IEFA

IEFA

The iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF (IEFA) is a passively managed fund that invests in a broad basket of stocks from developed markets outside of North America.
It is a foundational, low-cost building block for international diversification in an investment portfolio.

$92.52 +0.44 (+0.48%)

Updated: January 14, 2026, 16:00 EST

Analyzed by Rockflow Bobby Quantitative Model ✓ Updated Daily

Investment Opinion: Should I buy IEFA Today?

Based on a synthesis of the provided analyses, IEFA appears to be a solid investment for investors seeking diversified exposure to developed international markets. Technically, the fund exhibits strong positive momentum, trading near its 52-week high with moderate volatility closely tracking the broader market. While the single available valuation metric (TTM PE of 18.7) suggests a moderate valuation, the absence of deeper fundamental data limits a complete financial health assessment. The primary risks are systemic, related to its international market exposure, while liquidity and short-interest risks appear low.

Recommendation: BUY

IEFA is a compelling buy for a core international equity allocation within a diversified portfolio. Its strong technical momentum and market-aligned risk profile make it a suitable vehicle for capturing growth in developed markets outside the U.S. The moderate PE ratio, while not fully contextualized, does not signal overvaluation. Investors should be comfortable with the inherent risks of international investing, such as currency fluctuations.

*This is not investment advice, for reference only.*

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IEFA 12-Month Price Forecast

RockFlow Model Forecast: Three Scenarios for 2026

Based on the provided analysis, here is a 12-month outlook for IEFA:

Over the next 12 months, IEFA's performance will largely be driven by the relative economic trajectory and monetary policy divergence between developed international markets (like Europe and Japan) and the United States. Key catalysts include potential rate cuts by the ECB and BOJ which could stimulate economic growth, alongside valuations that may be more attractive than those of U.S. equities. The primary risks are systemic, most notably a stronger U.S. dollar which would diminish returns for USD-based investors, coupled with slower-than-expected economic growth in key regions like Europe. While a specific analyst target is unavailable, the fund's strong momentum and moderate valuation suggest it is well-positioned to trend higher, contingent on a stable or improving global macroeconomic backdrop.

Wall Street Consensus

Most Wall Street analysts are optimistic about IEFA's 12-month outlook, with consensus target around $92.52, indicating expected upside potential.

Average Target
$92.52
0 analysts
Implied Upside
+0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
0
covering this stock
Price Range
$74 - $120
Analyst target range
Buy Buy
0 (0%)
Hold Hold
0 (0%)
Sell Sell
0 (0%)

Bulls vs Bears: IEFA Investment Factors

Overall, IEFA has investment potential but also faces challenges. Here are key factors to weigh before investing.

Bullish Bullish
  • International Stock Revival: International stocks are showing strong performance after years of underperformance.
  • Strong Historical Returns: ETF has averaged 22% annual gains over the past three years.
  • Broad Diversification: Offers exposure to approximately 3,600 stocks across developed markets.
  • Attractive Dividend Yield: IEFA offers a higher dividend yield compared to similar ETFs.
Bearish Bearish
  • Higher Expense Ratio: Carries a higher fee than comparable funds like Vanguard's VEA.
  • Geographic Exclusion: Excludes Canadian stocks, reducing geographic diversification.
  • Fewer Holdings: Holds fewer stocks than some competing developed-market ETFs.
  • Intense Competition: Faces strong competition from lower-cost alternatives in the same space.
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IEFA Technical Analysis

IEFA demonstrates solid positive performance with meaningful upside momentum over recent periods. The stock shows consistent gains across multiple timeframes while modestly outperforming the broader market.

Short-term performance is healthy, with IEFA gaining 1.88% over one month and 4.93% over three months, outperforming the market by 1.56% during the latter period. The moderate volatility, evidenced by a beta of 1.03, suggests movement slightly more pronounced than the broader market but within reasonable bounds.

Currently trading at $92.08, IEFA sits near its 52-week high of $92.705, indicating strong momentum but approaching overbought territory. The stock has recovered significantly from its maximum drawdown of -13.76% and demonstrates minimal downside from current levels.

📊 Beta
1.03
1.03x market volatility
📉 Max Drawdown
-13.8%
Largest decline past year
📈 52-Week Range
$67-$93
Price range past year
💹 Annual Return
+30.9%
Cumulative gain past year
Period IEFA Return S&P 500
1m +2.9% +1.3%
3m +7.5% +5.7%
6m +10.3% +10.6%
1y +30.9% +16.5%
ytd +2.4% +1.1%

IEFA Fundamental Analysis

Based on the provided information (no data available for recent quarterly report or financial ratios), a fundamental analysis cannot be conducted.

A meaningful analysis requires access to key financial data such as revenue, profitability metrics, debt levels, and cash flow statements. Without this baseline information, it is impossible to assess the company's financial performance, health, or operational efficiency.

To proceed with an analysis, please provide the company's financial statements or key data points. I would be happy to perform a thorough analysis once the necessary information is available.

Quarterly Revenue
N/A
Latest Quarter
Revenue YoY Growth
N/A
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
N/A%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
N/A
Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

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Valuation Analysis: Is IEFA Overvalued?

Based on the limited data provided, IEFA's valuation analysis is constrained by missing key metrics. The TTM PE ratio of 18.7 is the only available figure, making a comprehensive assessment difficult. Without forward-looking indicators like Forward PE, PEG, or profitability and enterprise value multiples, it is challenging to definitively state whether the fund is overvalued or undervalued. A standalone PE of 18.7 is generally considered moderate, but its attractiveness cannot be properly gauged in isolation.

A comparative valuation analysis against industry peers is not feasible with the provided information. The absence of critical industry average data for PE, PB, PS, and other ratios prevents any meaningful benchmark. Furthermore, key valuation metrics for IEFA itself, such as PB and PS ratios, are unavailable, making it impossible to determine its relative valuation position within its market segment. A thorough peer comparison requires a complete set of fund-specific and industry-wide data.

Current PE
18.8x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
N/A
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A×
EV/EBITDA
N/Ax
Enterprise Value Multiple

Investment Risk Disclosure

Volatility Risk: IEFA exhibits volatility closely aligned with the broader market, as indicated by its beta of 1.03. Its one-year maximum drawdown of -13.76% reflects a moderate level of downside risk, suggesting investors can expect periods of loss consistent with major market downturns. Overall, the fund's risk profile is characteristic of a diversified international equity portfolio.

Other Risks: The absence of notable short interest indicates a lack of significant speculative pressure or bearish sentiment targeting the fund. This absence, coupled with its status as a large, passively managed ETF, suggests that liquidity risk is minimal for typical investors. The primary risks thus remain the systemic factors affecting its underlying developed international markets, such as currency fluctuations and regional economic conditions.

FAQs

Is IEFA a good stock to buy?

Bullish. IEFA demonstrates strong momentum by trading near its 52-week high, benefits from a potential international stock revival, and offers attractive diversification with a healthy dividend yield. This ETF is best suited for long-term investors seeking core international equity exposure, though they should be aware of its slightly higher expense ratio compared to some competitors.

Is IEFA stock overvalued or undervalued?

Based on the limited data provided, IEFA appears fairly valued or moderately priced. The current PE ratio of 18.7 is modest by broad market standards for a developed international equities ETF—neither extremely cheap nor expensive historically. However, the assessment is constrained by missing key metrics like Forward PE, PB ratio, and industry comparisons that would provide clearer context. Without forward-looking growth expectations or profitability data, a definitive conclusion on valuation is difficult.

What are the main risks of holding IEFA?

Based on the provided information, here are the key risks of holding IEFA, ordered by importance:

1. Market Risk: The fund's core risk is its exposure to broad declines in developed international equity markets, as reflected by its market-correlated volatility (beta of 1.03) and a moderate maximum drawdown of -13.76%. 2. Currency Risk: The fund's performance is subject to the risk of currency fluctuations between the US dollar and the various currencies of its underlying international holdings, which can negatively impact returns. 3. Country/Regional Economic Risk: The fund's value is tied to the economic and political conditions within its constituent developed markets, making it vulnerable to regional recessions or geopolitical instability.

What is the price forecast for IEFA in 2026?

Based on the ETF's focus and prevailing market dynamics, here is a strategic forecast for IEFA through 2026.

Our base case target for IEFA by late 2026 is a range of $105-$115, assuming moderate global economic growth and a stabilization of currency effects. Key growth drivers include attractive relative valuations compared to US equities, stimulative monetary policy from the ECB and BOJ, and a potential catch-up cycle for international markets. The primary assumptions are that a global recession is avoided and the US dollar does not appreciate significantly; the forecast is highly uncertain and sensitive to geopolitical events, inflation persistence, and the pace of central bank policy shifts.