META

Meta

$584.59

-0.14%
Jun 9, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Meta Platforms, Inc. is the world's largest social media company, operating a 'Family of Apps' that includes Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, and WhatsApp, serving nearly 4 billion monthly active users. Its core business model packages user data from this ecosystem to sell digital advertising, establishing it as a dominant platform company in the Internet Content & Information industry. The current investor narrative is intensely focused on the company's massive and profitable investments in artificial intelligence infrastructure, which are seen as setting a new standard for monetizing hyperscale capital expenditures, even as broader market volatility and concerns over Federal Reserve policy create headwinds for high-multiple tech stocks.

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META 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $584.59
Average Target $584.59
High Target $672.2785
Low Target $496.9015

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Meta's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $759.97 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$759.97

18 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

18

covering this stock

Price Range

$468 - $760

Analyst target range

Buy
5 (28%)
Hold
9 (50%)
Sell
4 (22%)

Meta is covered by 18 analysts, and the institutional sentiment remains overwhelmingly bullish, as evidenced by recent reaffirmations of 'Overweight', 'Outperform', and 'Buy' ratings from major firms including Morgan Stanley, Bernstein, and Deutsche Bank following the Q4 2025 earnings report. While a precise consensus target price is not provided in the data, the high level of coverage and consistent bullish ratings from top-tier firms suggests strong institutional conviction in the long-term story, typically translating to a consensus target implying meaningful upside from current levels. The target range among analysts is likely wide, reflecting debates over the monetization timeline for AI investments and the ultimate profitability of Reality Labs; the high-end targets would assume successful execution on AI monetization and margin stabilization, while low-end targets would factor in increased competitive or regulatory pressures. The lack of downgrades in the recent institutional ratings data, despite the stock's significant pullback, signals that analysts view the weakness as a macro or sector-driven correction rather than a deterioration in Meta's fundamental outlook.

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META Technical Analysis

The stock is in a pronounced downtrend, with a 1-year price change of -8.78% significantly underperforming the S&P 500's +27.04% gain, placing it in the bottom quartile of its 52-week range. Currently trading at $627.57, the price is approximately 40% above its 52-week low of $520.26 but 21% below its 52-week high of $796.25, indicating it has recovered from the lows but remains in a corrective phase well off its peak, suggesting a loss of momentum rather than a clear value opportunity. Recent short-term momentum shows a modest 1-month gain of 3.74%, which contrasts sharply with the negative 3-month change of -2.68%, indicating a potential stabilization or minor bounce within the larger downtrend; however, this positive 1-month move still lags the S&P 500's 4.6% gain, as reflected in the negative relative strength of -0.86. The stock's beta of 1.24 confirms it is 24% more volatile than the broader market, which amplifies both gains and losses, a critical factor for risk management given the current high-volatility environment for tech stocks. Key technical levels are clearly defined, with major support at the 52-week low of $520.26 and primary resistance at the 52-week high of $796.25; a sustained break below support would signal a continuation of the bearish trend, while a recovery above the $670-$690 zone (the recent April highs) would be necessary to suggest a more meaningful reversal is underway.

Beta

1.23

1.23x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-33.5%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$520-$796

Price range past year

Annual Return

-15.8%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodMETA ReturnS&P 500
1m-4.1%-0.1%
3m-10.7%+9.0%
6m-10.4%+7.0%
1y-15.8%+22.9%
ytd-10.1%+8.1%

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META Fundamental Analysis

Meta's revenue trajectory remains robust, with Q4 2025 revenue of $59.89 billion growing 23.8% year-over-year, continuing a multi-quarter acceleration from growth rates in the high teens seen in early 2024. The growth is overwhelmingly driven by the Family of Apps segment, which contributed $58.94 billion (98.4% of total revenue), while the Reality Labs segment, at $955 million, remains a small but strategically important investment area. Profitability is exceptionally strong, with Q4 net income of $22.77 billion and a net margin of 38.0%, supported by a stellar gross margin of 81.8%; however, margins have compressed from the prior-year Q4 net margin of 43.1%, reflecting the significant ongoing investments in AI and metaverse infrastructure. The company is solidly profitable and generates immense cash flow, with trailing twelve-month free cash flow of $46.11 billion providing ample internal funding for growth initiatives. Financial health is excellent, evidenced by a strong current ratio of 2.60, a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.39, and a high return on equity of 27.8%, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital and a low-risk balance sheet that can withstand aggressive investment cycles.

Quarterly Revenue

$59.9B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.23%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.81%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$46.1B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Family of Apps
Reality Labs

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Valuation Analysis: Is META Overvalued?

Given Meta's substantial net income of $22.77 billion in its latest quarter, the primary valuation metric is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. The stock trades at a trailing PE of 27.5x and a forward PE of 17.4x, with the significant discount in the forward multiple implying the market expects strong earnings growth over the next twelve months. Compared to the Communication Services sector, Meta's trailing PE of 27.5x trades at a premium; for context, the industry average PE is typically in the low 20s, suggesting investors are paying up for Meta's superior growth profile and platform dominance. Historically, the current trailing PE of 27.5x sits above the stock's own multi-year average, which has often ranged between the high teens and mid-20s, indicating the stock is trading at the higher end of its historical valuation band, which prices in optimistic expectations for AI-driven profit growth and leaves little room for execution missteps.

PE

27.5x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range 16x~171x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

16.4x

Enterprise Value Multiple