LDOS

Leidos

$143.83

+0.86%
Aug 14, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Leidos Holdings, Inc. is a technology, engineering, and science company providing services and solutions in defense, intelligence, civil, and health markets, primarily to U.S. government agencies. As a leading player in the government IT and defense services sector, Leidos differentiates itself through its deep domain expertise and long-standing relationships with key agencies like the DoD and DHS. The current investor narrative centers on the company's record profitability, yet concerns about a government shutdown, cautious guidance, and a recent revenue miss have pressured the stock, leading to a significant drawdown. Additionally, the rise of autonomous defense startups like Saronic poses a potential long-term disruption to traditional defense contracting models.

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LDOS 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $143.83
Average Target $143.83
High Target $165.40
Low Target $122.26

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Leidos's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $153.60 and implied upside of +6.8% versus the current price.

Average Target

$153.60

0 analysts

Implied Upside

+6.8%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

covering this stock

Price Range

$120 - $225

Analyst target range

Leidos is covered by 15 analysts, with a consensus recommendation of 'Buy' and a mean rating of 2.35 (where 1 is Strong Buy and 5 is Sell). The average target price is $150.67, implying an 11.4% upside from the current price of $135.26. The target range is wide, from $110.00 low to $225.00 high, reflecting high uncertainty. The low target suggests a potential 18.7% downside, possibly pricing in a prolonged government shutdown or margin erosion, while the high target implies a 66.3% upside, assuming successful integration of the recent acquisition and robust defense spending. Recent ratings actions show a mixed sentiment: B of A downgraded from Buy to Neutral in June, and Jefferies downgraded from Buy to Hold in June, but Citigroup and Truist maintain Buy ratings, indicating a cautious but not bearish outlook.

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LDOS Technical Analysis

Leidos is in a pronounced downtrend over the past year, with the stock down 22.48% over the last 12 months, significantly underperforming the S&P 500's +21.46% gain. The current price of $135.26 sits at 65.7% of its 52-week range (between $98.86 low and $205.77 high), indicating the stock is closer to its lows than highs, reflecting a bearish sentiment and potential value trap. The 52-week low of $98.86 was tested in late June, and the stock has since bounced, but it remains well below its 52-week high of $205.77, suggesting a lack of buying conviction.

Beta

0.55

0.55x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-49.9%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$99-$206

Price range past year

Annual Return

-19.4%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodLDOS ReturnS&P 500
1m+32.9%+2.9%
3m+16.3%+5.0%
6m-18.4%+13.9%
1y-19.4%+20.4%
ytd-21.6%+13.8%

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LDOS Fundamental Analysis

Leidos reported Q1 2026 revenue of $4.40 billion, up 3.65% year-over-year, but this was a deceleration from the prior quarter's 4.5% growth and below expectations, contributing to the stock's decline. The company's net income for Q1 was $328 million, with a net margin of 7.45%, down from 8.21% in Q3 2025, indicating slight margin compression. Gross margin improved to 17.3% from 16.0% in Q4 2025, but operating margin fell to 11.5% from 12.0% in Q4, reflecting increased operating expenses. The company's balance sheet shows a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.21, which is elevated but manageable given its strong free cash flow of $1.859 billion TTM. However, Q1 2026 free cash flow was only $270 million, a significant drop from $452 million in Q4 2025, due to a $2.34 billion acquisition, which increased leverage and reduced liquidity.

Quarterly Revenue

$4.4B

2026-04

Revenue YoY Growth

+3.6%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

17.3%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$1.9B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Health Segment

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Valuation Analysis: Is LDOS Overvalued?

Given Leidos' positive net income, the PE ratio is the primary valuation metric. The trailing PE is 16.35x, while the forward PE is 10.30x, implying the market expects significant earnings growth, likely due to the acquisition and cost synergies. Compared to the industry average PE of 22x (from valuation data), Leidos trades at a 26% discount, suggesting it is undervalued relative to peers. Historically, Leidos' PE has ranged from 11.9x to 21.5x over the past two years, and the current trailing PE of 16.35x is near the middle of that range, indicating fair valuation. The PEG ratio of 0.82 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate, supporting a bullish case.

PE

16.4x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Mid-Range

5-Year PE Range 12x~21x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

12.1x

Enterprise Value Multiple