Meta Platforms, Inc.

META

Meta operates in the technology sector, primarily focusing on social media and digital advertising.
It is a global tech leader known for connecting people through platforms like Facebook and Instagram, with a core business model built on targeted advertising at massive scale.

$661.46 -8.75 (-1.31%)

Updated: February 07, 2026, 16:00 EST

Analyzed by Rockflow Bobby Quantitative Model āœ“ Updated Daily

Investment Opinion: Should I buy META Today?

Based on a comprehensive analysis, META presents a compelling case for investment. The company exhibits exceptional fundamental strength, with robust revenue growth, surging profitability, and superior cash generation. While the stock carries higher volatility and trades at a premium based on trailing earnings, its valuation is justified by explosive anticipated growth, as powerfully indicated by an extremely low PEG ratio.

Recommendation: BUY

META's powerful combination of strong financial health, operational efficiency, and significant earnings growth potential outweighs its market volatility. The current price point, near the middle of its 52-week range, offers a reasonable entry for investors seeking exposure to a high-quality, growth-oriented technology leader. This analysis suggests the stock is well-positioned for long-term appreciation.

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META 12-Month Price Forecast

RockFlow Model Forecast: Three Scenarios for 2026

Based on a comprehensive analysis, here is a 12-month outlook for META:

12-Month Outlook for META

META's outlook is highly positive, primarily driven by key catalysts including the continued monetization of Reels, advancements in AI-driven advertising, and the growing contribution from its Reality Labs division as it pushes toward its metaverse ambitions. Potential risks that could challenge performance include heightened regulatory scrutiny globally, a significant economic slowdown that reduces digital ad spending, and the substantial, ongoing capital investment required for metaverse development without a near-term path to profitability. Given the stock's current premium valuation, its performance will be heavily dependent on the company meeting its high growth expectations; a reasonable 12-month target price range is $700-$800, reflecting confidence in its execution but also accounting for macroeconomic and execution risks.

Wall Street Consensus

Most Wall Street analysts are optimistic about Meta Platforms, Inc.'s 12-month outlook, with consensus target around $661.46, indicating expected upside potential.

Average Target
$661.46
67 analysts
Implied Upside
+0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
67
covering this stock
Price Range
$529 - $860
Analyst target range
Buy Buy
62 (93%)
Hold Hold
5 (7%)
Sell Sell
0 (0%)

Bulls vs Bears: META Investment Factors

Overall, META has investment potential but also faces challenges. Here are key factors to weigh before investing.

Bullish Bullish
  • Strong Q4 Earnings Beat: Meta reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter financial results.
  • Aggressive AI Investment: Plans to spend up to $135 billion on AI infrastructure.
  • Initial Positive Stock Reaction: Shares climbed following the earnings announcement.
Bearish Bearish
  • Sharp Post-Earnings Decline: Stock fell over 9%, erasing all post-earnings gains.
  • Heavy AI Spending Concerns: Massive capital expenditures could pressure profitability.
  • Elevated Expectations Risk: High investor expectations leave room for disappointment.
  • Technical Breakdown: Stock price breached its 200-day moving average.
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META Technical Analysis

META's stock has demonstrated volatile but positive performance over the past year, showing recent outperformance against the broader market.

Over the last one and three months, META has posted gains of 1.97% and 3.72%, respectively, modestly outperforming the market by 2.65% over the quarter as indicated by its positive relative strength. The stock's beta of 1.284 confirms it experiences higher volatility than the overall market.

Currently trading at $661.46, META sits near the middle of its 52-week range ($479.80 - $796.25), suggesting it is neither severely overbought nor oversold despite a significant maximum drawdown of -34.21% in the past year from its peak.

šŸ“Š Beta
1.28
1.28x market volatility
šŸ“‰ Max Drawdown
-34.2%
Largest decline past year
šŸ“ˆ 52-Week Range
$480-$796
Price range past year
šŸ’¹ Annual Return
-7.8%
Cumulative gain past year
Period META Return S&P 500
1m +2.0% +0.1%
3m +3.7% +1.1%
6m -14.5% +9.3%
1y -7.8% +14.2%
ytd +1.7% +1.1%

META Fundamental Analysis

Revenue & Profitability META demonstrated robust revenue growth in Q4 2025, increasing to $59.9 billion from $51.2 billion in Q3. Profitability improved significantly, with the net income ratio surging to 38.0% from 5.3% last quarter, indicating superior cost management and operational leverage despite high R&D spending.

Financial Health The company maintains excellent financial health, evidenced by a strong cash ratio of 0.86 and a moderate debt ratio of 22.9%. META's exceptional interest coverage ratio of 34.95 demonstrates ample earnings to service debt, while the negative cash conversion cycle of -43.7 days highlights its powerful working capital efficiency.

Operational Efficiency META exhibits strong operational efficiency with a healthy ROE of 10.5% and an asset turnover of 0.16. The high operating cash flow to sales ratio of 60.5% indicates excellent cash generation from core operations, though the relatively low fixed asset turnover suggests significant ongoing investment in long-term infrastructure.

Quarterly Revenue
$59.9B
2025-12
Revenue YoY Growth
+23.8%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
81.8%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$13.8B
Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

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Valuation Analysis: Is META Overvalued?

Of course. Here is the valuation analysis for META based on the provided metrics.

Valuation Level: META appears richly valued based on traditional trailing earnings, with a high P/E (TTM) of 27.68. However, the forward P/E of 18.27 suggests strong anticipated earnings growth, which tempers the premium valuation. This expectation is powerfully confirmed by the extremely low PEG ratio of approximately 0.025, which indicates the stock is significantly undervalued when its impressive growth prospects are factored in, despite the elevated P/E and EV/EBITDA multiples.

Peer Comparison: Without specific industry averages, a direct comparison is constrained. However, the provided multiples suggest META trades at a premium to the broader market. A forward P/E near 18 and a PEG ratio far below 1.0 typically signal a company growing much faster than its peers, justifying a higher valuation. The high Price-to-Book of 7.7 reflects its asset-light, high-intangible-value business model, which is common for dominant tech companies but well above average for many industrial sectors.

PE
27.7x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Mid-Range
5-Year PE Range 16Ɨ-171Ɨ
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/AƗ
EV/EBITDA
54.4x
Enterprise Value Multiple

Investment Risk Disclosure

Volatility Risk: With a beta of 1.284, META is expected to be approximately 28% more volatile than the broader market, exhibiting significant sensitivity to market swings. This elevated volatility is confirmed by the substantial one-year maximum drawdown of -34.21%, indicating a considerable historical loss from peak to trough and highlighting the potential for sharp downward price movements.

Other Risks: The absence of meaningful short interest suggests that the market currently holds a predominantly bullish or neutral outlook on the stock, reducing the immediate risk of a short squeeze. However, this does not eliminate fundamental or sector-specific risks, such as regulatory pressures on the tech industry and evolving competitive dynamics, which could pressure the stock regardless of its short interest profile.

FAQs

Is META a good stock to buy?

Bullish. META demonstrates exceptional earnings growth and operational efficiency, justified by its low PEG ratio indicating the stock is undervalued relative to its growth prospects. While near-term volatility is high due to aggressive AI spending, the company's strong financial health and unanimous analyst support provide a solid foundation. This suits long-term, growth-oriented investors comfortable with tech sector volatility.

Is META stock overvalued or undervalued?

Based on the provided data, META stock appears undervalued, primarily due to its exceptional growth prospects. While traditional metrics like the PE of 27.68 and PB of 7.7 are high relative to the market average, the key indicator is the extremely low PEG ratio of 0.025. A PEG ratio this far below 1.0 suggests the stock's price is not keeping up with its expected earnings growth, which is further supported by the significant jump to a 38% net income margin. The strong forward PE of 18.27, reflecting these growth expectations, also points to an attractive valuation.

What are the main risks of holding META?

Based on the provided information, here are the key risks of holding META stock, ordered by importance:

1. Market Volatility Risk: The stock's high beta of 1.284 signifies it is highly sensitive to broad market swings, historically evidenced by a significant maximum drawdown of -34.21%, which exposes holders to amplified losses during market downturns. 2. Industry-Specific Regulatory Risk: As a major technology firm, META faces persistent and evolving pressures from global regulators concerning data privacy, antitrust laws, and content moderation, which could lead to substantial fines or operational constraints. 3. Investment and Competitive Risk: The company's low fixed asset turnover indicates heavy, ongoing investment in long-term infrastructure like the metaverse, which carries execution risk and exposes it to shifting competitive dynamics if these investments do not yield expected returns.

What is the price forecast for META in 2026?

Based on a forward-looking analysis, META's projected performance through 2026 is strong, contingent on the successful execution of its key growth drivers.

2026 Forecast for META: * Target Price Range: A base case target is $850-$950, with a bull case potentially exceeding $1,100, driven by accelerated AI and metaverse adoption. * Key Growth Drivers: The primary catalysts are the full monetization of AI-powered advertising and business messaging, significant efficiency gains from ongoing cost discipline, and early signs of a revenue inflection point for Reality Labs/XR hardware. * Main Assumptions: This forecast assumes a stable macroeconomic environment supporting digital ad spend, successful integration of AI across the family of apps, and no major adverse regulatory actions. * Uncertainty: The forecast is highly sensitive to the pace of AI ROI and the capital intensity of metaverse investments, which remain the largest variables.