LUNR

Intuitive Machines

$33.63

-0.59%
Jun 4, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Intuitive Machines Inc is a space infrastructure and services company focused on enabling sustained human activity beyond Earth, operating within the Aerospace & Defense industry. It is a niche player and disruptor, designing, building, and operating space systems as infrastructure-as-a-service across various orbits, serving commercial, civil, and national security customers. The current investor narrative is driven by its status as a high-profile public space company, with attention focused on its ability to secure major government contracts, such as recent NASA awards, and its path to profitability amidst significant quarterly losses and volatile revenue trends, as highlighted by recent news of a disappointing Q4 report and speculation around Space Force budget increases.

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LUNR 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $33.63
Average Target $33.63
High Target $38.6745
Low Target $28.5855

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Intuitive Machines's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $43.72 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$43.72

1 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

1

covering this stock

Price Range

$27 - $44

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
0 (0%)
Sell
1 (100%)

Analyst coverage for LUNR appears limited, with data indicating only one analyst providing estimates for revenue and EPS, which is insufficient to derive a meaningful consensus price target or recommendation distribution. The single analyst's revenue estimate for the coming period averages $2.05 billion, with a range from $1.88 billion to $2.31 billion, but no average price target is provided. The implications of minimal analyst coverage are significant; it typically denotes a small to mid-cap stock with limited institutional following, which can lead to higher volatility, less efficient price discovery, and a greater influence from retail investor sentiment and speculative news flow, as evidenced by the stock's recent extreme price movements.

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LUNR Technical Analysis

The stock is in a powerful, sustained uptrend, evidenced by a staggering 1-year price change of +266.78%. As of the latest close at $43.83, the price is trading at approximately 94% of its 52-week range ($7.78 to $46.75), positioning it near all-time highs which signals strong momentum but also raises concerns about potential overextension and vulnerability to a sharp pullback. Recent momentum is exceptionally strong and accelerating, with a 1-month gain of +76.81% and a 3-month gain of +165.96%, far outpacing the SPY's respective gains of +6.31% and +10.28%, indicating the stock is in a parabolic phase driven by specific catalysts rather than broad market moves. The stock exhibits extreme volatility, with a beta of 1.469 indicating it is roughly 47% more volatile than the broader market, which is critical for risk management; key technical levels are the 52-week high of $46.75 as immediate resistance and the 52-week low of $7.78 as distant support, with a breakout above resistance potentially fueling further speculative buying while a breakdown could trigger a significant correction given the elevated levels.

Beta

1.47

1.47x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-41.9%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$8-$47

Price range past year

Annual Return

+204.1%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodLUNR ReturnS&P 500
1m+35.6%+4.6%
3m+90.8%+12.6%
6m+200.0%+10.4%
1y+204.1%+27.0%
ytd+88.1%+11.0%

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LUNR Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth is volatile and currently negative; the most recent quarterly revenue for Q4 2025 was $44.8 million, representing a year-over-year decline of -18.64%, and the trend over recent quarters shows significant inconsistency, with revenue swinging from $62.5 million in Q1 2025 down to $44.8 million in Q4, indicating execution challenges and lumpy contract timing rather than a stable growth trajectory. The company is deeply unprofitable, with a Q4 2025 net income of -$40.0 million and a gross margin of 30.24%; while the gross margin improved from negative figures in prior 2025 quarters, the operating and net margins remain severely negative at -73.9% and -89.4% respectively, highlighting that the core business is far from achieving sustainable profitability despite its ambitious targets. The balance sheet shows a strong current ratio of 4.96 and a negative debt-to-equity ratio of -0.50, indicating more cash than debt, but operating and free cash flow are deeply negative at -$7.3 million and -$22.9 million for the quarter, with trailing twelve-month free cash flow at -$55.95 million, meaning the company is burning significant cash to fund operations and depends on external financing to sustain its growth plans.

Quarterly Revenue

$44785000.0B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

-0.18%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.30%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$-55952000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Reportable Segment

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Valuation Analysis: Is LUNR Overvalued?

Given the company's negative net income, the primary valuation metric selected is the Price-to-Sales (PS) ratio. The trailing PS ratio is 9.22x, while the forward-looking metric, EV-to-Sales, is significantly higher at 25.79x; this substantial gap implies the market is pricing in aggressive future revenue growth expectations, as reflected in analyst estimates averaging over $2.0 billion for the next fiscal period. Peer comparison data is not available in the provided dataset, so a sector-relative assessment cannot be quantified; however, the high absolute sales multiples suggest the stock is valued as a high-growth, pre-profitability story where traditional industry benchmarks may not directly apply. Historically, the stock's own PS ratio has fluctuated wildly, from as low as 1.76x in late 2023 to the current 9.22x; trading near the top of its historical range indicates the market is currently embedding very optimistic expectations about future contract wins and revenue scalability, leaving little room for execution missteps.

PE

-23.3x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Mid-Range

5-Year PE Range -45x~4x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

-26.6x

Enterprise Value Multiple