PATH

UiPath

$9.47

-5.39%
May 13, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
UiPath, Inc. is a leading provider of an end-to-end enterprise automation platform, operating in the Software - Infrastructure industry. The company is a recognized pioneer and market leader in Robotic Process Automation (RPA), leveraging computer vision, AI, and API integrations to automate repetitive tasks across diverse sectors like finance, HR, and customer service. The current investor narrative is sharply divided between the existential threat posed by generative AI to its core RPA business and the significant opportunity for UiPath to evolve into a leader in the emerging 'agentic AI' orchestration market, with recent news highlighting this strategic pivot and its potential to redefine the company's long-term growth trajectory.

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PATH 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $9.47
Average Target $9.47
High Target $10.8905
Low Target $8.0495

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on UiPath's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $12.31 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$12.31

5 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

5

covering this stock

Price Range

$8 - $12

Analyst target range

Buy
1 (20%)
Hold
2 (40%)
Sell
2 (40%)

Analyst coverage for UiPath appears limited, with only 5 analysts providing estimates for revenue and EPS, and the institutional ratings data shows a pattern of reaffirmed neutral-to-hold stances from major firms in March 2026, with no recent upgrades or downgrades. The consensus sentiment is neutral, as evidenced by actions like 'Market Perform', 'Equal Weight', 'Hold', and 'Neutral' from firms including BMO Capital, Morgan Stanley, and Wells Fargo, though there is one 'Buy' (Canaccord Genuity) and one 'Underperform' (B of A Securities). Insufficient detailed analyst coverage (e.g., average target price, high/low targets) is available in the provided data to calculate a precise implied upside or a full target range. This limited coverage, despite the company's $6.8 billion market cap, suggests it may not be a core institutional holding, which can contribute to higher volatility and less efficient price discovery as the market grapples with the competing narratives of AI disruption versus AI-enabled transformation.

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PATH Technical Analysis

The prevailing price trend is a pronounced and sustained downtrend, with the stock down 32.72% over the last six months and 10.19% over the past year. The current price of $10.67 sits near the bottom of its 52-week range, approximately 10% above the 52-week low of $9.28 and 46% below the high of $19.84, indicating the stock is deeply oversold and trading at levels that may represent a value opportunity, though the persistent downtrend suggests it could still be a 'falling knife'. Recent short-term momentum shows continued weakness, with the stock down 15.25% over the last three months and 3.18% over the past month, a deceleration in the rate of decline but still significantly underperforming the S&P 500, which was up 4.14% and 9.98% over the same periods, respectively. This divergence from the broader market's strength underscores persistent, company-specific concerns. Key technical support is firmly established at the 52-week low of $9.28, while resistance lies at the 52-week high of $19.84. A breakdown below $9.28 would signal a new phase of capitulation, whereas a sustained move above the recent downtrend line would be needed for a recovery thesis. With a beta of 1.025, the stock's volatility is roughly in line with the market, but its severe 51.37% maximum drawdown highlights the extreme downside risk that has materialized.

Beta

0.91

0.91x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-51.4%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$9-$20

Price range past year

Annual Return

-28.6%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodPATH ReturnS&P 500
1m-6.4%+8.2%
3m-15.3%+9.0%
6m-32.5%+10.5%
1y-28.6%+26.5%
ytd-40.4%+8.9%

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PATH Fundamental Analysis

UiPath's revenue trajectory shows healthy growth, with Q4 FY2026 revenue of $481.1 million representing a 13.56% year-over-year increase. However, growth has decelerated from the prior-year Q4's $423.6 million, and segment data reveals the business is heavily reliant on Subscription Services ($251.2M) and License revenue ($215.9M), with Professional Services being a minor contributor ($31.6M). The company has achieved profitability, posting net income of $104.5 million in its most recent quarter, a significant improvement from a net loss of $22.6 million in Q1 FY2026. Gross margins remain stellar at 84.88%, consistent with the software industry, but operating margins are thin at 16.68%, indicating high sales and R&D expenses. The balance sheet and cash flow position are strong, with robust free cash flow of $352.2 million on a TTM basis, a healthy current ratio of 2.48, and a minimal debt-to-equity ratio of 0.034. The company's ROE of 13.56% and ROA of 1.27% indicate it is generating positive returns on capital, and its substantial cash generation provides ample internal funding for growth and strategic investments without reliance on external financing.

Quarterly Revenue

$481107000.0B

2026-01

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.13%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.84%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$352160000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

License
Professional Services and Other
Subscription Services

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Valuation Analysis: Is PATH Overvalued?

Given the company's positive net income, the primary valuation metric selected is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. The trailing PE ratio is 24.0x, while the forward PE is significantly lower at 11.9x, indicating the market expects a substantial near-term earnings acceleration, likely driven by the consensus EPS estimate of $0.97 for the coming period. Compared to industry averages, the trailing PE of 24.0x is difficult to contextualize without a specific sector benchmark, but the forward multiple of 11.9x appears reasonable for a profitable software company. The stock's Price-to-Sales ratio of 4.2x and EV-to-Sales of 2.5x offer additional cross-checks, suggesting the market is valuing the company at a moderate sales multiple. Historically, the current trailing PE of 24.0x is below the stock's own historical range seen in recent quarters, which has fluctuated wildly from negative values during loss-making periods to as high as 994x during low-profit quarters. Trading near the lower end of its own historical valuation band suggests the market is pricing in significant pessimism or a normalization of earnings, presenting a potential value opportunity if the company's fundamentals stabilize or improve.

PE

24.0x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range -163x~994x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

76.7x

Enterprise Value Multiple