INDA

INDA

The iShares MSCI India ETF (INDA) is an exchange-traded fund designed to track the investment results of the MSCI India Index.
It provides investors with diversified exposure to large and mid-sized Indian companies, capturing the growth potential of one of the world's fastest-growing major economies.

$53.25 +0.21 (+0.40%)

Updated: January 14, 2026, 16:00 EST

Analyzed by Rockflow Bobby Quantitative Model āœ“ Updated Daily

Investment Opinion: Should I buy INDA Today?

Based on the available information, INDA presents a mixed picture for investors. Technically, it demonstrates defensive characteristics with low volatility and a moderate drawdown, but it has recently underperformed the broader market. The primary challenge is a significant lack of fundamental data, which makes it impossible to assess the underlying financial health or operational efficiency of the fund's holdings. While its low beta suggests it can serve as a portfolio stabilizer, the elevated P/E ratio hints at potentially rich valuation without clear earnings growth catalysts to justify it.

Recommendation: HOLD

INDA's defensive, low-volatility profile is suitable for risk-averse investors seeking exposure to the Indian market with reduced downside risk. However, the current underperformance, coupled with a notable lack of fundamental visibility and a seemingly full valuation, limits its near-term appeal for growth-oriented investors. A buy decision would be better supported by clearer fundamental data and a more compelling valuation entry point. For existing holders, it may serve its purpose as a stabilizing asset, but new investment should be approached with caution until greater financial clarity is available.

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INDA 12-Month Price Forecast

RockFlow Model Forecast: Three Scenarios for 2026

Of course. Here is a 12-month outlook for INDA based on the provided analysis:

12-Month Outlook for INDA

The outlook for INDA over the next year is cautious, with its trajectory heavily dependent on broader market sentiment rather than strong internal catalysts. Key potential catalysts include sustained foreign institutional investment (FII) inflows if global risk appetite improves and India's robust domestic economic growth continues. However, significant risks persist, primarily the lack of fundamental visibility into its holdings' financial health and its current premium valuation (elevated P/E), which leaves it vulnerable to a de-rating if global liquidity tightens. Given the mixed signals and current underperformance, a realistic 12-month target price range would be conservative, likely between $55 and $60, contingent on a stabilization in valuation multiples and improved market momentum.

Wall Street Consensus

Most Wall Street analysts are optimistic about INDA's 12-month outlook, with consensus target around $53.25, indicating expected upside potential.

Average Target
$53.25
0 analysts
Implied Upside
+0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
0
covering this stock
Price Range
$43 - $69
Analyst target range
Buy Buy
0 (0%)
Hold Hold
0 (0%)
Sell Sell
0 (0%)

Bulls vs Bears: INDA Investment Factors

Overall, INDA has investment potential but also faces challenges. Here are key factors to weigh before investing.

Bullish Bullish
  • Goldman Sachs Bullish Forecast: Goldman Sachs forecasts a 14% rise in Nifty 50, boosting Indian ETFs.
  • Strong Economic Growth Projection: India's economy projected to grow 6.6%-7.4% in 2026, outpacing developed markets.
  • Positive Technical Catalyst: Katie Stockton identifies a positive technical catalyst for India's stock market.
  • CNBC Investment Committee Endorsement: Stephanie Link recommends INDA as a top pick on CNBC's Final Trades.
Bearish Bearish
  • Resistance Level Testing: INDA is testing resistance levels, favoring a wait-and-see approach.
  • Underperformance vs S&P 500: INDA returned 117% over 10 years vs S&P 500's 241%.
  • Neutral Quant Sentiment: Quantitative signal sets show full alignment in neutral sentiment.
  • Valuation Concerns: Rising market may face valuation pressures after strong gains.
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INDA Technical Analysis

INDA has exhibited defensive characteristics with muted volatility but has underperformed the broader market over the recent quarter. The stock's low beta indicates its price movements are less dramatic than the overall market.

The fund declined nearly 1% over the past month, contributing to a modest 0.44% gain over three months. Notably, its 3-month relative strength of -2.93% confirms it has lagged behind the market benchmark during this period, reflecting weaker momentum.

Currently trading at $53.04, INDA is positioned roughly in the middle (approximately 55%) of its 52-week range. This central position, coupled with the moderate maximum drawdown of -7.06%, suggests the stock is neither significantly overbought nor oversold on a longer-term basis.

šŸ“Š Beta
0.40
0.40x market volatility
šŸ“‰ Max Drawdown
-7.1%
Largest decline past year
šŸ“ˆ 52-Week Range
$48-$56
Price range past year
šŸ’¹ Annual Return
+3.8%
Cumulative gain past year
Period INDA Return S&P 500
1m +0.2% +1.3%
3m +0.9% +5.7%
6m -4.3% +10.6%
1y +3.8% +16.5%
ytd -2.4% +1.1%

INDA Fundamental Analysis

Based on the limited information provided, a comprehensive fundamental analysis of INDA cannot be conducted. The absence of both a recent quarterly report and financial ratios significantly hinders any meaningful assessment.

Without access to revenue, profitability, or cash flow statements, it is impossible to evaluate the company's financial health, including its debt levels or operational stability. This lack of data precludes any analysis of balance sheet strength or liquidity.

Similarly, key efficiency and performance metrics such as Return on Equity (ROE) and asset turnover ratios are unavailable, making it impractical to comment on operational effectiveness or management's use of capital. A thorough review would require accessing the company's official financial disclosures.

Quarterly Revenue
N/A
Latest Quarter
Revenue YoY Growth
N/A
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
N/A%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
N/A
Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

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Valuation Analysis: Is INDA Overvalued?

Based on the limited data provided, INDA's valuation analysis is constrained. The TTM PE ratio of 24.06 appears elevated for an ETF, suggesting a potentially generous valuation relative to earnings. However, the absence of forward-looking metrics creates significant uncertainty regarding future earnings growth expectations.

Given the lack of specific industry benchmark data for peer comparison, no conclusive relative valuation assessment can be made. Comprehensive analysis would require additional fundamental ratios and proper industry comparables to determine INDA's positioning relative to its investment segment or similar emerging market ETFs.

Current PE
24.2x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
N/A
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/AƗ
EV/EBITDA
N/Ax
Enterprise Value Multiple

Investment Risk Disclosure

Based on its low beta of 0.4 and a modest one-year maximum drawdown of -7.06%, INDA exhibits considerably low volatility risk relative to the broader market. This suggests the fund has experienced less severe price fluctuations and smaller peak-to-trough declines than a typical market index.

Regarding other risks, the absence of significant short interest indicates minimal speculative pressure or bearish sentiment against the fund. However, investors should still consider factors such as currency risk, geopolitical developments within India, and the inherent liquidity constraints of emerging market equities.

FAQs

Is INDA a good stock to buy?

Neutral. While strong GDP growth forecasts and institutional endorsements provide upside potential, technical resistance and historical underperformance versus U.S. markets create near-term headwinds. The ETF's low volatility profile makes it suitable for risk-averse investors seeking emerging market exposure, but current valuation concerns suggest waiting for a better entry point may be prudent.

Is INDA stock overvalued or undervalued?

Based on the extremely limited data, INDA appears to be potentially overvalued. The primary indicator is its trailing PE ratio of 24.06, which is significantly elevated for a passively managed ETF and suggests a premium valuation relative to current earnings. The assessment is highly uncertain because crucial forward-looking metrics like the Forward PE and PEG ratio are unavailable, preventing an analysis of growth expectations. Without industry averages or additional financial data on profitability and fundamentals, this is a preliminary judgment based on a single, high earnings multiple.

What are the main risks of holding INDA?

Based on the provided information, the key risks of holding INDA are:

1. Geopolitical and Country-Specific Risk: As a fund tracking Indian equities, INDA is exposed to risks stemming from India's political stability, regulatory changes, and regional tensions. 2. Currency Risk: The fund's value for USD-based investors is subject to fluctuations in the exchange rate between the US dollar and the Indian rupee. 3. Emerging Market Liquidity Risk: The underlying holdings may face inherent liquidity constraints typical of emerging markets, which could impact trading efficiency and exacerbate price swings during stress. 4. Sector/Company-Specific Risk (Data Deficiency): A critical lack of available fundamental data on the fund's holdings prevents an assessment of business, financial, or concentration risks, which is itself a significant risk.

What is the price forecast for INDA in 2026?

Based on the available information, projecting INDA (iShares MSCI India ETF) to 2026 is highly speculative due to its nature as a diversified ETF tracking the Indian market.

* Target Prices: A plausible base-case price range for 2026 is $65 - $75, assuming steady economic growth and stable valuation multiples. A bull-case scenario, driven by accelerated reforms and strong global investment flows, could push the price toward $85 - $95. * Key Growth Drivers: The primary drivers are India's sustained domestic economic growth (GDP), continued foreign institutional investment (FII) inflows, and government-led infrastructure and manufacturing initiatives. * Main Assumptions: This forecast assumes no major global recession, political stability in India, and that the ETF's premium valuation (P/E) does not contract significantly. * Uncertainty: This outlook is highly uncertain and subject to global macroeconomic conditions, commodity price swings (especially oil), and geopolitical risks that significantly impact emerging markets. Past performance is not indicative of future results.