NEM

Newmont Mining Corporation

$94.81

+1.73%
Jul 9, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Newmont Corporation is the world's largest gold miner, operating 11 mines and joint venture interests across the Americas, Africa, Australia, and Papua New Guinea, with significant byproduct production of copper, silver, zinc, and lead. As the industry leader by scale and reserves, Newmont distinguishes itself through a portfolio of long-life, low-cost assets and a disciplined capital allocation strategy following the transformative acquisitions of Goldcorp (2019) and Newcrest (2023). The current investor narrative centers on the stock's sharp decline in June 2026, driven by gold entering a bear market and rising cost pressures, which has sparked debate about whether the pullback represents a value opportunity given the company's strong cash flows and net cash position, or if further downside risks from a deteriorating gold price outlook persist.

People also watch

Royal Gold

Royal Gold

RGLD

Analysis
Coeur Mining

Coeur Mining

CDE

Analysis
SSR Mining

SSR Mining

SSRM

Analysis
Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation Class A Common Stock

Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation Class A Common Stock

HYMC

Analysis
Southern Copper Corporation

Southern Copper Corporation

SCCO

Analysis

NEM 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $94.81
Average Target $94.81
High Target $109.03
Low Target $80.59

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Newmont Mining Corporation's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $123.25 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$123.25

15 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

15

covering this stock

Price Range

$76 - $123

Analyst target range

Buy
4 (27%)
Hold
7 (47%)
Sell
4 (27%)

Newmont is covered by 15 analysts, with a consensus leaning bullish based on recent ratings: UBS, Citigroup, and B of A Securities have Buy ratings, while Scotiabank rates it Sector Outperform. The average EPS estimate for the current fiscal year is $10.69, with a range of $9.57 to $12.60, implying strong earnings growth from the trailing twelve months. The average revenue estimate is $24.66 billion, with a range of $22.67 billion to $28.04 billion, suggesting analysts expect revenue growth of approximately 17% from 2025 levels.

Drowning in data?

Find the real signal!

NEM Technical Analysis

Newmont's 1-year price change of +61.6% reflects a sustained uptrend from its 52-week low of $55.37, but the stock has corrected sharply from its 52-week high of $134.88, currently trading at $97.04, or 72% of the 52-week range. This positioning near the lower end of the range suggests the stock is in a corrective phase, potentially offering a value entry if the long-term uptrend resumes, but also risks further downside if gold prices continue to weaken. The 1-year relative strength of +42.5% versus the S&P 500 indicates significant outperformance over the long term, but the recent pullback has eroded much of that gain.

Beta

0.48

0.48x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-29.7%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$55-$135

Price range past year

Annual Return

+61.4%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodNEM ReturnS&P 500
1m-3.8%+2.0%
3m-21.6%+10.6%
6m-13.0%+8.3%
1y+61.4%+20.4%
ytd-6.3%+10.2%

Bobby - Your AI Investment Partner

Get real-time data, AI-driven personalized investment analysis to make smarter investment decisions

NEM Fundamental Analysis

Newmont's revenue trajectory has been robust, with Q4 2025 revenue of $6.571 billion representing 14.8% year-over-year growth, and full-year 2025 revenue of $21.1 billion (sum of quarterly revenues) reflecting strong gold prices and contributions from the Newcrest acquisition. However, the company guided for lower production in 2026 at roughly 5.3 million ounces, and rising costs are pressuring margins. Gross margin improved to 58.8% in Q4 2025 from 44.7% in Q4 2024, but net income of $1.301 billion in Q4 2025 was down from $1.832 billion in Q3 2025, indicating sequential pressure. The net margin of 19.8% in Q4 2025 is healthy but below the 34.1% in Q3 2025, reflecting higher taxes and costs.

Quarterly Revenue

$6.6B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+14.80%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

58.76%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$10.3B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Gold Dore
Sales From Concentrate And Other Production

Open an Account, get $2 TSLA now!

Valuation Analysis: Is NEM Overvalued?

Given Newmont's positive net income, the trailing P/E of 15.6x is the primary valuation metric, while the forward P/E of 8.6x implies the market expects significant earnings growth. The gap between trailing and forward P/E suggests the market is pricing in a sharp earnings recovery, likely driven by cost savings from the Newcrest acquisition and stable gold prices. The PEG ratio of 0.13x indicates the stock is undervalued relative to its expected earnings growth, but this low PEG may reflect low growth expectations or cyclical earnings volatility.

PE

15.6x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range -268x~3615x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

7.3x

Enterprise Value Multiple