GME

GameStop

$26.81

-4.32%
Oct 16, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
GameStop Corp. operates a global specialty retail network selling new and pre-owned gaming hardware, software, accessories, and pop-culture collectibles through physical stores and e-commerce platforms across the United States, Australia, and Europe. Once the dominant brick-and-mortar destination for video game trade-ins, the company has been repositioned under CEO Ryan Cohen as a cash-rich, cost-disciplined operator whose identity now hinges as much on its balance sheet and capital allocation ambitions as on its shrinking retail footprint. The current investor narrative is dominated by two competing forces: a dramatic profitability transformation — highlighted by the highest quarterly net income in company history in Q1 2026 and a massive cash and securities position — versus a structural revenue decline accelerated by Sony's announced plan to end physical game discs by 2028. Speculative catalysts, including a rejected $56 billion unsolicited bid for eBay and persistent meme-stock dynamics, keep the stock in the spotlight even as the core retail business contracts.

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GME 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $26.81
Average Target $26.81
High Target $30.83
Low Target $22.79

Wall Street consensus

Coverage is extraordinarily thin: only 1 analyst covers GameStop, with a recommendation of "none" and no published price target, making a consensus target and implied upside calculation impossible. The single analyst's estimated EPS average of $1.86 and estimated revenue of $4.33 billion provide the only forward anchors, and notably the $1.86 EPS estimate against the $0.039 trailing EPS implies an enormous expected earnings step-up that is difficult to reconcile with an 18.72% revenue decline absent major non-operating gains or a transformative capital deployment. The consensus therefore cannot be characterized as bullish, neutral, or bearish in any statistically meaningful sense — it is effectively absent. The institutional ratings history is dominated by a single firm, Wedbush, which has maintained an Underperform rating through ten consecutive actions from June 2023 to June 2025, with no upgrades, downgrades, or new initiations in the intervening period. This persistent lone-bear stance, combined with the absence of broader coverage, signals limited institutional interest and weak price-discovery efficiency — a profile typical of heavily retail-driven, meme-associated names where sentiment and flows, rather than fundamental forecasts, drive price. With no target range to assess, the high-versus-low spread analysis is moot; instead, the key signal is that professional coverage is minimal and uniformly skeptical, meaning the stock's recent 21.97% one-month rally is being driven by narrative and momentum rather than analyst validation, which raises the risk of sharp reversals when sentiment shifts.

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GME Technical Analysis

GameStop is in a sustained recovery uptrend, with the stock up 16.82% over the past year and 30.02% year-to-date, decisively outperforming the S&P 500's 15.53% and 11.93% respective gains. At the current price of $26.81, the stock sits at roughly 89.7% of its 52-week range of $17.79 to $28.30 — just $1.49 below the high — a positioning that signals strong momentum but also raises the risk of overextension near resistance. The 52-week low of $17.79 was set during the August 2026 trough, and the roughly 50.7% rebound off that level underscores how violently sentiment has shifted. Short-term momentum is clearly accelerating: the stock gained 21.97% over the past month and 22.48% over three months, far outpacing the S&P 500's 1.22% and 2.69% moves over the same windows, producing relative strength readings of +20.75 and +19.79 percentage points. This one-month surge (+21.97%) is consistent with, rather than divergent from, the one-year trend (+16.82%), confirming trend reinforcement rather than a mean-reversion setup. The most recent session, however, showed a -4.32% pullback from the $28.02 previous close, a potential short-term exhaustion signal after the sharp run into the $28 area. Key resistance sits at the 52-week high of $28.30; a clean breakout above that level would confirm the uptrend and likely invite momentum buyers, while support is anchored at the $17.79 low, with intermediate support around the $21-$22 consolidation zone from July 2026. With a beta of 1.621, GameStop is roughly 62% more volatile than the market, meaning position sizing should be materially smaller than a market-beta equivalent; the maximum drawdown of -35.46% illustrates the severity of downside moves this stock can deliver even within an uptrend.

Beta

1.62

1.62x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-35.5%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$18-$28

Price range past year

Annual Return

+16.8%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodGME ReturnS&P 500
1m+22.0%+0.2%
3m+22.5%+2.9%
6m+9.2%+8.4%
1y+16.8%+14.9%
ytd+30.0%+11.9%

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GME Fundamental Analysis

Revenue is contracting sharply: Q2 2026 revenue of $790.2 million fell 18.72% year-over-year from $972.2 million in Q2 2025, and the multi-quarter trend is deteriorating — Q1 2026 revenue of $835.3 million compared against $732.4 million in Q1 2025 (up 14.0%) but Q4 2025's $1,104.3 million was down from $1,282.6 million a year earlier, and Q3 2025's $821.0 million was down from $860.3 million. The sequential pattern shows the year-over-year comparison flipping from positive in Q1 to deeply negative in Q2, consistent with the structural threat from digital distribution and Sony's disc phase-out. Collectibles generated $356.3 million, a meaningful but insufficient offset to the core hardware and software erosion, and the investment case is now explicitly not about revenue growth — the eBay bid's entire rationale rested on $2 billion of cost cuts rather than top-line synergy. Profitability has nonetheless improved dramatically: Q2 2026 net income reached $298.7 million (a 37.8% net margin) versus $168.6 million a year earlier, with gross margin expanding to 43.66% from 29.12%, and Q1 2026 posted $389.6 million of net income at a 46.64% margin. Critically, a large share of this profit is non-operating — Q2 2026 included $77.1 million of interest income and $260.0 million of total other income, while operating income was $160.2 million (20.27% operating margin) — so the headline earnings quality is flattered by the investment portfolio, though the operating margin itself has improved markedly from 6.83% in Q2 2025. The balance sheet is fortress-like: a current ratio of 15.30, cash of $4.87 billion at the end of Q2 2026, debt-to-equity of just 0.80, and trailing free cash flow of $688.2 million, with ROE of 7.68% and ROA of 2.87% still modest relative to the capital base. The company is entirely self-funding — Q2 2026 operating cash flow of $62.4 million and capex of only $1.7 million — but the low returns on a bloated cash pile (ROE 7.68% against a 15.30 current ratio) highlight the capital allocation question that the eBay pursuit was meant to answer.

Quarterly Revenue

$790200000.0B

2026-08

Revenue YoY Growth

-18.7%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

43.7%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$688200000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Collectibles

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Valuation Analysis: Is GME Overvalued?

Because GameStop is profitable (net income of $298.7 million in Q2 2026 and positive trailing EPS of $0.039), the PE ratio is the appropriate primary metric, though the trailing figure is distorted by the low earnings base. The trailing PE of 25.68x compares with a forward PE of 14.41x, an implied earnings growth of roughly 78% that the market is clearly pricing in — a gap that signals investors expect the profitability transformation to continue even as revenue declines. On a price-to-sales basis the stock trades at 2.94x, with an EV/Sales of 3.78x and EV/EBITDA of 21.68x, while the PEG ratio of 0.14 is optically cheap but unreliable given the depressed trailing earnings base. Peer comparison is constrained by the absence of a clean industry-average multiple in the provided data, but contextually a 2.94x PS and 25.68x trailing PE for a retailer with revenue declining 18.72% year-over-year represents a substantial premium to typical specialty retail valuations, which generally trade at low-to-mid-teens PE multiples on growing revenue. That premium is arguably justified by the fortress balance sheet ($4.87 billion cash, 15.30 current ratio) and the option value of management's capital deployment ambitions, but it is not supported by the operating business, whose 7.88% operating margin and negative growth would ordinarily command a discount. Historically, GameStop's own valuation band has compressed dramatically: the PS ratio was 12.34x in Q2 2026 and 14.24x in Q1 2026, versus 2.94x today, while the PE ratio ranged from 7.62x (Q1 2026) to 32.78x (Q3 2025) and 68.7x (Q1 2025). The current 25.68x PE sits in the middle-to-upper portion of that recent band, and the PS multiple near the low end of its own history reflects the collapse in the sales base rather than a valuation opportunity — the market is paying a premium multiple on a shrinking revenue stream, betting on balance-sheet optionality rather than retail fundamentals.

PE

25.7x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range 8x~69x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

21.7x

Enterprise Value Multiple