KLAR

KLAR

Klarna is a Swedish financial technology company operating in the payments industry.
It is best known as a "buy now, pay later" pioneer, offering consumers flexible payment solutions at online checkout.

$30.13 +0.11 (+0.37%)

Updated: January 14, 2026, 16:00 EST

Analyzed by Rockflow Bobby Quantitative Model āœ“ Updated Daily

Investment Opinion: Should I buy KLAR Today?

Based on the comprehensive analysis, KLAR presents a highly speculative and challenging investment case.

Analysis Summary: KLAR's technical picture is deeply concerning, showing severe underperformance and extreme volatility that suggests a pronounced downtrend. Fundamentally, while the company shows some revenue growth, it is not yet profitable and exhibits worrying operational inefficiencies and liquidity constraints. The valuation appears stretched based on sales multiples, especially given the lack of earnings, and the extreme beta of 6.34 indicates enormous volatility risk that is unsuitable for most investors.

Recommendation: Based on the severe technical weakness, ongoing unprofitability, and extreme risk profile, KLAR does not appear to be worth buying at this time. The stock exhibits characteristics of a highly speculative play with substantial downside risk, making it inappropriate for most investment portfolios. Investors should wait for clear signs of improved operational execution, sustained profitability, and stabilized price action before considering a position.

*Note: This is not investment advice, for reference only.*

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KLAR 12-Month Price Forecast

RockFlow Model Forecast: Three Scenarios for 2026

Based on the comprehensive analysis, the 12-month outlook for KLAR is highly cautious. Key catalysts to watch would be any signs of a path to sustained profitability or a significant improvement in operational efficiency that could stem the negative price trend. The primary risks are dominant, including its extreme volatility (beta of 6.34), persistent lack of earnings, and severe technical weakness suggesting further downside. Given the absence of analyst targets and the stock's high-risk profile, a prudent target range is indeterminable, and investors should prioritize capital preservation by awaiting concrete fundamental improvements before considering an investment.

Wall Street Consensus

Most Wall Street analysts are optimistic about KLAR's 12-month outlook, with consensus target around $30.13, indicating expected upside potential.

Average Target
$30.13
18 analysts
Implied Upside
+0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
18
covering this stock
Price Range
$24 - $39
Analyst target range
Buy Buy
12 (67%)
Hold Hold
5 (28%)
Sell Sell
1 (6%)

Bulls vs Bears: KLAR Investment Factors

Overall, KLAR has investment potential but also faces challenges. Here are key factors to weigh before investing.

Bullish Bullish
  • Strong Q3 Revenue Beat: Klarna's quarterly revenue exceeded analyst estimates, driven by U.S. growth.
  • High Active User Growth: The company's active user base topped expectations, indicating expanding adoption.
  • Strategic AI Innovation: New AI Agent Protocol positions Klarna as infrastructure for AI commerce.
  • Institutional Investor Support: ARK Invest's Cathy Wood is accumulating shares, showing confidence.
  • Positive Analyst Coverage: Analysts highlight Klarna as a top new tech stock with growth potential.
Bearish Bearish
  • Wider-Than-Expected Loss: Klarna posted a larger operating loss than analysts projected.
  • Post-Earnings Stock Decline: Shares fell 10% after the first earnings report as a public company.
  • Legal Scrutiny: A law firm is investigating post-IPO disclosures amid significant stock decline.
  • Price Target Reduction: UBS analyst lowered the firm's price target despite acknowledging growth.
  • IPO Underperformance: The stock has declined significantly since its initial public offering.
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KLAR Technical Analysis

KLAR has demonstrated significant underperformance with steep declines across multiple timeframes amid extreme volatility. The stock has lost over a quarter of its value in three months, substantially lagging behind the broader market.

Over the short term, KLAR has experienced severe pressure with a 7.15% monthly decline and a 27.31% quarterly drop. Its 30.68% underperformance against the market over three months highlights particularly weak momentum, exacerbated by an exceptionally high beta indicating extreme volatility.

Currently trading just 7.6% above its 52-week low and 47.5% below its yearly high, KLAR appears deeply oversold despite near-term weakness. The stock's maximum drawdown of 38.65% suggests it remains in a pronounced downtrend, though its proximity to recent lows may indicate limited immediate downside potential.

šŸ“Š Beta
6.34
6.34x market volatility
šŸ“‰ Max Drawdown
-38.6%
Largest decline past year
šŸ“ˆ 52-Week Range
$28-$57
Price range past year
šŸ’¹ Annual Return
-34.2%
Cumulative gain past year
Period KLAR Return S&P 500
1m -3.1% +1.3%
3m -22.3% +5.7%
6m -34.2% +10.6%
1y -34.2% +16.5%
ytd +5.5% +1.1%

KLAR Fundamental Analysis

Revenue & Profitability: KLAR demonstrates mixed performance with Q3 revenue growing 9.7% sequentially to $903 million, though profitability remains challenged. The company maintains a healthy gross margin of 56.1% but suffers from operating losses due to high SG&A expenses, resulting in a net margin of -10.5%. This indicates revenue growth is not translating to bottom-line profitability.

Financial Health: KLAR's financial health shows concerning liquidity with a current ratio below 1 (0.96), though debt metrics appear manageable with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.07. The cash flow situation is mixed, with strong operating cash flow relative to sales (52.3%) but weak coverage ratios, suggesting potential liquidity constraints despite adequate cash reserves.

Operational Efficiency: Operational efficiency metrics reveal significant challenges, with ROE of -3.9% and asset turnover of just 0.04 indicating poor capital utilization. The extended cash conversion cycle of 934 days, driven by high days sales outstanding, reflects inefficient working capital management. These metrics suggest substantial room for improvement in operational execution.

Quarterly Revenue
$0.9B
2025-09
Revenue YoY Growth
+48.5%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
56.1%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$1.6B
Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

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Valuation Analysis: Is KLAR Overvalued?

Valuation Level: KLAR's negative PE ratios and negative EV/EBITDA indicate the company is currently unprofitable, making traditional earnings-based valuation metrics meaningless. The elevated PS ratio of 15.1 and PB ratio of 5.6 suggest the market is pricing the stock based on revenue multiples and book value rather than earnings, which typically indicates high growth expectations despite current losses.

Peer Comparison: Without available industry average data, a direct peer comparison cannot be performed. However, the extremely high PS ratio of 15.1 suggests KLAR may be trading at a premium valuation compared to typical industry standards, particularly given its negative profitability metrics. Investors should seek industry-specific benchmarks to properly contextualize these valuation multiples.

Current PE
-100.4x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
N/A
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/AƗ
EV/EBITDA
-152.4x
Enterprise Value Multiple

Investment Risk Disclosure

Based on the provided metrics, KLAR exhibits extreme volatility risk. The exceptionally high Beta of 6.34 suggests the stock's price movements are dramatically more exaggerated than the broader market, making it highly susceptible to market swings. This is corroborated by the substantial one-year maximum drawdown of -38.65%, indicating a significant potential for severe capital depreciation during downturns.

Regarding other risk factors, the absence of reported short interest eliminates the immediate threat of a short squeeze, which can be a source of positive volatility. However, the inherent risks associated with such extreme volatility likely include low liquidity, which could lead to wide bid-ask spreads and difficulty executing orders without impacting the price.

FAQs

Is KLAR a good stock to buy?

Bearish - KLAR appears fundamentally overvalued and operationally challenged despite strong analyst optimism. The stock trades at premium revenue multiples (PS ratio 15.1) while posting losses (-10.5% net margin), and its extreme volatility (Beta 6.34) and weak technical momentum suggest high risk. Currently suitable only for aggressive, speculative investors who can tolerate potential significant drawdowns while betting on future profitability.

Is KLAR stock overvalued or undervalued?

Based on the metrics provided, KLAR appears significantly overvalued. The stock trades at an exceptionally high PS ratio of 15.1 and a PB ratio of 5.6, which are premiums typically reserved for high-growth, profitable companies. However, KLAR is unprofitable (negative P/E) and exhibits poor operational efficiency with a negative ROE and a dangerously long cash conversion cycle. The current valuation seems to price in optimistic future growth that is not yet supported by the company's fundamental performance or financial health.

What are the main risks of holding KLAR?

Based on the provided analysis,

1. Extreme Price Volatility: The stock exhibits extreme market risk due to its exceptionally high Beta of 6.34, meaning its price swings are dramatically more severe than the broader market, leading to a high probability of significant capital depreciation. 2. Persistent Operational Inefficiency: The company faces severe business risk from its poor operational execution, evidenced by a negative Return on Equity (-3.9%) and an extremely long cash conversion cycle of 934 days, indicating fundamentally inefficient use of capital and working capital management. 3. Weak Profitability and Liquidity Strain: There is a fundamental financial risk stemming from the company's inability to translate revenue into profit (net margin of -10.5%) combined with a current ratio below 1 (0.96), suggesting potential challenges in meeting short-term obligations despite revenue growth.

What is the price forecast for KLAR in 2026?

Based on the provided analysis projecting to 2026, the forecast for KLAR is highly uncertain and weighted to the downside. For a base case, assuming the company fails to achieve sustained profitability, the stock could trend significantly lower, potentially below $15. A bull case scenario, contingent on a successful operational turnaround with a clear path to net income, might see the stock recover towards the $40-$50 range. Key growth drivers are absent, with the primary requirement being a drastic improvement in operational efficiency and profitability from its current state of high cash burn and negative margins. The forecast carries extreme uncertainty due to the stock's extreme volatility (beta of 6.34) and the lack of a visible catalyst for improvement.