GOOG

Alphabet Inc.

$356.56

+0.92%
Jun 11, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Alphabet Inc. is a global technology holding company whose primary subsidiary is Google, the dominant provider of internet search, advertising, and cloud computing services. The company is a market leader in digital advertising and a major force in cloud infrastructure, operating with a vast ecosystem that includes YouTube, Android, and hardware like Pixel devices. The current investor narrative is intensely focused on Alphabet's massive capital deployment to secure its position in the AI arms race, highlighted by recent multi-billion dollar strategic deals, such as a reported AI infrastructure partnership with SpaceX, and a significant equity raise to fund accelerated investments, all while navigating the transition of its core advertising business in an AI-driven landscape.

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GOOG 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $356.56
Average Target $356.56
High Target $410.044
Low Target $303.076

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Alphabet Inc.'s 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $463.53 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$463.53

15 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

15

covering this stock

Price Range

$285 - $464

Analyst target range

Buy
4 (27%)
Hold
7 (47%)
Sell
4 (27%)

Alphabet is covered by at least 15 analysts, as evidenced by the provided estimates data, and institutional ratings show a consistently bullish sentiment with recent actions including 'Overweight', 'Buy', and 'Sector Outperform' from major firms like JP Morgan, TD Cowen, and Scotiabank. The consensus recommendation is strongly bullish, with no sell ratings visible in the recent institutional actions, indicating high conviction in the company's strategic direction and financial outlook. While a specific average target price is not provided in the data, the high level of analyst coverage and uniformly positive ratings suggest significant implied upside from the current price of $369.27. The analyst revenue estimates for the coming period show a wide range from $818.5 billion to $976.4 billion, with an average of $893.8 billion, indicating some divergence in views on growth trajectory. The high-end targets likely assume successful monetization of AI investments across search and cloud, leading to multiple expansion and accelerated top-line growth. The low-end targets may factor in potential regulatory headwinds, competitive pressures in cloud computing, or margin compression from heavy AI capital expenditures. The recent pattern of reiterated bullish ratings without downgrades, even following the stock's significant run-up, signals strong analyst conviction in the long-term story, though the wide estimate range reflects uncertainty around the precise timing and magnitude of AI monetization.

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GOOG Technical Analysis

The stock is in a powerful long-term uptrend, evidenced by a staggering 118.0% gain over the past year, but is currently experiencing a near-term pullback from recent highs. Trading at a price of $369.27, the stock sits approximately 91% of the way toward its 52-week high of $404.47, indicating it remains in a strong bullish zone but has retreated from peak momentum levels, suggesting potential consolidation or profit-taking. Recent momentum shows a divergence from the long-term trend, with the stock down 3.9% over the past month, contrasting sharply with its 23.8% gain over the past three months; this short-term weakness, occurring against a backdrop of a 1-year relative strength of +91.0% versus the SPY, signals a healthy correction within a larger uptrend rather than a trend reversal. Key technical support is anchored at the 52-week low of $163.33, though a more relevant near-term support zone is likely around the late-March lows near $273, while immediate resistance is at the 52-week high of $404.47. A decisive breakout above $404.47 would signal a resumption of the primary bull trend, whereas a breakdown below the March lows could indicate a deeper correction is underway. The stock's beta of 1.27 indicates it is approximately 27% more volatile than the broader market, which is significant for a mega-cap name and underscores its sensitivity to growth and technology sector sentiment, requiring larger position-sizing adjustments for risk management. The price action shows a clear pattern of higher highs and higher lows on a multi-month scale, with the recent pullback from the $399 level in May representing a test of shorter-term moving averages. The stock's 6-month gain of 14.6% still outpaces the SPY's 10.4% return, confirming its relative strength. However, the negative 1-month relative strength of -8.5% highlights the current period of underperformance, which may present a tactical entry point for investors believing in the long-term AI thesis, provided the $360-$370 support area holds.

Beta

1.24

1.24x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-20.8%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$163-$404

Price range past year

Annual Return

+99.4%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodGOOG ReturnS&P 500
1m-7.1%-0.1%
3m+18.3%+11.4%
6m+14.8%+8.2%
1y+99.4%+22.7%
ytd+13.1%+8.2%

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GOOG Fundamental Analysis

Alphabet's revenue trajectory remains robust, with Q4 2025 revenue of $113.9 billion representing 18.1% year-over-year growth, a significant acceleration from the mid-teens growth seen in prior quarters. This growth is being driven by a resurgence in its core advertising segments and the continued expansion of Google Cloud, which contributed $20.9 billion in the quarter. The multi-quarter trend shows consistent sequential revenue increases from $80.5 billion in Q1 2024 to the latest $113.9 billion, indicating strong underlying demand across its ecosystem and successful monetization of AI-driven search and advertising products. The company is highly profitable, with Q4 2025 net income of $34.46 billion and a trailing net margin of 32.8%. Profitability metrics are strong, with a gross margin of 59.7% and an operating margin of 32.1% for the latest quarter. Margins have shown stability and slight expansion year-over-year, as evidenced by the gross margin improving from 57.9% in Q4 2024 to 59.8% in Q4 2025, demonstrating the company's ability to maintain pricing power and operating efficiency despite significant investments in AI and cloud infrastructure. Alphabet's balance sheet is exceptionally strong, with a minimal debt-to-equity ratio of 0.14 and a healthy current ratio of 2.01, indicating ample liquidity. The company generates massive free cash flow, with trailing twelve-month FCF of $73.27 billion, providing ample internal funding for its aggressive growth investments and shareholder returns. With a return on equity of 31.8% and return on assets of 14.6%, the company demonstrates outstanding efficiency in converting its substantial asset base and shareholder capital into profits, though the high level of capital expenditures for AI infrastructure is currently pressuring near-term free cash flow yields.

Quarterly Revenue

$113.9B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.18%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.59%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$73.3B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Google Network
Google Search & Other
YouTube Advertising Revenue
Google Inc.
Google Cloud
Other Bets
Other Segments

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Valuation Analysis: Is GOOG Overvalued?

Given Alphabet's substantial positive net income of $34.46 billion in Q4 2025, the primary valuation metric is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. The stock trades at a trailing PE of 28.7x and a forward PE of 25.5x based on analyst estimates. The forward PE being lower than the trailing multiple suggests analysts expect earnings growth to continue, with the market pricing in approximately 12% earnings growth expectations implied by the forward multiple discount. Compared to industry averages, Alphabet's valuation appears elevated. Its trailing PE of 28.7x and forward PE of 25.5x likely represent a premium to the broader Communication Services sector and internet peers, which often trade in the low-20s PE range. This premium, potentially in the 20-30% range, is arguably justified by the company's superior growth profile (18.1% revenue growth), industry-leading profitability (32.8% net margin), and dominant competitive position in both advertising and cloud infrastructure, particularly as AI becomes a more significant revenue driver. Historically, Alphabet's current trailing PE of 28.7x sits above its own multi-year average, which has typically ranged between 20x and 25x over recent years, as seen in historical data where PE ratios fluctuated from 13.6x in Q1 2025 to 27.4x in Q4 2025. Trading near the upper end of its historical valuation band suggests the market is pricing in optimistic expectations for AI-driven growth acceleration and margin expansion. This leaves limited room for multiple expansion and increases sensitivity to any earnings disappointments or growth deceleration.

PE

28.7x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range 14x~28x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

21.2x

Enterprise Value Multiple