RDDT

Reddit Inc.

$200.31

+2.56%
Jul 9, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Reddit, Inc. operates a social media platform centered on user-generated content organized into specialized communities called subreddits, generating revenue primarily through advertising and data licensing. As a unique community-driven platform with over 2,500 employees, Reddit distinguishes itself through its volunteer-moderated forums and deep user engagement. The current investor narrative focuses on Reddit's explosive revenue growth trajectory, its first GAAP profitability achieved in 2025, and the potential for AI partnerships and data licensing to drive further monetization. Recent attention has been amplified by strong quarterly results and analyst optimism around the company's ability to sustain high growth while expanding margins.

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RDDT 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $200.31
Average Target $200.31
High Target $230.36
Low Target $170.26

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Reddit Inc.'s 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $260.40 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$260.40

9 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

9

covering this stock

Price Range

$160 - $260

Analyst target range

Buy
2 (22%)
Hold
4 (44%)
Sell
3 (33%)

Reddit is covered by 9 analysts, with a consensus leaning bullish: 5 Buy ratings (Jefferies, Needham, Truist, Guggenheim, Oppenheimer), 3 Neutral (Goldman Sachs, Cantor Fitzgerald, JP Morgan), and 1 Overweight (Piper Sandler). The average analyst target price is not directly provided, but based on the estimated EPS of $14.18 and forward P/E of 21.48x, the implied target is approximately $304.60 (14.18 * 21.48), representing +56.5% upside from the current price of $194.67. The estimated EPS range of $13.08 to $15.63 suggests a target range of $281 to $336, with the high end implying +72.6% upside. The high target assumes continued revenue acceleration and margin expansion, while the low target may reflect concerns about ad market cyclicality or competitive pressure. Recent analyst actions show no changes in ratings since February 2026, indicating stability in sentiment. The relatively tight EPS range (low to high spread of 19.5%) suggests moderate conviction among analysts, though the wide gap between trailing and forward P/E highlights uncertainty around earnings sustainability.

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RDDT Technical Analysis

Reddit's stock is in a recovery phase after a significant drawdown, with the current price of $194.67 sitting 46.5% above its 52-week low of $119.27 but still 31.2% below the 52-week high of $282.95. The 1-year price change of +22.17% indicates a positive long-term trend, though the stock has experienced a -19.52% decline year-to-date, reflecting a volatile journey. Trading near the midpoint of its 52-week range suggests the stock is neither overextended nor deeply oversold, offering a balanced risk-reward profile for momentum traders. Short-term momentum is strongly positive, with the 1-month price change of +15.10% and 3-month change of +43.14% signaling accelerating upward momentum. This contrasts sharply with the 6-month decline of -19.52%, indicating a potential trend reversal from the earlier selloff. The relative strength versus the S&P 500 is also robust, with 1-month relative strength of +16.35% and 3-month relative strength of +29.58%, confirming that Reddit is outperforming the broader market in the near term. Key support lies at the 52-week low of $119.27, while resistance is at the 52-week high of $282.95. A breakout above $282.95 would signal a resumption of the long-term uptrend, potentially targeting new highs, while a breakdown below $119.27 could indicate further downside risk. With a beta of 1.938, Reddit is nearly twice as volatile as the S&P 500, meaning it amplifies market moves—a critical consideration for risk management and position sizing.

Beta

1.94

1.94x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-55.0%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$119-$283

Price range past year

Annual Return

+37.5%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodRDDT ReturnS&P 500
1m+12.5%+2.0%
3m+43.4%+10.6%
6m-18.1%+8.3%
1y+37.5%+20.4%
ytd-17.2%+10.2%

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RDDT Fundamental Analysis

Reddit's revenue trajectory is accelerating sharply, with Q4 2025 revenue of $725.6 million representing 69.65% year-over-year growth, up from 42.8% growth in Q4 2024. The sequential revenue progression from $392.4 million in Q1 2025 to $725.6 million in Q4 2025 demonstrates consistent acceleration, driven primarily by advertising revenue of $689.7 million (95% of total) and other revenue of $35.9 million. This growth trajectory underscores Reddit's successful monetization of its user base and positions it as a high-growth player in digital advertising. Profitability has improved dramatically, with net income of $251.6 million in Q4 2025 compared to a net loss of $575.1 million in Q1 2024, marking a clear inflection point. Gross margin remains exceptionally high at 91.9% in Q4 2025, while operating margin expanded from 0.99% in Q1 2025 to 31.9% in Q4 2025, reflecting strong operating leverage. The net margin of 34.7% in Q4 2025 indicates that Reddit has achieved sustainable profitability, a key milestone for the investment thesis. Reddit maintains a fortress balance sheet with a current ratio of 11.56 and virtually no debt (debt-to-equity of 0.0079). Free cash flow generation is robust, with TTM free cash flow of $684.2 million and Q4 2025 free cash flow of $263.6 million, providing ample internal funding for growth initiatives. The ROE of 18.1% and ROA of 13.1% demonstrate efficient capital allocation, while the strong cash position ($953.6 million at year-end 2025) eliminates financing risk.

Quarterly Revenue

$725607000.0B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+69.65%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

91.91%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$684169000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Advertising
Other Revenue

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Valuation Analysis: Is RDDT Overvalued?

Since Reddit has positive net income ($251.6 million in Q4 2025), the trailing P/E ratio of 80.94x is the primary valuation metric, but the forward P/E of 21.48x is more relevant given the rapid earnings growth. The wide gap between trailing and forward P/E implies the market expects significant earnings expansion, consistent with the company's improving profitability trajectory. Compared to the Communication Services sector, Reddit's trailing P/E of 80.94x is substantially higher than the industry average (not provided, but typically ~25x for internet content peers), reflecting a premium for its growth rate. The PS ratio of 19.45x also indicates a premium valuation, though this is justified by the 69.65% revenue growth and expanding margins. Historically, Reddit's trailing P/E has ranged from negative (during loss-making periods) to over 100x, with the current 80.94x near the higher end of its historical band. The forward P/E of 21.48x is much lower than the trailing multiple, suggesting that if earnings materialize as expected, the stock could be reasonably valued. However, the PEG ratio of -0.39 (negative due to negative earnings growth in some periods) is not meaningful, and investors should focus on the forward P/E relative to growth.

PE

80.9x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Mid-Range

5-Year PE Range -279x~310x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

77.0x

Enterprise Value Multiple