NSC

Norfolk Southern Corp.

$287.00

+1.65%
Apr 1, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Norfolk Southern Corp. is a Class I railroad operating in the Eastern United States, hauling shipments of coal, intermodal traffic, and various industrial products. It is a major freight rail carrier with a vast network, positioning it as a critical infrastructure player in the North American supply chain.

People also watch

Union Pacific Corp.

Union Pacific Corp.

UNP

Analysis
CSX Corporation

CSX Corporation

CSX

Analysis
Wabtec Inc.

Wabtec Inc.

WAB

Analysis
Caterpillar Inc.

Caterpillar Inc.

CAT

Analysis
GE Aerospace

GE Aerospace

GE

Analysis

NSC 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $287
Average Target $287
High Target $330.04999999999995
Low Target $243.95

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Norfolk Southern Corp.'s 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $373.10 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$373.10

6 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

6

covering this stock

Price Range

$230 - $373

Analyst target range

Buy
1 (17%)
Hold
3 (50%)
Sell
2 (33%)

Wall Street analyst coverage consists of 6 analysts providing estimates. The consensus estimates for the company are an average EPS of $17.78 and average revenue of $15.26 billion. Recent institutional ratings from firms like Barclays (Overweight), Citigroup (Neutral), and RBC Capital (Sector Perform) indicate a mixed but generally neutral-to-positive view. A specific consensus target price was not provided in the data.

Drowning in data?

Find the real signal!

NSC Technical Analysis

The stock's overall trend over the past six months has been volatile, declining approximately 5.5% from $298.68 on October 1, 2025, to $282.33 on March 30, 2026. The price experienced a significant rally in February 2026, peaking near $317, but has since retreated sharply. Short-term performance shows significant weakness, with the stock down 10.3% over the past month and 2.7% over the past three months. This recent decline contrasts with a strong relative performance against the S&P 500, as indicated by a positive 3-month relative strength of 4.64. The current price of $282.33 sits approximately 11.8% below its 52-week high of $319.94 and is 40% above its 52-week low of $201.63, placing it in the upper-mid range of its yearly trading band. No RSI data was provided for further momentum analysis.

Beta

1.30

1.30x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-16.0%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$202-$320

Price range past year

Annual Return

+21.2%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodNSC ReturnS&P 500
1m-8.8%-5.3%
3m-0.6%-4.6%
6m-3.8%-2.8%
1y+21.2%+15.9%
ytd-0.3%-4.6%

Bobby - Your AI Investment Partner

Get real-time data, AI-driven personalized investment analysis to make smarter investment decisions

NSC Fundamental Analysis

Revenue in Q4 2025 was $2.97 billion, showing a slight year-over-year decline of 1.65% from Q4 2024. Profitability remains healthy with a net margin of 23.6% for the quarter, though quarterly net income of $644 million was down from $711 million in Q3 2025 and $733 million in Q4 2024. Financial health shows a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.10, indicating a leveraged but manageable capital structure for a capital-intensive railroad. The company generated strong operating cash flow of $1.06 billion in Q4 2025 and has a trailing twelve-month free cash flow of $4.36 billion. Operational efficiency is solid, with a Return on Equity (ROE) of 18.5% and a Return on Assets (ROA) of 5.9%. The current ratio of 0.85 suggests a relatively tight liquidity position, which is common for railroads due to their business model.

Quarterly Revenue

$3.0B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

-0.01%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.70%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$4.4B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Open an Account, get $2 TSLA now!

Valuation Analysis: Is NSC Overvalued?

Given the company's positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio. The trailing P/E ratio is 22.6, while the forward P/E is 20.9, based on the provided data. This suggests the market is pricing in moderate future earnings growth. Peer comparison data for industry averages was not provided in the valuation inputs. Therefore, an assessment of whether the P/E multiple is high or low relative to the railroad industry cannot be made with the available information.

PE

22.6x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range 13x~268x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

13.8x

Enterprise Value Multiple

Investment Risk Disclosure