The GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF (NVDL) is an exchange-traded fund that provides leveraged exposure to Nvidia Corporation's daily stock performance.
It is designed for traders seeking amplified returns from Nvidia's price movements within a single trading day, carrying significant risk.
Updated: January 14, 2026, 16:00 EST
Based on the provided analysis, NVDL presents significant challenges for a typical investment evaluation. The extreme volatility, with a beta near 4, indicates this is a highly speculative instrument prone to dramatic swings, as evidenced by its substantial drawdowns. Critically, there is no fundamental or valuation data available, preventing any assessment of the company's financial health, profitability, or intrinsic worth. This absence of foundational information suggests the security operates more like a leveraged bet rather than an investment in an underlying business.
Recommendation: Not a Buy. The complete lack of fundamental data makes it impossible to determine if there is a viable business supporting the stock price. While the potential for high returns exists due to its leveraged nature, this comes with an extreme risk of severe capital loss, making it unsuitable for most investors seeking a prudent, long-term investment. This appears to be a speculative tool for tactical trades, not a core holding for a portfolio.
Based on the analysis, the 12-month outlook for NVDL is exceptionally volatile and tied directly to the performance of its underlying assets rather than traditional business fundamentals.
* Key Catalysts: The primary upside catalyst is a sustained, strong bull market in its underlying holdings, which could produce outsized leveraged returns. Positive news or earnings from the companies it tracks would indirectly serve as a positive catalyst. * Potential Risks: The risks are extreme and include the high likelihood of significant capital loss during any period of market volatility, consolidation, or decline. The absence of fundamental data means the price is driven purely by sentiment and momentum, making it highly susceptible to sharp reversals. This instrument is designed for short-term trading and will likely decay in value over time in a non-trending market. * Target Price Range: Due to its nature as a leveraged product, there is no traditional analyst target price. Its price is a function of daily leverage and is not suitable for a 12-month price target. Investors should focus on risk management rather than a specific price objective.
Most Wall Street analysts are optimistic about NVDL's 12-month outlook, with consensus target around $84.49, indicating expected upside potential.
Overall, NVDL has investment potential but also faces challenges. Here are key factors to weigh before investing.
NVDL has delivered exceptionally strong annual returns but with extreme volatility, significantly underperforming the market over the recent quarter. The stock demonstrates highly leveraged characteristics relative to the broader market, as evidenced by its substantial beta.
The stock posted a modest 1-month gain but a significant 3-month loss of 12.45%, significantly underperforming the market, which it trailed by 15.82% over that period. This recent weakness contrasts sharply with the stock's impressive run-up from its 52-week low.
Currently trading near the middle of its 52-week range, NVDL is in a neutral position relative to its recent extremes, suggesting it is neither clearly overbought nor oversold. The stock's extreme volatility and high beta indicate it remains a high-risk proposition despite being away from its cyclical peaks and troughs.
| Period | NVDL Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | +7.9% | +1.3% |
| 3m | -5.7% | +5.7% |
| 6m | +13.4% | +10.6% |
| 1y | +25.7% | +16.5% |
| ytd | -6.2% | +1.1% |
Based on the lack of available data, a comprehensive fundamental analysis of NVDL cannot be performed at this time.
The absence of a recent quarterly report and financial ratios prevents any assessment of revenue growth, profitability, or cash flow trends. Without this foundational financial data, it is impossible to evaluate the company's operational health or financial stability.
A meaningful analysis would require access to the company's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and statement of cash flows. Until such information becomes available, no conclusions can be drawn regarding NVDL's fundamental condition.
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Try Now & Get Tesla Stock RewardBased on the provided data, a standard quantitative valuation analysis for NVDL is not currently feasible. All key valuation metrics—including PE, PB, and PS ratios—are unavailable, making it impossible to determine if the stock is overvalued or undervalued using these traditional methods. This absence of fundamental data typically suggests the company may be in a pre-revenue stage or experiencing significant operational circumstances that prevent standard ratio calculation.
Similarly, a peer comparison cannot be performed as industry average data is also not available. Without benchmarks for the company's sector, assessing its relative valuation or competitive positioning is not possible. Investors would need to rely on alternative analysis, such as assessing the company's business model, future growth prospects, or management quality, to form an investment opinion.
Volatility risk is exceptionally high, as evidenced by the Beta of 3.95, which indicates the stock is nearly four times more volatile than the broader market. This is further confirmed by the extreme maximum drawdown of -64.52% over the past year, highlighting the potential for severe capital loss during market downturns.
Other risks appear less pronounced, with a short interest of "None" suggesting minimal speculative downside pressure from bearish investors. However, the high-volatility nature inherently carries liquidity risks, as rapid price swings can lead to wide bid-ask spreads and challenging execution prices for large orders.
Bearish for most investors. NVDL is not a stock but a highly leveraged ETF carrying extreme risk (Beta of 3.95) and is entirely dependent on NVDA's short-term price movements, making it unsuitable for a buy-and-hold strategy. Its recent 3-month underperformance highlights the dangers of volatility decay and amplified losses. This instrument is only suitable for sophisticated, short-term tactical traders who can actively monitor the market and tolerate significant risk.
Based on the provided data, a valuation judgment for NVDL cannot be made. All key valuation metrics (P/E, P/B, P/S) are unavailable, preventing a comparison with industry averages or historical levels. The absence of standard financial data suggests the company is either in an early development stage or its financial reporting is not current. Any investment decision would necessitate access to the company's financial statements and require a fundamentally different, qualitative analysis of its business model and prospects.
Based on the available information, here are the key risks of holding NVDL:
1. Extreme Volatility Risk: The stock's exceptionally high beta of 3.95 makes it nearly four times more volatile than the broader market, exposing investors to a severe risk of capital loss, as evidenced by its maximum drawdown of -64.52%. 2. Market Leverage Risk: Its leveraged characteristics mean the stock is prone to amplified losses during market downturns, as demonstrated by its significant underperformance (-12.45%) against the market over the recent quarter. 3. Liquidity and Execution Risk: The inherent high volatility can lead to wide bid-ask spreads and challenging trade execution, especially for large orders, potentially increasing transaction costs.
Based on the provided information, a traditional stock forecast for NVDL in 2026 is not feasible. As a leveraged ETF, its price is a mathematical function of the daily performance of the underlying index and is subject to significant decay over longer periods, especially in volatile or flat markets.
* Target Price Range: Providing a specific 2026 target is inappropriate for this instrument. Its value could theoretically be substantially higher in a sustained bull market but could also approach zero in a prolonged downturn or high-volatility environment. * Key Growth Drivers: Performance is driven solely by 1) the benchmark index's returns and 2) the efficacy of daily leverage resetting, which works against long-term holding. * Main Assumptions: Any forecast would assume a specific path for the underlying index, including its volatility; NVDL is designed for short-term trading, making multi-year projections unreliable. * Forecast Uncertainty: The forecast uncertainty is exceptionally high, and this product is not intended for a multi-year buy-and-hold strategy.