Lam Research
LRCX
$353.17
+6.01%
Lam Research is a leading manufacturer of semiconductor wafer fabrication equipment, specializing in deposition and etch processes essential for chip production. It holds the top market share in etch and the clear second share in deposition, serving the world's largest chipmakers including TSMC, Samsung, Intel, and Micron. The current investor narrative centers on Lam's critical role in the AI-driven semiconductor boom, with record revenue and earnings driven by surging demand for advanced memory and logic chips. Recent news highlights the company's potential to reach a $1 trillion market cap as AI infrastructure spending accelerates, though elevated valuations and cyclical risks remain key debates.…
LRCX
Lam Research
$353.17
Related headlines
LRCX 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Lam Research's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $459.12 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.
Average Target
$459.12
10 analysts
Implied Upside
+30.0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
10
covering this stock
Price Range
$283 - $459
Analyst target range
Lam Research is covered by 10 analysts, with a consensus leaning bullish: 6 Buy ratings, 3 Equal Weight/Neutral, and 1 Overweight. The average analyst target price is not explicitly provided, but based on the estimated EPS of $13.22 and a forward P/E of 43.8x, the implied target is approximately $579, representing 64.8% upside from the current price of $351.41. The estimated EPS range is $11.79 to $15.25, and the revenue range is $41.2 billion to $50.2 billion, indicating a wide dispersion of expectations. The high target of $15.25 EPS assumes continued AI-driven demand and margin expansion, while the low target of $11.79 EPS factors in potential cyclical headwinds or geopolitical risks. Recent ratings have been stable, with no downgrades and several reaffirmations of Buy/Outperform ratings after the strong Q3 earnings report in April 2026. The wide spread in estimates (29% difference between high and low EPS) signals elevated uncertainty, but the consensus remains firmly positive, reflecting confidence in Lam's strategic position in the semiconductor equipment market.
LRCX Technical Analysis
Lam Research is in a powerful long-term uptrend, with the stock surging 255.6% over the past year, dramatically outperforming the S&P 500's 19.1% gain. The current price of $351.41 sits at 80.2% of its 52-week range (low $90.94, high $438.50), indicating strong momentum but still below the peak, suggesting room for further upside if the trend continues. The stock's beta of 1.805 implies it is 80.5% more volatile than the market, amplifying both gains and losses. Short-term momentum remains robust, with a 1-month gain of 5.1% and a 3-month gain of 60.9%, though the 1-month pace has decelerated from the explosive 3-month run. The 1-year relative strength of 236.5% versus the S&P 500 underscores sustained outperformance, but the recent pullback from the June high of $433.33 to $351.41 (down 18.9%) suggests profit-taking or consolidation after a parabolic move. The 52-week low of $90.94 provides a distant support level, while the 52-week high of $438.50 is the immediate resistance. A breakout above $438.50 would signal a resumption of the uptrend and likely target new highs, while a breakdown below the recent June low of $303.28 could indicate a deeper correction. With a beta of 1.805, the stock is highly sensitive to market swings, requiring careful risk management.
Beta
1.80
1.80x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-24.7%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$91-$439
Price range past year
Annual Return
+253.8%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | LRCX Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | +8.0% | +2.0% |
| 3m | +33.9% | +10.6% |
| 6m | +61.7% | +8.3% |
| 1y | +253.8% | +20.4% |
| ytd | +90.8% | +10.2% |
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LRCX Fundamental Analysis
Lam Research's revenue trajectory is accelerating strongly, with the most recent quarter (Q2 FY2026, ended Dec 28, 2025) reporting $5.34 billion, up 22.1% year-over-year. This marks a significant acceleration from the prior year's growth rates, as revenue has climbed from $3.79 billion in Q3 FY2024 to $5.34 billion over six quarters. The growth is driven by both System sales ($3.36 billion) and Customer Support ($1.99 billion), reflecting broad-based demand for AI-capable chip manufacturing equipment. The company is highly profitable, with net income of $1.59 billion in the latest quarter and a net margin of 29.8%. Gross margin has expanded to 49.6% from 47.4% a year ago, while operating margin improved to 33.9% from 30.5%, demonstrating operating leverage. The trailing twelve-month free cash flow is $6.66 billion, providing ample liquidity. The balance sheet is strong, with a current ratio of 2.21, debt-to-equity of 0.48, and ROE of 54.3%. The company generates substantial cash, funding both capital expenditures ($185 million in Q2) and shareholder returns ($1.47 billion in buybacks and $328 million in dividends in Q2). The FCF yield of approximately 5.3% (based on market cap of $125 billion) is attractive for a growth company.
Quarterly Revenue
$5.3B
2025-12
Revenue YoY Growth
+22.14%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
49.60%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$6.7B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is LRCX Overvalued?
Since net income is positive, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 23.3x, while the forward P/E is 43.8x, implying the market expects significant earnings growth ahead. The wide gap between trailing and forward multiples reflects the anticipated acceleration in earnings driven by the AI cycle. Compared to the semiconductor industry average P/E of approximately 22x, Lam's trailing P/E of 23.3x is only slightly above the sector, but the forward P/E of 43.8x is a substantial premium, suggesting the market is pricing in above-average growth. Historically, Lam's trailing P/E has ranged from 8.9x (Q1 FY2023) to 34.7x (Q2 FY2026), and the current 23.3x is near the middle of that range. However, the forward P/E of 43.8x is near the upper end of historical forward multiples, indicating optimistic growth expectations. The PEG ratio of 0.54 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate, but this depends on the sustainability of the growth trajectory.
PE
23.3x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Mid-Range
5-Year PE Range 9x~35x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
19.5x
Enterprise Value Multiple

