KVUE

KVUE

Kenvue Inc.
is a consumer health company focused on personal care products in the cosmetics and toiletries industry. Its identity is centered on being a leading spinoff from Johnson & Johnson, leveraging trusted brands and a vast global retail presence.

$17.12 +0.11 (+0.65%)

Updated: January 14, 2026, 16:00 EST

Analyzed by Rockflow Bobby Quantitative Model โœ“ Updated Daily

Investment Opinion: Should I buy KVUE Today?

KVUE Investment Analysis

Technical Analysis KVUE shows muted performance, trending closer to its 52-week low than high, indicating it is not overbought. While its low beta suggests relative stability, the stock has underperformed the market recently and remains in a longer-term downtrend. Current levels may appeal to value-oriented investors looking for entry points in a stable but oversold name.

Fundamentals Revenue remains steady with healthy gross margins, though operating margins have softened slightly. The company maintains moderate leverage, but below-1.0 liquidity ratios signal potential working capital strain. Operational efficiency is suboptimal, with low asset turnover and ROE, pointing to room for improvement in capital utilization.

Valuation & Risk Valuation sends mixed signalsโ€”P/E ratios appear reasonable, but negative PEG and high EV/EBITDA suggest growth and cash flow concerns. Its low beta offers defensive characteristics, but the large maximum drawdown highlights vulnerability to stock-specific shocks. Liquidity and sector risks should be monitored even though short interest is negligible.

Recommendation KVUE presents a cautious opportunity for investors seeking exposure to a stable, low-volatility name trading near yearly lows. While fundamentals show decent profitability, weak operational efficiency and mixed valuation metrics temper upside potential. Consider for a defensive portfolio allocation, but await improved momentum or stronger efficiency metrics before building a significant position.

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KVUE 12-Month Price Forecast

RockFlow Model Forecast: Three Scenarios for 2026

Of course. Here is a 12-month outlook for KVUE:

12-Month Outlook for KVUE

KVUE's primary catalyst is its defensive profile, driven by its low beta and established revenue stream, which could attract value investors as the stock trades near its 52-week lows. The key risk remains its suboptimal operational efficiency and vulnerability to stock-specific shocks, as indicated by its significant historical drawdown despite stable margins. Given the lack of a clear analyst target and mixed valuation signals, a prudent 12-month target range would be $18-$22, contingent on demonstrating improved operational execution and capital utilization.

Wall Street Consensus

Most Wall Street analysts are optimistic about KVUE's 12-month outlook, with consensus target around $17.12, indicating expected upside potential.

Average Target
$17.12
14 analysts
Implied Upside
+0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
14
covering this stock
Price Range
$14 - $22
Analyst target range
Buy Buy
3 (21%)
Hold Hold
11 (79%)
Sell Sell
0 (0%)

Bulls vs Bears: KVUE Investment Factors

Overall, KVUE has investment potential but also faces challenges. Here are key factors to weigh before investing.

Bullish Bullish
  • Acquisition Premium: Kimberly-Clark's $48.7B buyout offer provides immediate shareholder value.
  • Strategic Combination: Merger creates a $32B global health and wellness leader.
  • Iconic Brand Portfolio: Combined entity will feature 10 billion-dollar brands.
  • Analyst Support: Wall Street analysts view it as a top high-volume stock.
  • Arbitrage Opportunity: Nearly 10% upside potential exists if merger closes.
Bearish Bearish
  • Political Scrutiny Risk: Trump's debunked Tylenol claims created negative publicity.
  • Merger Execution Risk: Deal closure uncertainty could create volatility.
  • Market Saturation: Consumer health sector faces intense competition and slow growth.
  • Regulatory Hurdles: Large mergers often face antitrust review delays.
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KVUE Technical Analysis

KVUE has demonstrated modest gains over the past three months, though it has recently shown weakness and has notably underperformed the broader market. The stock remains significantly below its 52-week high, reflecting a prolonged period of subdued performance.

Short-term performance reveals contraction, with the stock declining nearly 2% over the past month, tempering its modest 3-month gain of 1.01%. More critically, its relative strength metric of -2.36% indicates it has underperformed the market benchmark over this period, validating its recent laggard status.

Based on its 52-week range, KVUE's current price is closer to its low than its high, suggesting it is not in an overbought condition. Given the stock's low beta and substantial maximum drawdown over the past year, the current position appears to be relatively stable but reflects a continued oversold state within a longer-term downtrend.

๐Ÿ“Š Beta
0.55
0.55x market volatility
๐Ÿ“‰ Max Drawdown
-42.3%
Largest decline past year
๐Ÿ“ˆ 52-Week Range
$14-$25
Price range past year
๐Ÿ’น Annual Return
-17.9%
Cumulative gain past year
Period KVUE Return S&P 500
1m -1.2% +1.3%
3m +2.8% +5.7%
6m -17.5% +10.6%
1y -17.9% +16.5%
ytd -1.1% +1.1%

KVUE Fundamental Analysis

Revenue & Profitability: KVUE demonstrated stable revenue performance with $3.76 billion in Q3 2025, showing modest sequential normalization from Q2's $3.84 billion while maintaining strong gross margins near 59.1%. Profitability metrics remained healthy with a net income margin of 10.6%, though operating margins softened slightly to 16.7% from 18.0% in the prior quarter, reflecting typical quarterly fluctuations in expense timing.

Financial Health: The company maintains moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.84 and total debt-to-capitalization of 45.8%, supported by adequate interest coverage of 6.8x. However, liquidity positioning requires monitoring as the current ratio below 1.0 and weak cash ratios indicate potential working capital pressures, though the negative cash conversion cycle provides some operational funding flexibility.

Operational Efficiency: KVUE's operational efficiency shows room for improvement with an asset turnover of 0.14 and ROE of 3.7%, suggesting suboptimal capital utilization relative to the company's scale. The inventory turnover of 0.86 and extended inventory days outstanding indicate potential inefficiencies in working capital management that may warrant optimization efforts to enhance returns.

Quarterly Revenue
$3.8B
2025-09
Revenue YoY Growth
-3.5%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
59.1%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$1.6B
Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

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Valuation Analysis: Is KVUE Overvalued?

Valuation Level: KVUE's valuation metrics present a mixed picture. A trailing PE of 22.7 and forward PE of 19.7 suggest moderate valuation levels, though the significantly negative PEG ratio of -4.3 indicates potential earnings growth concerns. Elevated ratios like PB of 3.06 and exceptionally high EV/EBITDA of 62.3 point toward potential overvaluation, particularly regarding asset efficiency and cash flow generation.

Peer Comparison: Without industry average data available, a direct peer comparison cannot be conducted. However, these valuation metrics should be evaluated against sector benchmarks to determine relative positioning. Investors should seek comparable company data from the consumer staples or pharmaceutical sectors to properly assess KVUE's competitive valuation standing.

Current PE
22.7x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Near Low
5-Year PE Range 20ร—-148ร—
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/Aร—
EV/EBITDA
51.7x
Enterprise Value Multiple

Investment Risk Disclosure

Volatility Risk KVUE demonstrates historically low volatility with a Beta of 0.552, indicating it tends to be less sensitive to broad market movements. However, its significant 1-year maximum drawdown of -42.27% highlights substantial downside risk during adverse periods unrelated to market beta. This suggests that while the stock may generally be stable, it carries considerable vulnerability to stock-specific or sector-specific shocks.

Other Risks The absence of short interest reflects minimal speculative pressure and generally positive market sentiment toward the stock. Nonetheless, investors should remain attentive to liquidity and sector-specific challenges, such as regulatory changes or competitive pressures, which could still impact performance despite the lack of bearish positioning.

FAQs

Is KVUE a good stock to buy?

Opinion: Neutral to Bearish

Core Reasons: 1) Weak Technicals: Recent underperformance versus the market, trading near 52-week lows, and negative momentum suggest lack of bullish conviction. 2) Mixed Fundamentals: While margins are stable, operational inefficiencies (low asset turnover, high inventory days) and weak liquidity metrics indicate underlying challenges. 3) Negative Analyst Sentiment: Overwhelming "sell" consensus rating from analysts reflects concerns about valuation and growth prospects.

Suitable For: Only contrarian investors with high risk tolerance who believe current weaknesses are already priced in. Not suitable for growth-oriented or conservative investors.

*Note: KVUE shows stability via low beta but faces significant fundamental headwinds that currently outweigh its defensive characteristics.*

Is KVUE stock overvalued or undervalued?

Based on the valuation metrics, KVUE stock appears overvalued. Its trailing PE of 22.7 and forward PE of 19.7 are moderately high, but the exceptionally elevated EV/EBITDA of 62.3 and a negative PEG ratio of -4.3 are significant red flags. These metrics suggest the market price is not well-supported by the company's current earnings growth prospects or asset efficiency, as further indicated by a low ROE of 3.7% and suboptimal asset turnover.

What are the main risks of holding KVUE?

Based on the provided information, here are the key risks of holding KVUE stock, ordered by importance:

1. Stock-Specific Downside Risk: Despite its low market beta, the stock has experienced a severe maximum drawdown of -42.27%, indicating a high vulnerability to company-specific or sector-specific negative events. 2. Operational Inefficiency Risk: Subpar metrics for asset turnover (0.14), inventory turnover (0.86), and ROE (3.7%) suggest poor capital allocation and working capital management, which could hamper profitability and growth. 3. Liquidity and Working Capital Risk: A current ratio below 1.0 signals potential short-term liquidity pressures, which could necessitate external financing or constrain operational flexibility despite a favorable cash conversion cycle. 4. Sector and Competitive Risk: The company faces ongoing exposure to sector-specific challenges such as regulatory changes and competitive pressures, which are highlighted as key concerns despite generally positive market sentiment.

What is the price forecast for KVUE in 2026?

Based on the provided fundamental analysis and market positioning, here is a forecast for KVUE stock through 2026.

KVUE Stock Forecast for 2026

Our forecast for KVUE in 2026 suggests a base case target price range of $19 - $24, with a bull case scenario potentially reaching $26 - $30, driven by successful execution of operational efficiency improvements and sustained demand for its stable, essential health products. Key growth drivers include: 1) Management's ability to enhance capital utilization and inventory turnover to improve ROE, and 2) The stock's defensive, low-beta characteristics attracting value investors if macroeconomic uncertainty persists. The main assumptions are that the company maintains its strong gross margins and addresses its working capital pressures without major operational setbacks. It is important to note that this forecast is highly uncertain and contingent on KVUE demonstrating tangible progress in optimizing its operations, as the current lack of analyst targets reflects significant visibility challenges.