PLTD

PLTD

Direxion Daily PLTR Bear 1X Shares (PLTD) is an exchange-traded fund (ETF) offering inverse exposure to PLTR stock.
It is designed as a tool for traders seeking to profit from or hedge against daily declines in the share price of Palantir Technologies.

$6.53 +0.02 (+0.31%)

Updated: January 14, 2026, 16:00 EST

Analyzed by Rockflow Bobby Quantitative Model ✓ Updated Daily

Investment Opinion: Should I buy PLTD Today?

Based on the provided analysis, here is a comprehensive breakdown of whether PLTD is worth buying.

Technical Outlook The stock is in a deeply oversold state, trading near its 52-week low after a severe decline. While a recent one-month price uptick suggests potential stabilization, it has consistently underperformed the broader market, indicating weak underlying momentum. The technical picture points to high risk with a possibility of a bounce, but without a clear catalyst for a sustained recovery.

Fundamental & Valuation Uncertainty A critical concern is the complete lack of available fundamental data regarding PLTD's revenue, profitability, and financial health. This absence of information makes it impossible to evaluate the company's operational performance or intrinsic value. Without these essentials, any assessment is speculative, and the investment case relies entirely on market sentiment rather than business fundamentals.

Risk Assessment The risk profile is exceptionally high. The stock has demonstrated extreme volatility with a massive drawdown, and the lack of trading data suggests potential illiquidity. This combination makes it difficult to enter or exit positions and exposes investors to the possibility of further sharp declines.

Buy Recommendation

Based on this analysis, PLTD is not recommended for purchase at this time. The complete absence of fundamental data creates an unacceptable level of uncertainty, making it impossible to determine if the current price represents a fair value or a value trap. While the stock is technically oversold, the extreme volatility and illiquidity present substantial risks that outweigh the potential for a short-term bounce. Investors should prioritize opportunities with transparent financials and a clearer growth trajectory.

*Note: This is not investment advice, for reference only.*

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PLTD 12-Month Price Forecast

RockFlow Model Forecast: Three Scenarios for 2026

Based on the comprehensive analysis provided, here is a 12-month outlook for PLTD:

12-Month Outlook for PLTD

The outlook for PLTD over the next 12 months is highly speculative and leans negative, contingent entirely on unpredictable market sentiment due to a complete lack of fundamental catalysts. The primary potential upside catalyst would be a speculative short-term bounce from technically oversold conditions, but the absence of financial data, news, or a clear business narrative provides no foundation for a sustained recovery. Key risks dominate the outlook and include extreme price volatility, significant illiquidity making entry/exit difficult, and the substantial danger of a value trap or further declines in the absence of any positive operational developments. Given the extreme uncertainty and high risk, a specific target price range cannot be reasonably established, and the stock is best avoided by all but the most speculative investors.

Wall Street Consensus

Most Wall Street analysts are optimistic about PLTD's 12-month outlook, with consensus target around $6.53, indicating expected upside potential.

Average Target
$6.53
0 analysts
Implied Upside
+0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
0
covering this stock
Price Range
$5 - $8
Analyst target range
Buy Buy
0 (0%)
Hold Hold
0 (0%)
Sell Sell
0 (0%)

Bulls vs Bears: PLTD Investment Factors

Overall, PLTD has investment potential but also faces challenges. Here are key factors to weigh before investing.

Bullish Bullish
  • Citi Upgrade on 2026 Outlook: Citi upgraded PLTR to buy based on bullish 2026 revenue expectations.
  • Increasing Big Data Demand: Growing demand for big data services benefits industry leader Palantir.
  • Defense Industry Exposure: Palantir positioned to benefit from defense sector volatility and opportunities.
  • Strong Historical Performance: Outperformed S&P 500 and Nasdaq for three consecutive years through 2025.
  • Positive Market Reaction to Economic Data: Stock jumped on cooler inflation data suggesting favorable macroeconomic conditions.
Bearish Bearish
  • Cathie Wood's Significant Selling: ARK sold $10 million worth of PLTR stock, indicating institutional skepticism.
  • Recent Price Decline: Stock sank 5.56% in recent session despite broader market gains.
  • Valuation Concerns: Current stock valuation poses risks despite strong growth and deals.
  • Market Volatility Impact: Defense sector volatility creates uncertainty for near-term performance.
  • Competitive Pressures: Rapid growth must be sustained against increasing competition in data analytics.
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PLTD Technical Analysis

Of course. Here is the technical analysis of PLTD's price performance.

Overall Assessment PLTD has demonstrated significant volatility over the past year, but recent short-term momentum has shifted to mildly positive, suggesting a potential stabilization after a period of substantial decline.

Short-term Performance The stock shows conflicting short-term signals, with a positive 1-month gain of 3.01% contrasting with a negative 3-month return of -1.66%. However, the key metric is its relative strength, as PLTD has underperformed the broader market by over 5% in the last three months, indicating weak momentum compared to the overall market trend despite the recent monthly uptick.

Current Position Trading at $6.51, PLTD is positioned near the lower end of its 52-week range ($5.87 to $26.53), sitting approximately 10% above its annual low. This proximity to the low, combined with a maximum drawdown of -77.59% over the past year, strongly suggests the stock is in an oversold condition, though this does not inherently imply an imminent reversal.

📊 Beta
1.00
1.00x market volatility
📉 Max Drawdown
-76.8%
Largest decline past year
📈 52-Week Range
$6-$26
Price range past year
💹 Annual Return
-74.2%
Cumulative gain past year
Period PLTD Return S&P 500
1m +1.1% +1.3%
3m -6.5% +5.7%
6m -26.6% +10.6%
1y -74.2% +16.5%
ytd -6.2% +1.1%

PLTD Fundamental Analysis

Of course. Since no specific financial data for PLTD is available in the query, I will provide a template analysis based on standard fundamental analysis principles, highlighting the critical areas an analyst would examine once data is obtained.

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1. Revenue & Profitability An analysis cannot be performed due to the absence of revenue and profitability data. To assess performance, data on quarterly/year-over-year revenue growth, gross profit margin, and net profit margin trends are essential. Without these figures, it is impossible to determine if the company is growing, maintaining profitability, or facing operational challenges.

2. Financial Health The lack of available data on debt levels, equity, and cash flow statements prevents any assessment of PLTD's financial health. A proper evaluation requires examining leverage ratios (debt-to-equity) and liquidity metrics (current ratio) to gauge solvency risk, as well as reviewing operating and free cash flow to understand the company's ability to fund operations and service obligations.

3. Operational Efficiency Without access to key metrics like Return on Equity (ROE) or asset turnover ratios, an analysis of operational efficiency cannot be conducted. These ratios are critical for determining how effectively management is utilizing shareholder equity and company assets to generate profits. The absence of this data constitutes a significant informational gap.

Quarterly Revenue
N/A
Latest Quarter
Revenue YoY Growth
N/A
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
N/A%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
N/A
Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

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Valuation Analysis: Is PLTD Overvalued?

Based on the limited data provided, PLTD's valuation cannot be properly assessed. All key valuation metrics—including PE, PB, PS, and EV/EBITDA—are unavailable, leaving insufficient information to determine an overvalued or undervalued status or to compare against industry peers. A thorough valuation analysis requires this fundamental data concerning the company’s earnings, book value, and sales relative to its market price.

Without comparative industry average data for key metrics, any peer comparison would be purely speculative. To conduct a meaningful valuation analysis, obtaining the company's current financial ratios and relevant industry benchmark data is essential. Until this data is available, forming a definitive conclusion on PLTD's valuation standing is not possible.

Current PE
N/Ax
TTM
vs. Historical
N/A
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A×
EV/EBITDA
N/Ax
Enterprise Value Multiple

Investment Risk Disclosure

Volatility risk appears severe despite the inability to calculate a Beta, as evidenced by the extreme maximum drawdown of -77.59% over the past year. This indicates the stock has experienced dramatic price declines, which implies exceptionally high volatility and significant capital loss potential for investors.

Other risks are noteworthy due to the complete absence of both Beta and short interest data; this suggests extremely low trading volume and a potential lack of market liquidity. The combination of illiquidity and the demonstrated price instability creates a challenging environment for executing trades and managing position sizes effectively.

FAQs

Is PLTD a good stock to buy?

Based on the provided analysis, my stance is bearish.

1. Severe Price Decline & Oversold Condition: The stock is down approximately 78% over the past year and trades near its 52-week low. While this suggests it is oversold, it primarily reflects a severe and sustained lack of market confidence. 2. Critical Lack of Fundamental Data: The analysis highlights a complete absence of revenue, profitability, and valuation metrics. Investing without this foundational data is highly speculative. 3. High Risk Profile: The extreme volatility and drawdown, coupled with potential liquidity issues, make it a very high-risk proposition.

This stock may only be suitable for high-risk speculators with a high tolerance for potential loss who are betting on a technical rebound. It is not appropriate for long-term, value, or conservative investors due to the lack of verifiable financial health and the demonstrated price instability.

Is PLTD stock overvalued or undervalued?

Based on the limited data provided, it is impossible to determine if PLTD stock is overvalued or undervalued. All key valuation metrics (PE, PB, and PS ratios) are unavailable, making any comparison to industry averages or historical levels impossible. Without fundamental data on earnings, book value, or sales relative to its market price, a valuation assessment is purely speculative. A definitive conclusion requires obtaining the company's current financial statements and relevant industry benchmark data.

What are the main risks of holding PLTD?

Based on the provided information, here are the key risks of holding PLTD:

1. Severe Price Volatility and Capital Loss Risk: The stock exhibits extreme volatility, evidenced by a catastrophic maximum drawdown of -77.59% over the past year, posing a severe risk of significant capital depreciation. 2. Extreme Market Illiquidity Risk: The complete absence of Beta and short interest data points to exceptionally low trading volume, which can lead to wide bid-ask spreads and difficulty entering or exiting a position without adversely affecting the price. 3. Operational and Financial Opaqueness Risk: The total lack of available fundamental data on revenue, profitability, debt, and cash flows makes it impossible to assess the company's underlying business health, representing a fundamental informational black hole for investors.

What is the price forecast for PLTD in 2026?

Of course. Here is a professional investment forecast for PLTD stock through 2026.

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PLTD Stock Forecast (2026 Outlook)

1. Target Price Range * Base Case (2026): $4.00 - $6.00 * Bull Case (2026): $8.00 - $10.00

2. Key Growth Drivers Based on the available information, potential drivers are highly speculative but would likely include: * Speculative Momentum: A significant, broad-market rally in micro-cap or highly speculative stocks could attract short-term traders, providing a temporary price boost unrelated to fundamentals. * Corporate Action: An unexpected announcement, such as a reverse stock split to regain exchange compliance or a merger/acquisition attempt, could catalyze a re-rating. * Sector-Wide Catalyst: A major, unforeseen development affecting the entire sector of similarly sized and traded companies could create a rising tide that lifts PLTD.

3. Primary Assumptions This forecast is based on the critical assumptions that: * The company's fundamental situation (lack of revenue, profitability, and news) remains unchanged. * The stock continues to suffer from extreme illiquidity and high volatility. * No material positive operational or financial developments occur.

4. Uncertainty Statement This forecast carries an exceptionally high degree of uncertainty. The complete absence of fundamental data, analyst coverage, and a clear business narrative makes this projection highly speculative. The actual price could deviate significantly from these ranges, including the possibility of the stock becoming delisted or worthless.

5. Summary Outlook The forecast for PLTD through 2026 is fundamentally challenged. The base case anticipates a continuation of the current trend, with prices likely to drift lower or remain stagnant due to a lack of catalysts. The bull case is contingent entirely on unpredictable speculative fervor or a corporate event, not on operational improvement. The overwhelming risk profile suggests the stock is unsuitable for most investors.