Meta
META
$631.48
+4.70%
Meta Platforms is the world's largest social media company, operating the Family of Apps (Facebook, Instagram, Messenger, WhatsApp) and generating nearly all revenue from digital advertising. Its unparalleled user base of nearly 4 billion monthly active users gives it a dominant network effect and data advantage in the internet content and information industry. The current investor narrative centers on Meta's massive AI infrastructure investments, with recent news of a potential cloud business pivot to monetize excess computing capacity, while its core advertising business continues to accelerate with 23.8% YoY revenue growth in Q4 2025.…
META
Meta
$631.48
Related headlines
META 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Meta's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $820.92 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.
Average Target
$820.92
18 analysts
Implied Upside
+30.0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
18
covering this stock
Price Range
$505 - $821
Analyst target range
Meta is covered by 18 analysts, with the consensus leaning strongly bullish. The distribution includes 10 Buy/Overweight ratings, 2 Hold/Market Perform, and no Sell ratings, based on the institutional ratings data. The average analyst target price is not directly provided, but using the estimated EPS average of $53.38 and a forward PE of 15.8x implies a target price of approximately $843, representing 44.6% upside from the current price of $582.90. The consensus recommendation is a Buy, reflecting confidence in Meta's growth trajectory and AI monetization. The estimated EPS range spans from a low of $50.43 to a high of $56.34, implying a target price range of $797 to $890 based on the forward PE. The high target assumes continued acceleration in advertising revenue and successful monetization of AI investments, while the low target may factor in regulatory risks or slower-than-expected growth. The relatively tight spread between high and low estimates (about 12%) suggests analysts have high conviction in the near-term outlook. Recent ratings actions from major firms like Morgan Stanley (Overweight), Bernstein (Outperform), and Deutsche Bank (Buy) reinforce the bullish sentiment, with no downgrades observed in the latest data.
META Technical Analysis
Meta's 1-year price change of -18.3% reflects a significant downtrend from its 52-week high of $796.25, with the current price of $582.90 sitting at just 16.5% above the 52-week low of $520.26. This positioning near the lower end of the range suggests the stock is in a bearish phase, though it may also represent a value opportunity if fundamentals support a recovery. The stock has underperformed the S&P 500 by 37.4% over the past year, indicating pronounced relative weakness. Short-term momentum shows a mixed picture: the 1-month change of -2.5% is slightly negative, while the 3-month change of +1.5% is marginally positive, suggesting a potential stabilization after the steep decline. However, the 1-year trend remains decisively bearish, and the divergence between short-term flatness and long-term weakness could signal either a base-building phase or a pause before further downside. The 6-month change of -10.4% confirms the intermediate downtrend remains intact. Key support lies at the 52-week low of $520.26, a break below which would signal a continuation of the downtrend and potentially open the door to further losses. Resistance is at the 52-week high of $796.25; a breakout above this level would represent a major reversal and renewed bullish momentum. With a beta of 1.246, Meta is about 25% more volatile than the market, meaning it amplifies both upside and downside moves, which is critical for risk management.
Beta
1.25
1.25x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-33.5%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$520-$796
Price range past year
Annual Return
-13.8%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | META Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | +8.0% | +2.0% |
| 3m | +0.3% | +10.6% |
| 6m | -3.3% | +8.3% |
| 1y | -13.8% | +20.4% |
| ytd | -2.9% | +10.2% |
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META Fundamental Analysis
Meta's revenue trajectory is strongly accelerating, with Q4 2025 revenue of $59.9 billion growing 23.8% YoY, up from 19.3% YoY growth in Q4 2024. The Family of Apps segment contributed $58.9 billion, while Reality Labs remained a small drag at $955 million. Over the trailing twelve months, revenue reached $201.0 billion, with sequential acceleration from Q1 2025's 16.1% growth to Q4's 23.8%, indicating robust advertising demand driven by AI-enhanced targeting and Reels monetization. Profitability is exceptional, with Q4 2025 net income of $22.8 billion and a net margin of 38.0%, up from 34.5% in Q4 2024. Gross margin remains stable at 81.8%, while operating margin expanded to 41.3% from 37.9% a year ago, reflecting operating leverage as revenue growth outpaces cost increases. The company is solidly profitable with a trailing PE of 27.5x and a forward PE of 15.8x, suggesting significant earnings growth is expected. Meta's balance sheet is fortress-like, with a debt-to-equity ratio of just 0.39 and a current ratio of 2.60, indicating ample liquidity. Free cash flow for the trailing twelve months was $46.1 billion, representing a free cash flow yield of approximately 2.8% based on the current market cap. The company generated $36.2 billion in operating cash flow in Q4 2025 alone, more than covering its $21.4 billion in capital expenditures, with ROE of 27.8% demonstrating highly efficient capital allocation.
Quarterly Revenue
$59.9B
2025-12
Revenue YoY Growth
+23.79%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
81.79%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$46.1B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is META Overvalued?
Since Meta has positive net income of $22.8 billion, the primary valuation metric is the PE ratio. The trailing PE stands at 27.5x, while the forward PE is 15.8x, implying the market expects substantial earnings growth over the next year. The large gap between trailing and forward PE suggests analysts anticipate a sharp increase in EPS, likely driven by continued revenue growth and margin expansion. Compared to the Communication Services sector average PE of approximately 22x (based on industry data), Meta's trailing PE of 27.5x represents a 25% premium. However, its forward PE of 15.8x is at a 28% discount to the sector forward average of 22x, indicating that the market is pricing in above-average growth relative to peers. This premium is justified by Meta's superior net margin of 30.1% versus the sector average of around 15%, and its dominant market position. Historically, Meta's trailing PE has ranged from a low of 16.2x in Q4 2023 to a high of 170.6x in Q3 2025 (due to a one-time tax charge). The current trailing PE of 27.5x is near the lower end of its 5-year range, suggesting the stock is not overvalued relative to its own history. The price-to-book ratio of 7.7x is also below the 5-year average of around 8.5x, further supporting the view that valuation is reasonable.
PE
27.5x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Low-End
5-Year PE Range 16x~171x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
16.4x
Enterprise Value Multiple

