PWR

Quanta Services

$646.70

-1.80%
Jul 13, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Quanta Services is a leading specialty contractor providing comprehensive infrastructure solutions for electric and gas utilities, communications, pipeline, and energy industries across the U.S., Canada, and Australia. As a market leader in the Engineering & Construction sector, Quanta distinguishes itself through its scale and expertise in complex infrastructure projects, particularly in electric power and underground utility segments. The current investor narrative centers on Quanta's record backlog approaching $50 billion, driven by unprecedented demand from grid modernization, electrification, and AI-related data center construction, which has fueled a 73% stock price surge over the past year. Debate persists around whether the stock's valuation already reflects this growth trajectory, with some analysts cautioning that expectations may be priced in.

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PWR 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $646.70
Average Target $646.70
High Target $743.71
Low Target $549.70

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Quanta Services's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $840.71 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$840.71

13 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

13

covering this stock

Price Range

$517 - $841

Analyst target range

Buy
3 (23%)
Hold
6 (46%)
Sell
4 (31%)

Quanta Services is covered by 13 analysts, with a consensus leaning bullish: the distribution includes 7 Buy/Outperform ratings, 4 Neutral/Hold, and 2 Sell/Underperform, based on the institutional ratings data. The average analyst target price is not explicitly provided, but using the estimated EPS average of $26.24 and a forward PE of 40x implies a target of ~$1,050, representing 59% upside from the current price of $658.56. However, this is a rough estimate; actual targets may vary. The consensus recommendation is a Buy, reflecting strong conviction in the company's growth trajectory. The target range, inferred from estimated EPS low ($24.55) and high ($28.14), suggests a price range of approximately $982 to $1,126, implying a wide spread of about 15%. The high target assumes continued margin expansion and revenue acceleration from AI and grid modernization, while the low target prices in potential project delays or margin compression. Recent analyst actions show upgrades: BMO Capital raised to Outperform from Market Perform in March 2026, and multiple firms maintained Buy ratings after Q4 earnings. The wide target spread indicates high uncertainty around the pace of growth, but the overall bullish sentiment underscores the market's belief in Quanta's multi-year growth story.

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PWR Technical Analysis

Quanta Services is in a powerful long-term uptrend, with the stock up 73.3% over the past year, dramatically outperforming the S&P 500's 20.6% gain. The current price of $658.56 sits at 83.5% of its 52-week range ($363.01–$788.75), indicating the stock is trading near the upper end of its range, which typically reflects strong momentum but also raises caution about potential overextension. The stock's beta of 1.215 suggests it is 21.5% more volatile than the market, amplifying both upside and downside moves. Short-term momentum shows a mixed picture: the 1-month change is +1.2%, while the 3-month change is +12.5%, indicating a deceleration from the blistering pace earlier in the year. The 1-month relative strength versus the S&P 500 is -2.9%, meaning the stock has underperformed the market in the last month, which could signal a pause or consolidation after the strong run. This divergence between the short-term weakness and the long-term uptrend may indicate a healthy pullback rather than a trend reversal, but traders should watch for a break below the 50-day moving average (around $700) for confirmation. Key support lies at the 52-week low of $363.01, though a more immediate floor is near the June low of $650.92. Resistance is at the 52-week high of $788.75, a breakout above which would signal a resumption of the uptrend and likely attract momentum buyers. Conversely, a breakdown below $650 could trigger further selling, especially given the elevated short ratio of 3.35 days to cover, which could amplify downside moves.

Beta

1.22

1.22x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-17.6%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$363-$789

Price range past year

Annual Return

+68.5%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodPWR ReturnS&P 500
1m-8.6%+1.0%
3m+8.8%+7.9%
6m+48.0%+8.5%
1y+68.5%+20.1%
ytd+47.1%+9.9%

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PWR Fundamental Analysis

Quanta's revenue trajectory is robustly growing, with Q4 2025 revenue of $7.84 billion representing 19.6% year-over-year growth, accelerating from the 15.9% growth in Q4 2024. The company's two segments—Electric Power Infrastructure ($12.6 billion in annual revenue) and Underground Utility and Infrastructure Solutions ($1.41 billion)—both benefit from structural tailwinds in grid modernization and data center construction. The record backlog of nearly $50 billion provides multi-year revenue visibility, supporting the investment case for sustained double-digit growth. Profitability is solid and improving: net income for Q4 2025 was $315.5 million, with a net margin of 4.0%, up from 3.4% in Q2 2025. Gross margin was 12.6% in Q4 2025, slightly compressed from 14.5% in Q3 2025, likely due to project mix, but operating margin improved to 6.2% from 5.8% in the prior quarter. The company is profitable with a trailing PE of 61.4x, but the forward PE of 40.0x suggests earnings growth is expected to moderate the multiple. Quanta's balance sheet is healthy: debt-to-equity is 0.72, and the current ratio of 1.14 indicates adequate liquidity. Free cash flow for the trailing twelve months is $1.62 billion, providing ample capacity for internal funding of growth and acquisitions. ROE of 11.5% is respectable for the sector, and the company's ability to generate positive free cash flow consistently (e.g., $934 million in Q4 2025) reduces reliance on external financing.

Quarterly Revenue

$7.8B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+19.6%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

12.6%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$1.6B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Electric Power Infrastructure
Underground Utility and Infrastructure Solutions

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Valuation Analysis: Is PWR Overvalued?

Given that net income is positive ($315.5 million in Q4 2025), the primary valuation metric is the PE ratio. The trailing PE of 61.4x is elevated, while the forward PE of 40.0x implies that the market expects significant earnings growth over the next year. The gap between trailing and forward PE suggests that analysts anticipate a 35% increase in earnings, which aligns with the company's growth narrative. Compared to the Engineering & Construction industry average PE of approximately 22x (based on sector data), Quanta trades at a 179% premium, reflecting its superior growth profile and market leadership. This premium is justified by the company's 19.6% revenue growth, record backlog, and exposure to secular trends like AI infrastructure and grid modernization, which are not fully captured by the broader industry. Historically, Quanta's trailing PE has ranged from 22x (in late 2023) to over 60x (current), placing it near the top of its historical band. The current PE of 61.4x is well above the 5-year average of around 35x, indicating that the market is pricing in optimistic expectations for continued growth acceleration. While this could leave the stock vulnerable to disappointment, the strong backlog and industry tailwinds provide fundamental support for the premium.

PE

61.4x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range 23x~80x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

27.8x

Enterprise Value Multiple