RCL

Royal Caribbean Group

$0.00

-3.00%
Apr 3, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Royal Caribbean Group is the world's second-largest cruise company, operating a global fleet across multiple brands. It is defined by its portfolio of premium brands, which compete on innovation, ship quality, service, and diverse itineraries.

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RCL 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $273.59
Average Target $273.59
High Target $314.6285
Low Target $232.55149999999998

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Royal Caribbean Group's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $0.00 and implied upside of — versus the current price.

Average Target

$0.00

13 analysts

Implied Upside

vs. current price

Analyst Count

13

covering this stock

Price Range

$0 - $0

Analyst target range

Buy
3 (23%)
Hold
6 (46%)
Sell
4 (31%)

Wall Street analysts maintain a generally bullish stance on Royal Caribbean. Recent institutional ratings from major firms like JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo are predominantly 'Buy' or 'Overweight'. A consensus of 13 analysts projects average EPS of $30.06 and average revenue of $25.52 billion for the coming period.

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RCL Technical Analysis

The stock's overall trend over the past six months has been volatile but negative, with a 14.0% decline from the start of the period. The price peaked near $366 in late January 2026 before a sharp correction.

Short-term performance shows significant weakness, with the stock down 11.5% over the past month, underperforming the S&P 500's 5.25% decline. Over the past three months, the stock is down 1.3%, but this still represents a 3.3% outperformance relative to the broader market.

The current price of $275.18 sits approximately 24.9% below its 52-week high of $366.50 and 67.8% above its 52-week low of $164.01. This positions the stock in the upper half of its yearly range, though well off recent highs.

Beta

1.94

1.94x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-32.6%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$164-$367

Price range past year

Annual Return

+29.0%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodRCL ReturnS&P 500
1m-9.2%-4.3%
3m-3.4%-4.0%
6m-12.9%-2.0%
1y+29.0%+22.2%
ytd-3.4%-3.8%

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RCL Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth remains strong, with Q4 2025 revenue of $4.26 billion representing a 13.2% year-over-year increase. However, profitability has shown sequential pressure; the Q4 net margin of 17.7% declined from 30.7% in Q3 2025, indicating potential cost or seasonal headwinds.

Financial health is a concern, with a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.26 and a weak current ratio of 0.18, suggesting significant leverage and limited short-term liquidity. Positively, the company generated $1.24 billion in trailing twelve-month free cash flow, providing some operational flexibility.

Operational efficiency metrics are mixed. Return on Equity is exceptionally high at 42.6%, but this is largely driven by the high financial leverage. Return on Assets is a more modest 7.8%, reflecting the capital-intensive nature of the business.

Quarterly Revenue

$4.3B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.13%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.36%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$1.2B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

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Valuation Analysis: Is RCL Overvalued?

Given the company's positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the Price-to-Earnings ratio. The trailing P/E is 17.7, while the forward P/E is 13.3 based on analyst estimates, suggesting expectations for significant earnings growth.

Peer comparison data is not available in the provided inputs. The Price-to-Sales ratio of 4.2 and EV/EBITDA of 14.1 offer additional context, but a direct industry benchmark cannot be established from the given data.

PE

17.7x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Mid-Range

5-Year PE Range -87x~73x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

14.1x

Enterprise Value Multiple

Investment Risk Disclosure