MTZ

MTZ

MasTec is an infrastructure construction company specializing in utility and energy projects.
It operates as a leading player positioned to benefit from national spending on grid modernization and renewable energy development.

$226.00 -0.07 (-0.03%)

Updated: January 14, 2026, 16:00 EST

Analyzed by Rockflow Bobby Quantitative Model āœ“ Updated Daily

Investment Opinion: Should I buy MTZ Today?

Based on the provided analysis, here is a comprehensive assessment of MasTec (MTZ).

Overall Analysis MTZ presents a compelling yet nuanced investment case. Fundamentally, the company is strong, demonstrating excellent recent revenue growth, expanding profit margins, and a healthy balance sheet with manageable debt. Operationally, it is highly efficient, particularly in inventory management. The most striking positive signal is the PEG ratio of 0.29, which suggests the stock is significantly undervalued relative to its earnings growth potential. However, this must be weighed against a premium valuation on other metrics and high share price volatility.

Risk Considerations The primary risk for MTZ is its high volatility, characterized by a beta of 1.9. This means the stock is likely to experience larger swings than the overall market, which is confirmed by its 34% maximum drawdown over the past year. While the company's core business is robust, investors must have the risk tolerance to endure significant short-term price fluctuations. The stock's current position near its 52-week high also suggests potential for a near-term pullback.

Buy Recommendation MasTec is a BUY for growth-oriented investors with a higher risk tolerance. The company's strong fundamental performance and highly attractive PEG ratio indicate substantial long-term growth potential that may justify its current premium. While the stock's high beta warrants caution and suggests a strategy of dollar-cost averaging, the underlying business strength and growth trajectory make it a worthwhile holding for those comfortable with market volatility. Investors should be prepared for a bumpy ride but are likely to be rewarded over the long term.

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MTZ 12-Month Price Forecast

RockFlow Model Forecast: Three Scenarios for 2026

Of course. Here is a 12-month outlook for MasTec (MTZ) based on the provided analysis.

12-Month Outlook for MTZ:

The outlook for MTZ is positive, driven by strong fundamental execution and exposure to high-growth infrastructure sectors like renewable energy and communications. Key catalysts include continued revenue growth and expanding profit margins, supported by federal spending programs like the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act. The primary risk is the stock's high volatility (beta of 1.9), which could lead to significant swings, especially from a potential pullback after trading near its 52-week high. With no specific analyst target provided, the exceptionally low PEG ratio of 0.29 suggests substantial upside potential, indicating the current price may not fully reflect its earnings growth trajectory over the next year.

Wall Street Consensus

Most Wall Street analysts are optimistic about MTZ's 12-month outlook, with consensus target around $226.00, indicating expected upside potential.

Average Target
$226.00
19 analysts
Implied Upside
+0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
19
covering this stock
Price Range
$181 - $294
Analyst target range
Buy Buy
17 (89%)
Hold Hold
2 (11%)
Sell Sell
0 (0%)

Bulls vs Bears: MTZ Investment Factors

Overall, MTZ has investment potential but also faces challenges. Here are key factors to weigh before investing.

Bullish Bullish
  • Consistent Earnings Beats: Historic trend of exceeding earnings estimates suggests strong operational performance.
  • Record High Backlog: $16.8 billion backlog provides substantial revenue visibility and future growth potential.
  • Strong Growth Momentum: A+ Growth rating with 60% forward EPS growth and 18% stock gain in 3 months.
  • Infrastructure Spending Tailwinds: Benefits from rising government and private investment in digital and power infrastructure.
Bearish Bearish
  • Government Policy Risk: Stock fell 7% on reports of potential new U.S. government regulations.
  • Recent Share Price Volatility: Significant single-day drops create investor uncertainty despite positive momentum.
  • High Valuation Concerns: Recent price strength prompts analysis of whether the stock is fully valued.
  • Competitive Market Pressure: Faces intense competition from peers like Dycom in the infrastructure space.
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MTZ Technical Analysis

Overall Assessment: MTZ has demonstrated strong outperformance relative to the market over the past three months despite recent short-term weakness, with significant upward momentum from its 52-week low.

Short-term Performance: The stock's 1-month decline of -2.95% contrasts with its solid 3-month gain of 7.61%, indicating recent profit-taking after substantial appreciation. Notably, MTZ has outperformed the market by 4.24% over this period, suggesting relative strength despite near-term volatility, though its high beta of 1.909 highlights above-average sensitivity to market swings.

Current Position: Trading near $226.07, MTZ sits in the upper quartile of its 52-week range ($99.70-$237.76), approximately 5% below its peak. While not severely overbought, the proximity to highs coupled with the maximum drawdown of -34.03% over the past year warrants caution for new entries, as the risk of pullbacks remains elevated given the stock's volatility profile.

šŸ“Š Beta
1.91
1.91x market volatility
šŸ“‰ Max Drawdown
-34.0%
Largest decline past year
šŸ“ˆ 52-Week Range
$100-$238
Price range past year
šŸ’¹ Annual Return
+47.2%
Cumulative gain past year
Period MTZ Return S&P 500
1m +2.3% +1.3%
3m +15.5% +5.7%
6m +33.5% +10.6%
1y +47.2% +16.5%
ytd -0.7% +1.1%

MTZ Fundamental Analysis

Of course. Here is a concise analysis of MTZ's fundamentals based on the provided data.

**1. Revenue & Profitability**

MTZ demonstrated strong revenue growth in Q3 2025, increasing by approximately 12% from the previous quarter to $3.97 billion. Profitability improved significantly, with the gross profit margin rising from 12.3% to 13.6% and the operating income margin doubling from 4.4% to 9.0%. This indicates effective cost control and stronger operational execution, translating to a net income margin of 4.0% for the quarter.

**2. Financial Health**

The company maintains a solid financial position with a healthy current ratio of 1.33 and a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.89, suggesting a balanced capital structure without excessive leverage. The interest coverage ratio of 7.85 is strong, indicating that operating profits are more than sufficient to cover interest expenses. Furthermore, the positive cash conversion cycle of 53 days shows the company efficiently manages its working capital.

**3. Operational Efficiency**

Operational efficiency is robust, as evidenced by a high inventory turnover ratio of 30.65, signaling very effective inventory management. The return on equity (ROE) of 5.16% and asset turnover of 0.41, while modest, are supported by the healthy profit margins. The high fixed asset turnover of 1.90 suggests the company is efficiently utilizing its asset base to generate sales.

Quarterly Revenue
$4.0B
2025-09
Revenue YoY Growth
+22.0%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
N/A%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$0.4B
Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

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Valuation Analysis: Is MTZ Overvalued?

MTZ's valuation presents a mixed outlook. While the forward PE ratio of 25.7 appears more reasonable than the trailing 49.9, the elevated PB ratio of 5.55 and very high EV/EBITDA of 74.2 suggest the market is pricing in significant growth expectations. However, the PEG ratio of 0.29, which is below 1, indicates the stock may be undervalued relative to its earnings growth potential.

Without specific industry averages for comparison, a definitive peer assessment is challenging. The analysis must rely on absolute valuation metrics, where the low PEG ratio is the most compelling positive signal amidst otherwise premium valuations. A comparison against concrete industry benchmarks would be necessary to determine its relative valuation positioning more accurately.

Current PE
50.4x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Mid-Range
5-Year PE Range -46Ɨ-1958Ɨ
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/AƗ
EV/EBITDA
52.7x
Enterprise Value Multiple

Investment Risk Disclosure

MTZ exhibits significant volatility risk, with a Beta of 1.909 indicating the stock is approximately 91% more volatile than the broader market. This heightened sensitivity is further evidenced by a substantial one-year maximum drawdown of -34.03%, reflecting considerable price erosion during recent downturns. Investors should be prepared for amplified price swings relative to market indices.

The absence of reported short interest suggests a lack of significant bearish sentiment from short sellers, which can be viewed as a positive indicator. However, this lack of data point should be interpreted cautiously, as it may indicate either strong consensus or simply limited trading activity; additional liquidity metrics would be required for a complete assessment. Other market and company-specific risks remain inherent.

FAQs

Is MTZ a good stock to buy?

Bullish. MTZ presents a compelling growth opportunity driven by its record $16.8 billion backlog, which provides strong revenue visibility, and its recent surge in profitability. While valuation metrics are elevated and the stock's high beta implies volatility, its low PEG ratio suggests it may still be reasonably priced for its earnings growth potential. This stock is best suited for growth-oriented investors with a tolerance for near-term price swings.

Is MTZ stock overvalued or undervalued?

Based on the provided data, MTZ stock appears **undervalued. The most compelling signal is the PEG ratio of 0.29, which is significantly below 1 and indicates the stock is undervalued relative to its earnings growth rate. This is supported by strong profitability and operational efficiency. However, the high trailing P/E (49.91) and Price-to-Book (5.55) ratios suggest premium expectations, but these are balanced by the improved margins and the more reasonable Forward P/E (25.73). The combination of robust fundamentals and a low PEG outweighs the premium on absolute valuation metrics.

What are the main risks of holding MTZ?

Based on the available information, the key risks of holding MTZ are:

1. Market Risk: The stock's high beta of 1.909 indicates it is subject to significantly amplified price volatility and larger declines than the broader market during downturns, as evidenced by its substantial 34.03% maximum drawdown. 2. Technical Risk: The stock is trading within 5% of its 52-week high, increasing the potential for a sharp pullback or profit-taking, a risk magnified by its established history of high volatility. 3. Growth Sustainability Risk: Despite strong recent profitability, the company's modest Return on Equity (ROE) of 5.16% suggests potential challenges in efficiently translating shareholder investments into high returns, which could limit long-term growth momentum.

What is the price forecast for MTZ in 2026?

Based on a comprehensive analysis of MTZ's fundamentals, industry position, and projected catalysts, here is a forecast for 2026.

MTZ Stock Forecast for 2026:

Our base case target price for 2026 is in the $280 - $320 range, while a bull case could see the stock reach $350+, driven by continued execution on major infrastructure projects. Key growth drivers include sustained federal spending from the Infrastructure Act, strong demand in renewable energy and 5G/communications build-outs, and further margin expansion from operational efficiency. The primary assumptions are that macroeconomic conditions support continued infrastructure investment and that MTZ maintains its competitive positioning without major project setbacks. This forecast is subject to significant uncertainty given the stock's high volatility and sensitivity to broader economic cycles, which could impact both revenue projections and valuation multiples.