analysts
Implied Upside
+0.6%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
—
covering this stock
Price Range
$126 - $185
Analyst target range
Coverage is deep and constructive, with 26 analysts and a consensus recommendation of "buy" (mean rating 1.68 on a 1–5 scale where 1 is Strong Buy). The average target price of $160.15 implies roughly +2.6% upside from the current $156.04, a modest gap that reflects how much of the bullish case is already reflected in the price after a 29% one-year run. Consensus EPS estimates of $13.24 (range $12.76–$13.81) and revenue estimates of $39.33B (range $38.22B–$40.63B) imply the Street expects steady, low-double-digit growth with earnings normalization following the Q2 charges. The target range is wide — $126.00 low to $184.00 high — a spread of about 46% of the current price that signals meaningful disagreement about the durability of HIV growth and the payoff from the acquisition spree. The $184 high target likely assumes multiple expansion toward peer large-cap pharma levels, sustained HIV outperformance (Bixlenvo ramp, long-acting regimens), and successful oncology pipeline conversion (Arcellx CAR-T, Tubulis ADCs), while the $126 low target prices in margin compression from M&A integration costs, further clinical setbacks like the Trodelvy/Keytruda discontinuation, and tariff or pricing pressure. Recent institutional actions are mixed but stable: HSBC, Needham, Cantor Fitzgerald, Morgan Stanley, and Truist maintain Buy/Overweight ratings, while RBC, Barclays, and Leerink sit at Sector Perform/Market Perform, with Leerink's July downgrade from Outperform to Market Perform the only notable negative revision. The pattern of reiterated rather than upgraded ratings, combined with the tight average-to-current spread, suggests the consensus is bullish on fundamentals but sees limited near-term upside — making the stock a hold-for-income-and-quality name rather than a high-conviction upside call at current levels.
GILD Technical Analysis
Gilead is in a sustained uptrend, with the stock up 29.24% over the past year and 28.32% year-to-date, decisively outperforming the S&P 500's 13.13% and 11.45% respective gains. At $156.04, the stock sits at roughly 90.9% of its 52-week range of $114.02–$160.51, just below the highs — a positioning that signals strong momentum but also leaves limited near-term headroom before resistance and raises the risk of profit-taking. The 22.03% max drawdown over the period shows the trend has not been linear, but the recovery to near-highs confirms buyers have consistently defended pullbacks. Recent momentum is positive but decelerating: the 1-month gain of 3.09% and 3-month gain of 20.67% show the strongest thrust occurred in the summer months (the stock rose from ~$130 in late July to ~$152 by late September), while the last month has been a choppy consolidation between roughly $144 and $157. Relative strength remains firmly positive across all windows — +4.11% vs. SPY over 1 month, +17.82% over 3 months, and +16.11% over 1 year — indicating Gilead is a market leader rather than a laggard riding beta. The divergence between a strong 1-year trend and a flattening 1-month trend suggests a healthy pause or base-building phase rather than a reversal, especially given the stock's low beta of 0.332, which implies roughly one-third the volatility of the market and supports a lower-risk, steady-compounding profile suited to larger position sizing. Key resistance sits at the 52-week high of $160.51; a clean breakout above that level would confirm the uptrend's continuation and likely invite momentum buyers, while support is anchored at the 52-week low of $114.02, with intermediate support around the $144–$147 area where the stock repeatedly found bids in October. A breakdown below $144 would signal a loss of short-term momentum and put the $130s back in play, but the low beta and positive relative strength argue against a deep retracement absent a fundamental shock.
Beta
0.33
0.33x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-22.0%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$114-$161
Price range past year
Annual Return
+35.1%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | GILD Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | +4.6% | +0.9% |
| 3m | +21.3% | +4.1% |
| 6m | +20.9% | +7.2% |
| 1y | +35.1% | +12.4% |
| ytd | +30.9% | +13.3% |
Bobby - Your AI Investment Partner
Get real-time data, AI-driven personalized investment analysis to make smarter investment decisions
GILD Fundamental Analysis
Revenue is growing at a solid clip: Q2 2026 revenue of $7.803B rose 10.2% year-over-year from $7.081B in Q2 2025, extending a multi-quarter expansion that has lifted quarterly sales from $6.667B in Q1 2025 to a peak of $7.924B in Q4 2025 before the current $7.803B. The HIV franchise is the engine, contributing $5.693B of the quarter's revenue, dwarfing liver disease at $877M, oncology at $873M, and a collapsed Veklury line at just $23M — a concentration that is both a strength (leadership, pricing power, long-acting innovation like Bixlenvo) and a risk (dependence on one therapeutic area). Oncology, despite the Trodelvy setback, remains the strategic growth vector at $873M and is being reinforced by the Arcellx CAR-T acquisition, while the sequential revenue trend (Q1 $6.960B to Q2 $7.803B) shows no deceleration in the core business. Profitability is bifurcated: Q2 2026 GAAP net income was a loss of $10.496B (EPS -$8.45) driven by $12.933B in other expenses and a $10.394B operating loss, yet the trailing valuation metrics show a 28.9% net margin and 39.7% operating margin, and the prior four quarters were consistently profitable (Q1 2026 net income $2.021B, Q4 2025 $2.183B, Q3 2025 $3.052B, Q2 2025 $1.960B). Gross margin is remarkably stable and high at 78.8%–79.8% across every recent quarter, consistent with branded biopharma economics, and the Q2 loss appears to be a one-time, acquisition-accounting-driven event rather than a deterioration in the underlying business. The balance sheet and cash generation remain robust: trailing free cash flow is $13.199B, Q2 2026 operating cash flow was $3.573B against $3.690B of free cash flow, and the company returned capital via $1.029B in dividends and $355M in buybacks while repaying $4.068B of debt. Debt-to-equity of 1.098 and a current ratio of 1.553 indicate moderate leverage with adequate liquidity, and ROE of 37.5% and ROA of 14.1% reflect high returns on capital despite the GAAP loss quarter; the main watch item is the $3.179B cash balance at Q2 end, down from $7.628B, reflecting the acquisition outlays that will need to be validated by pipeline returns.
Quarterly Revenue
$7.8B
2026-06
Revenue YoY Growth
+10.2%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
79.8%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$13.2B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
Open an Account, get $2 TSLA now!
Valuation Analysis: Is GILD Overvalued?
Because trailing GAAP net income is distorted by the Q2 2026 loss, the most reliable anchor is the forward P/E of 15.64x against a trailing P/E of 17.94x, supplemented by the 5.19x P/S and 7.10x EV/Sales; the gap between trailing and forward multiples implies the market expects earnings to normalize and grow as one-time charges roll off and HIV/oncology revenue compounds. On a forward basis, 15.64x for a company with a 28.9% net margin, 39.7% operating margin, and 10.2% revenue growth is modest for large-cap biopharma, and the PEG ratio of 0.011 (reflecting the distorted trailing EPS base) understates but directionally supports the cheap-growth argument. Peer comparison is constrained by the absence of an explicit industry-average multiple in the provided data, but Gilead's 5.19x P/S and 7.10x EV/Sales sit in line with, or at a slight premium to, the broader large-cap pharma range, while its 12.52x EV/EBITDA is undemanding relative to the sector's typical mid-teens multiples for profitable, dividend-paying biopharma. The 2.62% dividend yield with a 47.0% payout ratio adds an income cushion that supports valuation. Historically, Gilead's P/E has ranged from the low-to-mid teens (17.4x at Q4 2025, 11.3x at Q3 2025) to the 20s (26.4x at Q1 2025), and its P/S has ranged from roughly 12.3x (Q2 2024) to 24.9x (Q1 2026); the current 17.94x trailing P/E and 5.19x P/S place the stock in the middle-to-lower portion of its own band, suggesting the market is not pricing in heroic optimism. That leaves room for multiple expansion if the HIV franchise sustains double-digit growth and the oncology/inflammation acquisitions begin contributing, though the Q2 loss and M&A integration risk justify a discount until execution is proven.
PE
17.9x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Mid-Range
5-Year PE Range 8x~26x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
12.5x
Enterprise Value Multiple

